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Mitsui E&S Holdings Co Ltd (JP:7003)
:7003

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co (7003) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7003

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co

(7003)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥8,039.00
▲(24.25% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (stronger profitability, lower leverage, and solid free cash flow) and supported by a strong bullish technical setup. These positives are partially offset by less attractive valuation (higher P/E and low dividend yield) and the company’s history of earnings/cash-flow volatility.
Positive Factors
Improved profit margins
Sustained mid‑teens gross and operating margins signal meaningful operational improvement and pricing or mix benefits versus prior years. Healthy margins increase resilience to cyclical revenue swings, support reinvestment in aftermarket and services, and underpin longer‑term cash conversion.
Solid free cash flow generation
Reliable FCF at this scale supports deleveraging, recurring investment in maintenance/aftermarket and selective capex without heavy external funding. Strong FCF coverage of earnings improves financial flexibility and funds strategic execution across marine, port equipment and EPC segments.
Materially reduced leverage
Lower debt/equity materially boosts balance‑sheet resilience and lowers refinancing risk for project‑led cash flows. Improved capitalization increases capacity for selective M&A, cyclical cushioning, and investment in service capabilities that strengthen longer‑term recurring revenue.
Negative Factors
Historic earnings and cash volatility
Past years of negative operating/free cash flow and prior high leverage show the business can swing from strong to stressed. That legacy implies management must consistently defend working capital, project execution and margins to avoid renewed balance‑sheet strain across cycles.
Working‑capital and project timing exposure
EPC and equipment businesses lock up cash in contracts and inventories; timing mismatches between milestone revenue and costs can compress liquidity or margins. Such structural working‑capital sensitivity raises execution and timing risk for sustained cash generation.
Cyclical end markets and execution risk
High beta and recent negative EPS growth highlight sensitivity to macro and shipping cycles. Large project scope and execution complexity mean orderbook swings or setbacks can quickly affect profitability, making medium‑term earnings durability contingent on stable demand and flawless project delivery.

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co (7003) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsui E&S Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in shipbuilding and engineering businesses worldwide. The company operates through Ship, Ocean Development, Machinery, and Engineering segments. The Ship segment builds commercial ships, naval ships, high speed passenger/vehicle ferries, offshore structures, underwater TV vehicles, and steel structures. The Ocean Development segment provides floating production storage offloading vessels. The Machinery segment offers marine and stationary diesel engines, marine equipment, gas engines, steam turbines, blowers, process compressors, gas turbines, cogeneration systems, regulating systems, container cranes, industrial cranes, container terminal management systems, HWM manipulators, and induction heaters, as well as equipment of radar sensing for underground and construction. The Engineering segment engages in renewable energy power generation plants, power generation business, overseas civil works, waste treatment plants, water treatment plants, resources recycling plants, and PCB disposal plants businesses. In addition, it engages in information and communication equipment related, transport equipment, systems development, real estate lease, and infrastructure related business. The company was formerly known as Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co., Ltd. Mitsui E&S Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsui E&S Holdings generates revenue through multiple key streams. The shipbuilding segment is a significant contributor, where the company constructs various types of vessels, including commercial ships and specialized marine crafts. Additionally, the engineering segment provides services related to energy infrastructure and industrial machinery, which includes power generation and environmental solutions. Revenue is also derived from maintenance and after-sales services for the equipment it manufactures. Strategic partnerships with global firms and participation in large-scale projects further bolster its earnings, allowing the company to access new markets and technologies while enhancing its competitive edge.

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate a clear turnaround: TTM revenue grew 4.2% with strong margins (gross ~18.7%, operating ~16.4%, net ~7.2%). Leverage has improved (debt-to-equity ~0.43) and ROE is healthy (~13.9%). Free cash flow is solid (~28.9bn) and ~70% of net income, but historical volatility (prior years with negative cash flow and higher leverage) remains a key risk to consistency.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show solid profitability and improved operating performance: revenue grew 4.2% with healthy margins (gross ~18.7%, operating ~16.4%, net ~7.2%). The multi-year trajectory is notably better than 2021–2022, when profits were near-breakeven/negative and margins were weak. A key watch-out is variability in net profitability versus the most recent annual period (annual net margin was higher), suggesting earnings can swing and may not be purely driven by steady underlying operations.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage has improved materially: debt relative to equity is ~0.43 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), down from elevated levels in 2021–2023, while equity has grown. Returns on equity are healthy (~13.9% TTM), indicating better capital productivity than the earlier period that included losses and very high leverage. Risk remains that the company has a history of balance-sheet stress (prior high debt vs. equity), so maintaining today’s stronger capitalization through the cycle is important.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation has strengthened in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): operating cash flow is positive (~39.6bn) and free cash flow is solid (~28.9bn) with strong growth (~15.3%). Free cash flow covers a meaningful portion of earnings (free cash flow is ~70% of net income), supporting earnings quality. However, cash flow has been volatile (negative operating/free cash flow in multiple prior years), and operating cash flow remains relatively low compared with sales, implying working-capital or project timing can still create swings.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue349.55B315.11B301.88B262.30B579.36B644.69B
Gross Profit71.17B51.57B47.24B36.92B28.75B30.87B
EBITDA44.19B50.90B32.10B26.80B-2.83B6.97B
Net Income29.27B39.08B25.05B15.55B-21.82B134.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets475.21B449.21B467.14B439.96B409.15B766.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.80B35.35B35.57B45.80B51.76B137.65B
Total Debt83.69B107.29B170.66B150.47B150.68B174.93B
Total Liabilities266.14B275.05B320.63B329.28B346.20B670.55B
Stockholders Equity204.53B169.85B142.10B106.53B57.21B64.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.86B5.22B-41.64B-22.44B-29.25B-5.24B
Operating Cash Flow39.55B14.85B-34.44B-15.04B-20.27B7.48B
Investing Cash Flow-900.00M60.90B-354.00M-3.00B-70.92B21.11B
Financing Cash Flow-27.55B-76.57B24.11B9.52B806.00M-6.81B

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6470.00
Price Trends
50DMA
6566.36
Positive
100DMA
6128.83
Positive
200DMA
4662.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
364.14
Negative
RSI
64.76
Neutral
STOCH
76.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7003, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6470 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7249.70, below the 50-day MA of 6566.36, and above the 200-day MA of 4662.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 364.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7003.

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥382.69B20.0519.39%1.36%0.58%-24.42%
72
Outperform
¥779.50B26.6513.69%0.60%7.78%-53.68%
70
Outperform
¥14.45B8.042.71%2.02%27.03%
66
Neutral
¥179.49B17.222.41%2.47%1.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
¥27.99B16.420.27%1.60%314.05%
59
Neutral
$712.36B22.590.59%2.95%-2.67%-85.21%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7003
Mitsui E&S Holdings Co
7,808.00
6,230.89
395.08%
JP:7014
Namura Shipbuilding Co
5,500.00
3,636.27
195.11%
JP:6302
Sumitomo Heavy Industries
5,790.00
2,901.40
100.44%
JP:7004
Hitachi Zosen Corporation
1,065.00
204.83
23.81%
JP:7018
Naikai Zosen Corporation
16,950.00
11,853.86
232.60%
JP:7022
Sanoyas Holdings Corporation
435.00
265.95
157.32%

Mitsui E&S Holdings Co Corporate Events

Mitsui E&S Launches Restricted Stock Incentive Plan for Employee Shareholding Association
Feb 10, 2026

Mitsui E&S Co., Ltd. will dispose of up to 34,720 treasury shares of its common stock as restricted shares to the Mitsui E&S Employee Shareholding Association on July 24, 2026, at 7,111 yen per share, for a maximum total of about 246.9 million yen. The program targets up to 4,960 employees across the company and its subsidiaries, with each eligible employee potentially receiving seven shares funded through a special monetary incentive of 49,777 yen per person contributed into the association.

The company is establishing this restricted stock incentive plan to deepen value sharing between employees and shareholders and to motivate staff toward sustainable improvement of corporate value during its current growth phase. Shares will be subject to transfer restrictions and clawback provisions under a restricted stock allotment agreement, and employees’ interests in the association linked to these shares will be locked until restrictions are lifted, reinforcing long-term engagement and alignment with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7003) stock is a Hold with a Yen7451.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui E&S Holdings Co stock, see the JP:7003 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui E&S Triples Annual Dividend Forecast on Upgraded Earnings Outlook
Feb 10, 2026

MITSUI E&S Co., Ltd. has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, sharply increasing the projected year-end dividend to ¥35 per share and the total annual dividend to ¥50 per share from an earlier plan that left the year-end payout undetermined. The move follows an upward revision to full-year consolidated earnings forecasts and reflects the company’s stated policy of maintaining a 15% dividend payout ratio while balancing shareholder returns with capital expenditure, R&D investment, and financial stability.

Compared with the previous fiscal year’s total dividend of ¥20 per share and the earlier interim dividend of ¥15 per share for FY2025, the new forecast signals a materially higher cash return to investors. By linking dividends to improved earnings and explicitly considering the cost of equity and debt, the company aims to bolster sustainable corporate value and reinforce its appeal to shareholders seeking both income and disciplined capital allocation.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7003) stock is a Hold with a Yen7451.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui E&S Holdings Co stock, see the JP:7003 Stock Forecast page.

MITSUI E&S Lifts FY2025 Profit Outlook on Strong Marine and Logistics Margins
Feb 10, 2026

MITSUI E&S Co., Ltd. raised its full-year FY2025 earnings forecast while keeping net sales unchanged at ¥340 billion, reflecting stronger profitability rather than top-line growth. The company now expects operating income of ¥35 billion, ordinary income of ¥40 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥31 billion, all notably higher than its November guidance.

Management attributed the upgrade to steady execution of relatively high-margin projects in its Marine Propulsion Systems and Logistics Systems segments, alongside cost reduction efforts that lifted nine-month results above prior assumptions. The after-sales service business is also performing solidly, and while the company continues to monitor U.S. tariff policy and geopolitical risks, it anticipates only limited impact on performance and has slightly updated its foreign exchange assumption to ¥150 per U.S. dollar.

By segment, operating income guidance was raised for New Business Development, Marine Propulsion Systems, and Logistics Systems, partially offset by a downgrade in Peripheral Businesses, underscoring a shift toward core, higher-margin operations. The overall revision suggests improved operational resilience and margin expansion, reinforcing MITSUI E&S’s profit outlook despite an uncertain macro environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7003) stock is a Hold with a Yen7451.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui E&S Holdings Co stock, see the JP:7003 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui E&S Lifts Profit Outlook on Strong Q3 and Strategic Expansion
Feb 10, 2026

Mitsui E&S Holdings reported solid performance for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, with new orders of ¥207.6 billion, net sales of ¥253.2 billion, and operating income of ¥31.1 billion, all increasing year-on-year. Supported by this strong momentum, the company raised its full-year operating income forecast to ¥35 billion, and outlined strategic initiatives such as creating a Port Digital Transformation Department, expanding production capacity for ammonia-fueled propulsion systems, introducing a restricted stock incentive plan for its employee shareholding association, and securing an A- [Positive] credit rating from R&I, all of which underscore its efforts to bolster growth, technological edge, and financial standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7003) stock is a Hold with a Yen7451.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui E&S Holdings Co stock, see the JP:7003 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui E&S Lifts Full-Year Forecasts After Strong Nine-Month Earnings, Plans Higher Dividend
Feb 10, 2026

Mitsui E&S Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥253.2 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up from ¥218.7 billion a year earlier, with operating income rising to ¥35.9 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent increasing to ¥25.4 billion. The company strengthened its financial position with total assets of ¥475.2 billion and an equity ratio of 43.0%, revised up its full-year earnings forecast on the back of improved profitability, and announced a higher dividend forecast of ¥50 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, signaling confidence in earnings and shareholder returns.

For the full year to March 31, 2026, Mitsui E&S now projects net sales of ¥340 billion, operating income of ¥40 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥31 billion, assuming an exchange rate of USD1 = JPY150. The firm maintained a stable share base with approximately 100.9 million shares outstanding and no significant changes in the scope of consolidation, indicating that earnings momentum is being driven by existing operations rather than large-scale structural changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7003) stock is a Hold with a Yen7451.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui E&S Holdings Co stock, see the JP:7003 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026