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Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. (JP:7381)
:7381
Japanese Market

Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. (7381) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7381

Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc.

(7381)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,081.00
▲(69.97% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/13/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed fundamentals: solid revenue growth and improved free cash flow are outweighed by declining margins and high leverage risk. Technicals are a meaningful support with a strong uptrend and positive momentum, but near-overbought signals temper the outlook. Valuation appears roughly average based on the P/E and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth near double digits reflects expanding loan originations and fee income across core business lines. Over 2-6 months this underlying top-line momentum supports earnings resilience, funds strategic initiatives and helps absorb cyclical pressure on margins.
Free Cash Flow Conversion
A strong FCF/net income ratio indicates the company converts reported profits into usable cash, supporting debt servicing, dividend capacity and reinvestment. This durable cash-generation trait improves financial flexibility despite episodic OCF volatility.
Regional Franchise and Diversified Revenue
A diversified revenue mix—loans, fees, securities and partnerships—combined with a regional banking franchise serving individuals, SMEs and corporates creates stable deposit funding, strong local relationships and cross-sell opportunities that support steady earnings over time.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio above 5 indicates meaningful leverage that reduces capital cushions. Persistently high leverage raises funding and regulatory vulnerability, constrains strategic flexibility and amplifies downside risk if credit conditions or earnings weaken over the medium term.
Declining Profitability
Falling net and operating margins point to margin compression from competitive pressure, funding cost rises or cost base increases. If margins remain depressed, internal capital generation and return on equity will be constrained, undermining balance sheet repair and growth capacity.
Weak Operating Cash Flow Quality
Very low OCF relative to net income suggests earnings are not being converted into operating cash, increasing reliance on non‑cash items or financing. Over time this weak cash quality raises refinancing risk and limits sustainable lending or investment without raising external capital.

Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. (7381) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHokkoku Financial Holdings, Inc. (7381) is a Japanese financial services company headquartered in Kanazawa, Ishikawa Prefecture. The company operates primarily in the banking sector, offering a range of financial services including commercial banking, asset management, and investment services. Hokkoku Financial Holdings serves individual customers, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), and large corporations, focusing on providing tailored financial solutions to meet their diverse needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyHokkoku Financial Holdings generates revenue through various key streams primarily linked to its banking operations. The company earns interest income from loans provided to customers, which includes personal loans, mortgages, and business loans. Additionally, it generates fee-based income from services such as asset management, investment advisory, and transaction fees for financial products. The bank's investment in securities and various financial instruments also contributes to its earnings through interest and capital gains. Furthermore, strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and businesses enhance Hokkoku's service offerings and expand its customer base, which in turn supports its revenue growth.

Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (12.87%) is offset by weakening profitability (net margin down from 13.75% to 10.87% and lower EBIT/EBITDA margins). The balance sheet is a key risk with high and rising leverage (debt-to-equity 5.59) and a low equity ratio. Cash flow trends improved with healthy free-cash-flow conversion (FCF/net income 0.75), but the very low operating cash flow to net income ratio (0.032) and past volatility add caution.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The company experienced a revenue growth rate of 12.87% in the most recent year, indicating a positive trend. However, the net profit margin decreased from 13.75% to 10.87%, suggesting a decline in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also showed a significant drop, which could be a concern for operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio increasing to 5.59, which poses a risk. The return on equity is relatively stable at around 3.83%, but the equity ratio is low, indicating potential financial vulnerability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a cautious outlook due to high debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement with a positive free cash flow growth rate, although the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.032. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.75, suggesting good cash conversion. However, past volatility in cash flows indicates potential instability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue74.44B85.25B86.83B80.96B80.79B74.15B
Gross Profit74.44B75.39B79.19B76.81B80.30B64.20B
EBITDA14.47B16.16B16.94B18.75B20.28B11.96B
Net Income11.44B8.12B9.05B8.74B9.39B6.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.23T6.39T5.76T5.60T5.71T5.52T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.001.65T1.58T1.35T1.61T1.48T
Total Debt26.27B585.99B448.86B578.87B794.96B1.11T
Total Liabilities5.99T6.17T5.51T5.37T5.45T5.24T
Stockholders Equity234.95B212.02B244.22B229.64B256.56B278.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0028.47B-58.24B-134.00B288.90B116.49B
Operating Cash Flow0.0037.91B-48.90B-128.95B294.12B122.30B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-412.50B51.41B-117.36B-149.14B-268.81B
Financing Cash Flow0.00199.38B306.37B-10.42B-5.70B230.71B

Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price636.00
Price Trends
50DMA
914.98
Positive
100DMA
791.71
Positive
200DMA
668.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
30.54
Negative
RSI
66.49
Neutral
STOCH
70.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7381, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 636 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 975.00, below the 50-day MA of 914.98, and below the 200-day MA of 668.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 30.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7381.

Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥232.28B15.282.53%7.67%11.03%
71
Outperform
¥260.94B20.662.13%7.77%5.80%
70
Outperform
¥215.77B13.683.00%10.56%16.02%
68
Neutral
¥284.71B14.852.27%2.68%74.80%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
¥238.32B16.512.38%8.43%38.21%
59
Neutral
¥274.77B16.252.55%-0.36%41.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7381
Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc.
1,054.00
540.83
105.39%
JP:8336
Musashino Bank, Ltd.
6,520.00
3,540.11
118.80%
JP:8361
Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd.
6,840.00
4,677.41
216.29%
JP:8386
Hyakujushi Bank, Ltd.
9,770.00
6,565.74
204.91%
JP:8388
Awa Bank, Ltd.
5,990.00
3,132.82
109.65%
JP:8544
Keiyo Bank, Ltd.
2,252.00
1,444.56
178.91%

Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. Corporate Events

CCI Group to Grant ¥699 Million in Restricted Stock to Employees
Feb 27, 2026

CCI Group, Inc. has approved the disposal of 694,912 shares of its treasury stock as restricted stock to 1,819 employees across the parent company and its subsidiaries, with a total value of about 699 million yen and a per‑share price set at the previous day’s Tokyo Stock Exchange closing price. The move is part of a previously adopted restricted stock plan aimed at motivating employees and promoting sustainable improvement in corporate and shareholder value, using a short transfer‑restriction period, clawback provisions for rule violations, and pricing designed to avoid preferential treatment and arbitrary transactions.

Under the plan, eligible employees receive monetary claims that are contributed in kind to acquire the restricted shares, which will be held in dedicated accounts at Daiwa Securities to prevent disposal during the restriction period. The company has also defined rules for early lifting of transfer restrictions in the event of organizational restructuring such as mergers or share exchanges, and has emphasized that the pricing method is intended to fairly reflect its corporate value while balancing employee incentives with protection of existing shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7381) stock is a Hold with a Yen1081.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. stock, see the JP:7381 Stock Forecast page.

CCI Group Reports Progress on ¥13 Billion Share Buyback Program
Feb 6, 2026

CCI Group, Inc. announced the progress of its share buyback program, reporting that it repurchased 3,255,200 shares of common stock for a total of approximately JPY 3.0 billion via market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between January 5 and January 31, 2026. This repurchase forms part of a broader board-approved program, authorized on December 24, 2025, that allows the company to buy back up to 22 million shares, or 9.74% of its outstanding stock excluding treasury shares, for as much as JPY 13 billion through December 23, 2026, signaling ongoing capital management efforts that could support shareholder value and adjust the firm’s capital structure over the coming year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7381) stock is a Hold with a Yen980.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. stock, see the JP:7381 Stock Forecast page.

CCI Group Profits Nearly Double on Strong Nine-Month Performance and Improved Capital Base
Jan 30, 2026

CCI Group reported strong recovery for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with ordinary income up 24.6% to ¥82.2 billion, ordinary profit up 66.3% to ¥19.1 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 92.6% to ¥13.2 billion, while basic earnings per share nearly doubled year on year after adjusting for a 10-for-1 stock split. The company’s own capital ratio improved from 3.3% to 4.0%, it maintained its dividend forecast (equivalent to an annual ¥230 per share without the split), and it is guiding for full-year FY2025/26 ordinary profit of ¥21.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥13.0 billion, indicating continued earnings momentum and capital strengthening that may support shareholder returns and financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7381) stock is a Hold with a Yen950.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. stock, see the JP:7381 Stock Forecast page.

CCI Group Discloses Significant Unrealized Securities Losses at Hokkoku Bank but Keeps Earnings Outlook Unchanged
Jan 23, 2026

CCI Group, Inc. reported that its major consolidated subsidiary, The Hokkoku Bank, recorded unrealized losses of ¥4,983 million on held-to-maturity securities for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, against a book value of ¥171,065 million and a market value of ¥166,082 million. These unrealized losses are significant relative to past performance, equaling 40.5% of the group’s consolidated ordinary income and 61.4% of net income attributable to owners of the parent for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, yet the company stated that they will not affect its consolidated earnings or dividend forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, indicating management’s view that the losses are manageable within its current financial outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7381) stock is a Hold with a Yen1007.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. stock, see the JP:7381 Stock Forecast page.

CCI Group Announces Director Reappointments and Leadership Changes at The Hokkoku Bank
Dec 24, 2025

CCI Group, Inc. has announced that its board has resolved to reappoint its current slate of key directors, including Representative Director and President Shuji Tsuemura, along with other internal and outside directors, with formal approval scheduled at the June 2026 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders. At its core subsidiary, The Hokkoku Bank, Ltd., the group is implementing leadership changes effective March 1, 2026, including the retirement of two senior executives—Representative Director and Managing Executive Officer Toshiyuki Konishi and Director and Managing Executive Officer Akira Nishita—and the promotion of Managing Executive Officers Naotaka Terai and Masaru Yamazaki to director and managing executive officer roles, signaling a planned generational shift and continuity in management while strengthening corporate planning and digital functions within the regional bank.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7381) stock is a Hold with a Yen740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. stock, see the JP:7381 Stock Forecast page.

CCI Group Launches Up to ¥13 Billion Share Buyback to Enhance Capital Policy and Shareholder Returns
Dec 24, 2025

CCI Group, Inc. has announced that its board of directors approved a share repurchase program aimed at enhancing capital policy flexibility, strengthening shareholder returns in line with its return policy, and securing shares for director performance share units and restricted stock for employees. The company plans to buy back up to 22 million shares of its common stock, equivalent to 9.74% of its outstanding shares (excluding treasury stock), for a total of up to ¥13 billion via market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between January 5, 2026, and December 23, 2026, a move that could improve capital efficiency and potentially support shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7381) stock is a Hold with a Yen740.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc. stock, see the JP:7381 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026