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Ryohin Keikaku Co Ltd (JP:7453)
:7453

Ryohin Keikaku Co (7453) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7453

Ryohin Keikaku Co

(7453)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,493.00
▲(15.39% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong margins and stable balance sheet), partially offset by inconsistent free cash flow. Technicals are supportive due to the price trading above major moving averages, but mixed momentum (negative MACD, high RSI) tempers the outlook. Valuation is a notable constraint given the higher P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong brand & DTC model
Ryohin Keikaku's Muji brand and integrated DTC model (stores + e-commerce) create durable customer loyalty and recurring revenue. Economies of scale in procurement and a sustainability focus support stable gross margins and pricing power, helping the business withstand competitive pressure.
Consistent revenue and healthy margins
Sustained revenue growth combined with robust gross and EBIT/EBITDA margins indicates effective cost control and product mix. These durable earnings characteristics underpin cash generation potential and capacity to reinvest in the brand, supporting mid-term operational stability.
Stable balance sheet and manageable leverage
A solid capital structure and reasonable leverage provide financial flexibility for store investments, international expansion, or downturns. Decent ROE shows effective use of equity, reducing refinancing risk and enabling longer-term strategic initiatives without excessive balance-sheet strain.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent free cash flow
Volatile free cash flow limits reliable internal funding for capex, dividends, or M&A and increases dependence on external financing. Over 2–6 months this variability can constrain strategic programs and reduces margin of safety when profits don’t consistently convert to cash.
Moderate net profit margin
A gap between strong gross margins and moderate net margins suggests structural cost or SG&A pressure. Persistently modest net profitability reduces retained earnings and sensitivity to cost inflation, limiting long-term ability to scale margins or absorb adverse macro shifts.
Significant reliance on physical stores
Heavy dependence on brick-and-mortar sales creates structural fixed-cost exposure (rent, staffing, capex). Shifts in consumer behavior toward online channels or prolonged retail disruptions can pressure margins and cash flow, requiring continued investment in omnichannel capabilities.

Ryohin Keikaku Co (7453) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ryohin Keikaku Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells apparel, household goods, furniture, and food items. It offers apparel products comprising shirts, denim jeans, socks, handkerchiefs, bags, and sneakers; household products, including towels, mattress, toilet papers, toning water, and cleaning systems; furniture products comprising beds, desks, chairs, and storage and children's furniture; and food products, including baumkuchen banana, chocolate coated strawberry, butter chicken curry, and cricket crackers, as well as houses The company also engages in the design, manufacturing, and sale of home furnishings, such as furniture, accessories, antiques, curtains, and rugs; design, consultation, and production of residential and commercial spaces; interior design, furniture sales, and hotel businesses activities; and provision of healthcare services. In addition, it operates MUJI to GO shops that offer travel, commuting, business, study, and play products; Found MUJI; MUJI com, which sells daily necessity products; Café&Meal MUJI; IDEE stores; campsites; and muji.com, an online store. As of August 31, 2021, it operated 456 MUJI stores, 31 Café&Meal MUJI, and 10 IDEE stores in Japan; and 546 MUJI stores and 25 Café&Meal MUJI internationally. Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyohin Keikaku generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Muji products across various retail channels, including physical stores and online platforms. The company operates a large network of retail locations, both in Japan and overseas, which contributes significantly to its earnings through direct consumer sales. Additionally, Ryohin Keikaku engages in wholesale operations, supplying its products to other retailers and businesses. The company's revenue model is supported by a focus on cost-efficient operations and a strong brand identity that attracts a loyal customer base. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include a commitment to quality, innovation in product design, and strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors, which enhance its supply chain efficiency.

Ryohin Keikaku Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid fundamentals overall: strong revenue growth and healthy gross/EBIT/EBITDA margins (income statement score 78) and a stable, balanced balance sheet (72). The main drag is cash-flow quality/consistency (cash flow score 65) with fluctuating free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Ryohin Keikaku Co has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a recent growth rate of 3.64%. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is moderate, suggesting room for improvement in operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting solid earnings before interest and taxes.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The return on equity is decent, showing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio suggests a solid capital structure, although there is potential to improve asset utilization.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Ryohin Keikaku Co's cash flow statement reveals a positive operating cash flow, which is a good sign of liquidity. However, the free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, with fluctuations over the years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is reasonable, but the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates variability in cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue784.63B784.63B661.68B581.41B496.17B453.69B
Gross Profit402.98B402.98B336.41B271.55B234.36B222.33B
EBITDA101.03B101.03B91.11B61.50B57.84B70.11B
Net Income50.85B50.85B41.57B22.05B24.56B33.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets562.75B562.75B509.55B453.71B399.32B393.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments134.93B134.93B125.22B115.04B90.16B135.75B
Total Debt102.13B102.13B92.07B95.66B76.45B109.84B
Total Liabilities226.83B226.83B212.55B186.27B154.47B178.49B
Stockholders Equity332.09B332.09B293.30B264.23B242.22B212.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0050.04B19.57B30.15B5.67B42.52B
Operating Cash Flow0.0073.36B58.50B56.53B23.35B61.45B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-40.89B-27.65B-22.11B-16.68B-13.54B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-22.16B-23.41B-11.23B-58.65B-15.16B

Ryohin Keikaku Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3027.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2998.39
Positive
100DMA
3027.96
Positive
200DMA
3070.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
63.57
Negative
RSI
61.97
Neutral
STOCH
82.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7453, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3027 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3072.03, above the 50-day MA of 2998.39, and below the 200-day MA of 3070.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 63.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7453.

Ryohin Keikaku Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥652.78B15.018.54%1.84%0.42%20.25%
66
Neutral
¥1.72T28.8016.01%0.72%18.58%7.54%
66
Neutral
¥266.04B9.574.97%2.01%2.00%-68.35%
65
Neutral
¥941.14B17.139.37%2.59%-1.22%-10.82%
65
Neutral
¥74.25B11.311.09%7.55%89.45%
63
Neutral
¥631.10B20.897.58%2.58%6.52%-31.67%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7453
Ryohin Keikaku Co
3,279.00
1,309.92
66.52%
JP:3099
Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings
2,824.00
370.32
15.09%
JP:3086
J FRONT RETAILING Co
2,623.50
583.23
28.59%
JP:8233
Takashimaya Company
2,157.00
913.75
73.50%
JP:8242
H2O Retailing Corporation
2,307.50
127.74
5.86%
JP:8244
Kintetsu Department Store Co.Ltd.
1,848.00
-379.18
-17.03%

Ryohin Keikaku Co Corporate Events

Ryohin Keikaku Delivers Strong Q1 Profit Growth and Confirms FY2026 Outlook After Stock Split
Jan 14, 2026

Ryohin Keikaku reported strong results for the three months ended 30 November 2025, with operating revenues rising 15.4% year on year to ¥228.2 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent jumping 47.4% to ¥22.0 billion. Earnings per share increased accordingly, underpinned by higher operating and ordinary profits and an improvement in comprehensive income. The company’s financial position also strengthened, with total assets and net assets both increasing and the capital adequacy ratio edging up to 59.2%, while a recent 2-for-1 stock split was reflected in per-share indicators and share counts. For the full fiscal year ending 31 August 2026, Ryohin Keikaku maintained its earnings forecast, projecting operating revenues of ¥860.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥53.0 billion, and it plans an annual dividend of ¥28.00 per share post-split, signaling confidence in continued earnings growth. The inclusion of MUJI ENERGY LLC. in the scope of consolidation points to a gradual broadening of its business portfolio, which could have longer-term implications for its cost structure and sustainability positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7453) stock is a Hold with a Yen3178.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryohin Keikaku Co stock, see the JP:7453 Stock Forecast page.

Ryohin Keikaku Completes Treasury Share Disposal for Director Remuneration
Nov 14, 2025

Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. has completed the payment procedures for the disposal of 42,800 treasury shares as transfer-restricted share-based remuneration, following a resolution from their Board of Directors. This strategic move is aimed at aligning the interests of its directors with the company’s performance, potentially impacting its governance and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7453) stock is a Buy with a Yen3800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryohin Keikaku Co stock, see the JP:7453 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026