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Alue Co., Ltd. (JP:7043)
:7043
Japanese Market

Alue Co., Ltd. (7043) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7043

Alue Co., Ltd.

(7043)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥973.00
▼(-6.62% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (restored profitability and strong recent free cash flow) and a supportive low P/E valuation. These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and the company’s history of cyclical earnings and cash flow volatility.
Positive Factors
Improved profitability & high gross margin
Alue regained operating profitability with gross margins near 63%, showing durable service economics across training deliveries. High gross margins provide a structural buffer to fund content development and client-specific programs, supporting sustainable operating profits if revenue growth persists.
Stronger cash generation
Recent operating cash flow and free cash flow turned strongly positive and roughly matched net income, indicating earnings are converting into cash. Reliable cash conversion enhances investment capacity for program development and working-capital needs and improves ability to service debt over time.
Manageable leverage and equity growth
Debt around one-third of equity and recent equity growth signal improved balance-sheet resilience versus earlier periods. Lower relative leverage since 2020 gives the company financial flexibility to fund growth initiatives or absorb cyclical revenue shocks without immediate refinancing stress.
Negative Factors
Cyclical earnings and cash-flow volatility
Historical swings—including losses and negative cash flow in discrete years—reflect sensitivity to economic cycles and client demand for training. Persistent cyclicality raises execution and liquidity risk, making multi-period planning and consistent free cash flow generation harder without more recurring contracts.
Moderate net margin
Despite strong gross margin, net margin around 6.7% indicates significant fixed or SG&A absorption that limits operating leverage. A modest net margin constrains long-term free-cash-flow upside and leaves less buffer against revenue declines unless structural cost efficiencies are achieved.
Recent uptick in debt vs prior year
Although leverage is manageable overall, debt increased versus 2023 and lacks a consistent downward trend. Rising indebtedness amid cyclical earnings elevates refinancing and interest-rate exposure risk and could limit strategic optionality during weaker demand periods.

Alue Co., Ltd. (7043) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Alue Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlue Co.,Ltd. provides educational services for working adults using human resource development data and machine learning technology primarily in Japan. Its services include level-specific training, global human resource development, thematic training, and e-training services. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlue Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its diverse portfolio of technology solutions. The company earns money by selling software licenses, providing cloud-based services, and offering consulting services related to digital transformation. Key revenue streams include subscription fees from cloud services, one-time fees from software sales, and ongoing maintenance and support contracts. Additionally, Alue Co., Ltd. has established significant partnerships with major tech firms, which not only expands its market reach but also enhances its product offerings, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Alue Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow show a meaningful rebound: return to operating profit and positive net income with strong gross margin (~63%), plus solid free cash flow conversion in the latest period. Offsetting this, results have been cyclical historically (loss/negative cash flow in 2020 and 2024), and net margin remains moderate (~6.7%). Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt ~1/3 of equity) but debt rose versus 2023.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Profitability has improved materially after last year’s loss: the latest annual period shows a return to solid operating profit and positive net income, supported by a strong gross margin (~63%). Revenue growth re-accelerated (~8.6% vs. ~2.0% prior year), and operating margins rebounded meaningfully versus 2024. Offsetting this, earnings quality looks somewhat cyclical across the history (losses in 2020 and 2024), and net margin remains moderate (~6.7%) versus the company’s stronger years (2021–2022).
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage appears manageable with debt at roughly one-third of equity in the latest period, and equity has grown versus prior years—signs of improving balance sheet resilience. The company has also reduced leverage meaningfully from the 2020 peak (when debt exceeded equity). The main watch-out is that debt levels have not consistently trended down year-over-year (debt ticked up versus 2023), so maintaining profitability is important to keep leverage contained.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation strengthened sharply in the latest period, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both solidly positive and free cash flow roughly matching net income—an encouraging sign of earnings translating into cash. However, cash flow has been volatile historically (negative operating and free cash flow in 2024 and 2020), which adds execution risk and suggests working-capital and/or demand sensitivity that could pressure liquidity in weaker years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.35B3.64B3.09B3.03B2.77B2.40B
Gross Profit2.03B2.28B1.83B1.86B1.77B1.50B
EBITDA207.29M426.79M-12.42M128.31M276.41M323.70M
Net Income59.86M242.21M-73.71M56.85M166.87M183.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.27B2.40B1.90B1.72B1.86B2.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.29B1.30B822.00M986.86M1.10B1.33B
Total Debt682.21M467.03M448.00M214.15M397.61M667.09M
Total Liabilities1.01B987.02M716.89M464.04M652.61M979.99M
Stockholders Equity1.25B1.42B1.18B1.26B1.20B1.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00539.38M-86.79M83.62M44.41M309.40M
Operating Cash Flow0.00539.65M-37.30M133.10M90.02M365.85M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-69.93M-218.84M-52.35M-48.21M-60.54M
Financing Cash Flow0.001.54M76.01M-201.21M-286.18M-285.63M

Alue Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1042.00
Price Trends
50DMA
961.01
Negative
100DMA
983.85
Negative
200DMA
900.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.95
Negative
RSI
42.34
Neutral
STOCH
43.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7043, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1042 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 921.80, above the 50-day MA of 961.01, and above the 200-day MA of 900.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -10.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7043.

Alue Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥8.69B13.3821.37%93.71%
68
Neutral
¥6.08B10.201.32%12.73%
68
Neutral
¥6.27B11.351.87%11.47%45.70%
64
Neutral
¥2.32B9.630.66%14.27%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
¥1.81B17.002.85%-3.92%
52
Neutral
¥1.97B-4.88-12.60%-335.07%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7043
Alue Co., Ltd.
918.00
217.74
31.09%
JP:6538
CareerIndex, Inc.
291.00
133.94
85.28%
JP:6551
Tsunagu Group Holdings, Inc.
728.00
113.86
18.54%
JP:6558
Cookbiz Co., Ltd.
708.00
-64.00
-8.29%
JP:7041
CRG HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.
326.00
-5.00
-1.51%
JP:7089
For Startups, Inc.
1,316.00
756.50
135.21%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026