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Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. (JP:8361)
:8361
Japanese Market

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. (8361) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8361

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd.

(8361)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥7,456.00
▲(42.84% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/15/26
The score is driven mainly by solid financial performance (strong revenue growth and improved profitability, offset by only moderate balance-sheet strength and weaker operating cash conversion). Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and a 2.03% dividend yield. Technicals remain in a strong uptrend, but overbought signals (RSI/Stoch) temper the score due to elevated pullback risk.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth
A 35.17% revenue increase signals durable expansion of core lending and fee businesses in the bank's regional market. Sustained top-line growth over multiple quarters supports scale advantages, better product penetration, and provides a runway to fund reinvestment and incremental risk buffers over 2-6 months.
Improved net profitability
An 18.38% net margin uplift reflects stronger pricing, cost control or a higher-yielding asset mix. Higher sustainable margins increase retained earnings, improve internal capital generation, and enhance resilience to cyclical credit stresses, supporting strategic initiatives and dividend capacity.
Healthy free cash flow conversion
Near-parity free cash flow to net income (0.95) and strong FCF growth indicate effective cash generation after investments. Reliable FCF supports capital deployment, loan originations, and shareholder distributions while reducing reliance on external funding, underpinning medium-term financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Weak operating cash conversion
An operating cash conversion ratio of 0.38 signals earnings are not fully translating into cash, implying timing, accruals, or working capital issues. Over months this can strain liquidity for lending growth or dividend payments and raises questions about earnings quality that management must address.
Low equity ratio / limited capital cushion
A 4.87% equity ratio indicates a thin capital base relative to assets. This leaves limited loss-absorbing capacity, constrains risk-weighted asset expansion, and heightens sensitivity to regulatory capital changes, limiting the bank's ability to scale lending without raising fresh capital.
Modest return on equity
A 4.62% ROE is modest for a bank and may limit the pace of internal capital accumulation and shareholder returns. Persistently low ROE can pressure management to pursue higher-risk assets or costly capital issuance to hit targets, affecting long-term strategic choices and investor appeal.

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. (8361) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd., a regional financial institution, provides various banking products and services in Japan and internationally. The company also provides computing and software development services; research services on economy, industry, information processing technology, and culture; credit guarantee and investigation services; real estate collateral appraisal services; and credit card services; and bank agency services, as well as engages in the preparation, printing, receiving, and forwarding of documents. It is also involved in leasing and securities activities. It operates through 159 branches, including 155 domestic and 3 foreign branches. The company was incorporated in 1896 and is headquartered in Ogaki, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyOgaki Kyoritsu Bank generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans provided to individuals and businesses. This includes personal loans, mortgages, and corporate loans, which typically offer higher interest rates compared to other financial products. Additionally, the bank earns fee-based income through services such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and advisory services. Investment income from securities and financial instruments also contributes to its earnings. The bank may have partnerships with local businesses and government entities that enhance its service offerings and customer base, further supporting its revenue streams.

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is solid (score 72) on strong revenue growth (+35.17%) and improved net margin (18.38%), but balance sheet is only moderate (score 65) with modest ROE (4.62%) and a low equity ratio (4.87%). Cash flow is the weakest leg (score 58) due to low operating cash flow to net income (0.38) despite healthy free cash flow to net income (0.95).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 35.17% increase in the latest year, indicating robust business expansion. The net profit margin improved significantly to 18.38%, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin of 14.54% and EBITDA margin of 14.54% suggest room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The bank's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.21 indicates moderate leverage, which is a positive trend compared to previous years. Return on equity stands at 4.62%, reflecting moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio of 4.87% suggests a stable capital structure, though there is potential for improving asset utilization.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is notably high, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.38 suggests that cash generation from operations could be improved. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.95 is healthy, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue102.09B123.84B127.13B115.11B108.00B109.97B
Gross Profit121.09B113.99B119.49B109.45B106.98B108.23B
EBITDA13.64B23.84B17.08B11.84B20.85B16.54B
Net Income15.70B14.72B9.47B4.83B10.62B8.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.59T6.54T6.65T6.67T7.72T7.45T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00774.35B672.84B501.97B1.66T1.50T
Total Debt328.34B386.48B441.15B400.01B1.57T1.25T
Total Liabilities6.27T6.22T6.31T6.38T7.40T7.12T
Stockholders Equity327.41B318.52B338.70B288.07B309.72B317.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0047.56B-12.19B-1.25T291.46B1.31T
Operating Cash Flow0.0049.87B-9.31B-1.24T295.31B1.32T
Investing Cash Flow0.0097.37B283.18B93.75B-112.63B-101.69B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-27.24B10.89B-12.27B-3.35B-2.97B

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5220.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5657.30
Positive
100DMA
4772.25
Positive
200DMA
3783.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
258.20
Positive
RSI
67.81
Neutral
STOCH
72.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8361, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5220 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6276.00, below the 50-day MA of 5657.30, and above the 200-day MA of 3783.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 258.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8361.

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥223.75B15.282.53%7.67%11.03%
71
Outperform
¥252.60B20.662.13%7.77%5.80%
70
Outperform
¥205.84B13.683.00%10.56%16.02%
68
Neutral
¥275.14B14.852.27%2.68%74.80%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
¥225.88B16.512.38%8.43%38.21%
59
Neutral
¥259.02B16.252.55%-0.36%41.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8361
Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd.
6,610.00
4,429.07
203.08%
JP:7381
Hokkoku Financial Holdings,Inc.
999.00
486.80
95.04%
JP:8336
Musashino Bank, Ltd.
6,220.00
3,264.22
110.44%
JP:8386
Hyakujushi Bank, Ltd.
9,210.00
6,029.76
189.60%
JP:8388
Awa Bank, Ltd.
5,770.00
2,899.24
100.99%
JP:8544
Keiyo Bank, Ltd.
2,180.00
1,376.44
171.29%

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. Corporate Events

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank to Book ¥18.2 Billion Gain From Sale of IBIDEN Shares
Feb 25, 2026

The Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. has decided to sell a portion of its shareholdings in IBIDEN CO., LTD. as part of a broader review of its investment securities portfolio. The bank is disposing of shares deemed to be held for pure investment purposes, signaling an active approach to balance sheet management and capital efficiency.

The bank plans to sell 2,000,000 IBIDEN shares, and based on the recent closing price, it expects to book approximately ¥18.2 billion in gains on the sale of investment securities. This prospective profit could materially affect earnings, and the bank is reassessing its earnings forecasts in light of this transaction, with a commitment to disclose any revisions promptly to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8361) stock is a Hold with a Yen7074.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. stock, see the JP:8361 Stock Forecast page.

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank Expands Long-Term Shareholder Benefit Program
Feb 25, 2026

The Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank will expand its “OKB’s Autumn Gift” shareholder benefit program, which applies to investors holding at least 500 shares for one year or more as of each September 30. The move is aimed at increasing the appeal of its stock and incentivizing shareholders to maintain long-term holdings.

Under the revised plan, shareholders with a holding period of one year to less than three years will continue to receive one selectable gift from OKB-branded and local specialty products, while those holding for three years or more will be eligible for two such items. The expanded program, which leaves the separate March 31 “Selectable” benefits unchanged, will take effect from the record date of September 30, 2026, reinforcing rewards for loyal investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8361) stock is a Hold with a Yen7074.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. stock, see the JP:8361 Stock Forecast page.

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank to Book Extraordinary Income From Partial Pension Trust Refund
Feb 25, 2026

The Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd., a regional Japanese commercial bank listed on the TSE Prime and NSE Premier markets, offers deposit, lending, and other financial services to retail and corporate customers, with operations centered on prudent asset and liability management. Its strategy emphasizes financial stability, including careful oversight of retirement benefit obligations and associated trust assets.

The bank will partially cancel its retirement benefit trust after determining that pension-related assets exceed retirement benefit obligations on a sustained basis. It expects to receive an approximate 11.6 billion yen refund on March 5, 2026, and to book about 6.1 billion yen in extraordinary income for the fiscal year ending March 2026, potentially improving near-term profitability, while noting that the final amount may change and that any resulting revisions to earnings forecasts will be announced promptly.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8361) stock is a Hold with a Yen7074.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. stock, see the JP:8361 Stock Forecast page.

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank Delivers Strong Nine-Month Earnings and Confirms Full-Year Dividend Outlook
Feb 10, 2026

The Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank reported strong consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with ordinary income up 18.2% to ¥112.4 billion and ordinary profit surging 62.3% to ¥18.8 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent jumped 53.5% to ¥12.8 billion, lifting basic earnings per share to ¥307.27 and improving the equity-to-asset ratio to 5.5% as total assets rose to ¥6.62 trillion.

The bank maintained its dividend policy, paying an interim dividend of ¥55 per share and keeping its full-year forecast unchanged at ¥110 per share and profit attributable to owners of ¥17.1 billion. The results signal enhanced profitability and capital strength without major changes in consolidation scope or accounting policies, supporting stable shareholder returns and reinforcing its financial position ahead of the March 2026 fiscal year-end.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8361) stock is a Buy with a Yen6350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. stock, see the JP:8361 Stock Forecast page.

Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank to Dissolve Banking Agency Subsidiary OKB Front
Jan 26, 2026

The Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank has decided to dissolve its wholly owned subsidiary OKB Front Co., Ltd., which conducts banking agency services, as part of a review of its store network. OKB Front, established in 2014 with share capital of ¥10 million and fully owned by the bank, recorded sales of ¥84 million and profit of ¥3 million in the fiscal year ended March 2025, and is scheduled to be dissolved on March 31, 2026 and fully liquidated by June 8, 2026; the bank states the move will not affect its consolidated or non-consolidated earnings forecasts, suggesting a limited financial impact but signaling ongoing rationalization of its physical distribution structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8361) stock is a Buy with a Yen6350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ogaki Kyoritsu Bank, Ltd. stock, see the JP:8361 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026