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IHI Corporation (JP:7013)
:7013

IHI (7013) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7013

IHI

(7013)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,253.00
▼(-1.16% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by a strong TTM earnings and revenue rebound, supported by a clear upward technical trend. Offsetting these positives are balance-sheet leverage and weak cash conversion, and valuation is a key headwind given the high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified industrial portfolio
IHI’s multi-domain business spanning energy, industrial plants, aerospace and large engineered systems spreads demand risk across end markets. This diversification supports steadier revenue cycles, cross-selling of engineering capabilities, and resilience when individual sectors slow, aiding medium-term stability.
Recent margin and revenue rebound
A sharp TTM revenue rise and materially improved EBIT/net margins indicate stronger pricing, higher utilization, or improved project execution. Sustained margin recovery enhances earnings power, funds reinvestment and supports returns if maintained through improved project controls and higher-margin service mix.
After-sales and services revenue stream
Lifecycle services and aftermarket support provide recurring, less cyclical cash flow versus one-off project revenue. A growing installed base and long-term service contracts can stabilize top-line and margins, improve visibility for cash flow planning, and raise lifetime customer value over months to years.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage
Net leverage above parity reduces financial flexibility and amplifies earnings volatility; higher debt servicing needs increase sensitivity to interest rates and project cash timing. Over a 2–6 month horizon, leverage limits capacity for opportunistic capex or bidding on large EPC contracts without refinancing.
Weak cash conversion
Earnings are not fully translating into free cash flow, likely from working-capital swings or project timing. Poor cash conversion constrains discretionary spending, raises refinancing and dividend risk, and leaves less buffer for overruns on long-duration contracts, undermining sustainable capital deployment.
Earnings and execution volatility
Large swings between profit and loss reflect project execution, contract timing, or demand cyclicality. Such volatility weakens predictability for margins and cash flow, complicates backlog valuation and risk management, and can raise customer and lender scrutiny on multi-year EPC commitments.

IHI (7013) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

IHI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIHI Corporation operates in resources, energy, and environment; social infrastructure and offshore facilities; industrial systems and general-purpose machinery; aero engine, space, and defense; and other business areas in Japan and internationally. It provides carbon reduction solutions; gas turbines and engines, and diesel engines for land use, and high-speed ships and other marine vessels; LNG receiving terminals and storage tanks; and equipment for various plants. The company also constructs natural gas liquefaction, oil refining, petrochemicals, LPG, and other process plants; develops and constructs nuclear fuel cycle systems; provides components for boiling and pressurized water reactors; and constructs bridges and steel structures. It offers water gates for rivers and dams; environmental monitoring products; concrete construction materials; 3D laser radars, X-ray inspection systems, monitoring and disaster prevention equipment, oil leak monitors, and vibration control and seismic isolation floor systems; shield tunneling machines and automatic segment assembling systems; transportation systems; LPG/LEG storage tanks; floating LNG/LPG production, storage, and offloading units; and semi-submersible rigs, mega-float, and others. The company also leases and sells real estate properties; develops houses; and provides compressors, cryogenic products, logistics systems, steelmaking equipment, machinery for ships, turbochargers for vehicles, separators, lubricating systems, pulp and paper machinery, materials handling systems, agricultural machinery, parking systems, boilers, and life associated equipment. It offers factory, heat treatment and surface engineering solutions; aero engines; air traffic control systems; and rocket systems and space exploration solutions. The company was formerly known as Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co., Ltd and changed its name to IHI Corporation in 2007. IHI Corporation was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyIHI generates revenue through multiple streams, including the manufacturing and sale of high-value products such as gas turbines and other machinery used in power generation and industrial applications. The company also earns income from its aerospace segment, which supplies components to aircraft manufacturers and offers maintenance services. Additionally, IHI benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with various industries, including energy and defense, which provide a steady revenue flow. The company’s focus on engineering solutions and technological advancements further enhances its capacity to secure projects and collaborations, contributing to its overall financial performance.

IHI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2024
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call revealed significant challenges, including large one-time losses and decreased operating profit, overshadowing some growth in the Aero Engine and Defense business and stability in large plant projects.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Aero Engine and Defense Business Growth
The Aero Engine and Defense business saw an increase in orders totaling JPY 29.5 billion, driven by civil aero engine PW1100G and other main engine units.
Positive Outlook for Defense Sector
The increase in defense budget is seen as a positive development, with expectations for increased demand in spare parts and missile production, contributing to future growth.
Stability in Large Plant Projects
Large-scale power plant projects in Bangladesh and Vietnam are operating smoothly and showing profit, reducing downside risks associated with these projects.
Negative Updates
Significant One-Time Losses
A large one-time loss was posted due to the PW1100G engine additional inspection program and the North American process plant litigation settlement, impacting financial results significantly.
Operating Profit Decrease
Operating profit dropped across all reportable segments, with a notable decline of JPY 12.2 billion in revenue changes and construction profitability.
Negative Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative JPY 112.8 billion due to increased inventory spending and working capital needs, particularly in the civil aero engine sector.
Deterioration of Financial Indices
The debt-equity ratio increased to 1.98x, and the ratio of equity attributable to owners decreased to 14.5%, indicating deterioration in financial health.
Company Guidance
During the IHI Group's second-quarter earnings call for the fiscal year 2023, several key metrics and financial figures were discussed. The group reported a one-time loss primarily due to the PW1100G engine inspection program and North America process plant litigation settlement, leading to an operating profit of negative JPY 157 billion. Excluding special factors, the orders received were JPY 640 billion, and revenue was JPY 639 billion, with an operating profit of JPY 16 billion. The foreign exchange rate averaged JPY 140.62 to the U.S. dollar, reflecting a JPY 9 depreciation from the previous year. The company's total assets increased by JPY 111.3 billion, reaching JPY 2,053.3 billion, while interest-bearing debt rose to JPY 644.7 billion. The debt-equity ratio was 1.98x, with a 14.5% ratio of equity attributable to the owners of the parent. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 81.4 billion, while free cash flow was negative JPY 112.8 billion. The guidance emphasized the need for improving cash flow and working capital, aiming to recover to the fiscal 2022 financial foundation with a focus on enhancing profitability and maintaining dividend payouts.

IHI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and revenue rebound in TTM (net margin ~8.2%, EBIT margin ~9.8%, revenue growth ~147%) supports a solid score, but durability is tempered by recent earnings volatility (FY2024 loss), meaningful leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.07), and weak cash conversion (FCF ~0.33x net income).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability has rebounded strongly after a loss in FY2024, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin at ~8.2% and EBIT margin near ~9.8%, both materially better than the prior two years. Revenue growth is also very strong in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~147%), signaling a sharp upswing in activity. The key weakness is volatility: the company swung from positive profits (FY2022–FY2023) to a sizable loss in FY2024 and back to solid profitability, which lowers confidence in the durability of current margins.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Leverage is meaningful, with debt running slightly above equity (debt-to-equity ~1.07 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), similar in FY2025), which can amplify results in both directions. Return on equity is very strong in the latest period (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) ~26%), reflecting the earnings recovery, but it comes with higher balance-sheet risk given the leverage and the recent history of negative equity returns in FY2024. Overall asset base is large and growing, but the capital structure remains a moderating factor.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation improved, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow positive (~¥68B) and sharply higher versus the prior year, but cash conversion is still a concern. In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), free cash flow covers only about one-third of net income (~0.33), indicating profits are not fully translating into discretionary cash. Operating cash flow relative to revenue also appears low (roughly ~11% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), suggesting working-capital or cash-timing swings remain a risk despite the rebound.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.61T1.63T1.32T1.35T1.17T1.11T
Gross Profit365.34B374.51B144.85B282.00B209.41B179.97B
EBITDA229.58B190.62B-28.66B122.32B99.64B81.83B
Net Income120.96B112.74B-68.21B44.55B66.06B13.09B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.45T2.24T2.10T1.94T1.88T1.83T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments105.06B136.81B138.81B124.75B145.49B120.77B
Total Debt745.59B622.66B681.96B628.59B621.84B731.13B
Total Liabilities1.86T1.73T1.70T1.49T1.47T1.51T
Stockholders Equity563.69B481.73B375.99B431.25B382.13B300.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow68.28B117.39B1.12B-8.46B68.58B-21.08B
Operating Cash Flow156.72B177.63B62.12B54.12B114.16B36.38B
Investing Cash Flow-67.13B-58.59B-50.41B-51.52B28.01B-40.42B
Financing Cash Flow-81.55B-116.45B-3.86B-24.86B-121.57B-23.77B

IHI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4303.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3559.30
Positive
100DMA
3245.87
Positive
200DMA
2738.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
180.68
Positive
RSI
60.48
Neutral
STOCH
44.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7013, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4303 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4091.20, above the 50-day MA of 3559.30, and above the 200-day MA of 2738.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 180.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7013.

IHI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥594.58B38.645.25%2.13%-2.23%130.96%
69
Neutral
¥2.82T23.566.88%0.97%5.35%26.51%
67
Neutral
¥4.64T37.7026.54%0.71%-1.66%19.02%
66
Neutral
¥2.53T33.3216.00%1.38%13.96%12.97%
64
Neutral
¥3.06T27.8413.25%1.40%14.12%54.64%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
¥756.21B23.980.59%2.95%-2.67%-85.21%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7013
IHI
4,303.00
2,972.93
223.52%
JP:6361
Ebara
5,542.00
3,019.37
119.69%
JP:7012
Kawasaki Heavy Industries
18,255.00
10,547.34
136.84%
JP:6268
Nabtesco
5,083.00
2,728.21
115.86%
JP:6594
Nidec
2,462.00
-178.72
-6.77%
JP:6302
Sumitomo Heavy Industries
6,173.00
3,255.47
111.58%

IHI Corporate Events

IHI Overhauls Executive Lineup in Planned Leadership Transition
Feb 10, 2026

IHI Corporation has announced a broad reshuffle of its leadership structure effective April 1, 2026, adjusting roles among directors, representative directors, and executive officers to strengthen governance and operational oversight. The changes elevate several internal leaders, including shifts in board roles and promotions within the Aero-Engine, Space & Defense and Industrial Systems & General-Purpose Machinery business areas, while a cohort of senior executives transition to advisor positions, signaling a planned generational shift and continuity in strategic areas such as business development, R&D, manufacturing systems, finance, and human resources.

New executive officers are being appointed to head key divisions, including monozukuri system transformation, corporate R&D, corporate secretariat, and core business areas, which should reinforce IHI’s internal capabilities in innovation, organizational management, and global business expansion. At the same time, retiring managing and executive officers will remain involved as advisors or executive fellows, preserving institutional knowledge as the company rebalances its leadership to support future growth, enhance execution in its main business domains, and potentially sharpen its competitive position in high-tech industrial and defense markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7013) stock is a Hold with a Yen4113.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IHI stock, see the JP:7013 Stock Forecast page.

IHI Elevates Aero-Engine and Defense Chief Atsushi Sato to Representative Director
Feb 10, 2026

IHI Corporation has announced a leadership change, appointing Atsushi Sato as Representative Director, Senior Executive Officer, and President of the Aero-Engine, Space & Defense Business Area effective April 1, 2026. Sato, a company veteran since 1991 with extensive experience in business development and currently head of the Aero-Engine, Space & Defense division, is expected to strengthen governance and continuity in a strategically important business segment for IHI’s growth and competitiveness.

His promotion from Managing Executive Officer and division president to Representative Director underscores the growing weight of the aero-engine, space, and defense operations within IHI’s overall portfolio. The move signals a consolidation of leadership around high-value, technology-intensive businesses, which could influence capital allocation, long-term strategy, and stakeholder expectations regarding the company’s positioning in the global aerospace and defense supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7013) stock is a Hold with a Yen4113.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IHI stock, see the JP:7013 Stock Forecast page.

IHI Outlines Q3 FY2025 Results and Ongoing Business Restructuring
Feb 10, 2026

IHI released its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, covering the year ending March 31, 2026, under International Financial Reporting Standards. The disclosure organizes performance by four core business areas—energy, infrastructure, industrial systems, and aerospace—signaling continued emphasis on transparency in segment reporting for investors.

Alongside the quarterly numbers, the company outlined full-year consolidated forecasts and updated stakeholders on progress in reforming its business structure. By linking earnings guidance with its ongoing organizational reforms, IHI is positioning itself to improve operational efficiency and clarify its strategic direction across key industrial and aerospace markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7013) stock is a Hold with a Yen4113.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IHI stock, see the JP:7013 Stock Forecast page.

IHI Posts Higher Profit Despite Lower Revenue, Keeps FY2026 Outlook Intact
Feb 10, 2026

IHI Corporation reported nine-month revenue to December 31, 2025 of ¥1.13 trillion, down 1.8% year on year, while operating profit slipped 0.9% to ¥102.5 billion but profit attributable to owners rose 10.7% to ¥85.0 billion, helped by higher profit before tax and improved margins. The group strengthened its financial position with total assets increasing to ¥2.45 trillion and equity attributable to owners rising to ¥563.7 billion, maintained its full-year forecast of modest revenue growth and double-digit profit expansion, and highlighted the impact of a 7-for-1 stock split and adjusted dividend per share structure without revising previously announced dividend or earnings outlooks.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7013) stock is a Hold with a Yen4113.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IHI stock, see the JP:7013 Stock Forecast page.

IHI Discloses Increase in Stake Held by Capital Research and Management Company
Feb 3, 2026

IHI Corporation has disclosed that U.S.-based investment adviser Capital Research and Management Company, together with its joint holders, has increased its stake in IHI to 10.40% of total voting rights as of January 26, 2026, up from 8.97%. The change, identified through a large shareholding report filed with Japanese regulators, reflects a higher level of institutional ownership following IHI’s 7-for-1 stock split in October 2025, but the company stated that the development does not currently entail any disclosed impact on its business outlook or operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7013) stock is a Buy with a Yen3925.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IHI stock, see the JP:7013 Stock Forecast page.

IHI Subsidiary to Absorb Sumitomo Heavy Industries’ Mechanical Parking Business
Jan 26, 2026

IHI Corporation’s consolidated subsidiary IHI Transport Machinery Co., Ltd. will acquire the mechanical parking system business of Sumitomo Heavy Industries Material Handling Systems Co., Ltd. via an absorption-type company split effective November 1, 2026, integrating Sumitomo’s underground and puzzle-type parking operations with IHI’s tower-type and multi-level parking portfolio. By unifying these complementary businesses on a shared management foundation, IHI aims to improve operational efficiency, reinforce its leadership in the parking systems market, and build a more resilient growth platform aligned with its mid-term strategy to focus resources on high-potential businesses that address urban and social mobility challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7013) stock is a Buy with a Yen3916.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IHI stock, see the JP:7013 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026