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Rakuten Bank, Ltd. (JP:5838)
:5838
Japanese Market
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Rakuten Bank, Ltd. (5838) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5838

Rakuten Bank, Ltd.

(5838)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥7,004.00
▼(-21.50% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is supported by strong profitability and a moderate valuation, but is held back by high balance-sheet leverage, historically inconsistent cash-flow quality, and bearish technical positioning below key moving averages with negative MACD.
Positive Factors
Profitability / Margins
Consistently high net margins (roughly 20–29%) and expanding operating profitability indicate durable earnings power. This supports internal capital formation, funds reinvestment and buffers against cyclical shocks, making core bank economics more sustainable over months.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Material leverage (very high debt-to-equity) raises funding and credit sensitivity. Elevated indebtedness limits financial flexibility, amplifies earnings volatility from funding-cost moves, and increases downside risk in stress scenarios over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability / Margins
Consistently high net margins (roughly 20–29%) and expanding operating profitability indicate durable earnings power. This supports internal capital formation, funds reinvestment and buffers against cyclical shocks, making core bank economics more sustainable over months.
Read all positive factors

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. (5838) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Rakuten Bank, Ltd. provides internet banking products and services in Japan. The company offers personal services, including payment, money support/easy bank transfer, prepaid cards, Yen/foreign currency deposits, remittance, loan services, lotter...
How the Company Makes Money
Rakuten Bank primarily makes money through banking income earned from (1) net interest income—earning interest and fees on loans and other interest-earning assets while paying interest on customer deposits and other funding, with profitability inf...

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (82) is offset by high leverage on the balance sheet (58) and historically volatile cash flow (45) despite recent improvement. Overall earnings power is solid, but resilience and cash-flow durability are key risks.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue230.70B252.97B182.84B137.23B119.29B105.72B
Gross Profit184.00B193.79B151.72B123.64B111.23B100.49B
EBITDA97.13B110.99B71.52B53.40B43.28B27.91B
Net Income68.72B73.07B50.78B34.44B27.69B20.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.89T16.59T14.75T13.48T11.59T9.49T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.92T4.14T4.24T4.79T4.05T3.65T
Total Debt2.90T2.82T2.76T2.58T2.31T2.25T
Total Liabilities16.52T16.20T14.43T13.20T11.36T9.28T
Stockholders Equity354.05B372.07B302.25B260.69B213.03B187.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0052.56B62.83B-404.89B-418.31B-145.27B
Operating Cash Flow0.0054.05B63.41B-403.58B-416.89B-144.50B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.80T-1.83T-611.99B-1.25T-1.87T
Financing Cash Flow0.001.64T1.22T1.76T2.07T2.98T

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8922.00
Price Trends
50DMA
6242.60
Positive
100DMA
6786.80
Negative
200DMA
7258.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
60.29
Neutral
STOCH
62.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5838, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8922 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6337.30, above the 50-day MA of 6242.60, and above the 200-day MA of 7258.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5838.

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥2.03T5.9220.02%2.63%31.37%148.24%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
¥715.79B9.057.97%3.48%6.29%147.90%
61
Neutral
¥341.77B14.333.46%3.04%7.13%34.82%
58
Neutral
¥261.85B21.843.66%2.57%-20.63%
57
Neutral
¥1.15T13.4738.64%43.89%
56
Neutral
¥164.57B15.437.26%4.16%46.50%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5838
Rakuten Bank, Ltd.
6,767.00
195.00
2.97%
JP:8572
ACOM Co
465.30
60.17
14.85%
JP:8570
AEON Financial Service Co
1,584.00
362.18
29.64%
JP:8698
Monex Group
661.00
11.03
1.70%
JP:8473
SBI Holdings
3,108.00
1,182.48
61.41%
JP:8410
Seven Bank, Ltd.
275.00
8.63
3.24%

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. Corporate Events

Rakuten Bank Grants New Stock Options to Executives to Boost Long-Term Performance
May 20, 2026
Rakuten Bank has approved the issuance of stock acquisition rights as stock options to one director, 16 executive officers and directors of its subsidiaries, covering up to 173 units tied to 17,300 common shares. The program introduces two types o...
Rakuten Bank Overhauls Board and Executive Lineup Ahead of June Shareholders’ Meeting
May 20, 2026
Rakuten Bank has announced a slate of changes to its executive structure, with its board approving new director and Audit Supervisory Board member candidates ahead of the 27th Annual General Shareholders’ Meeting on June 24, 2026. The reshu...
Rakuten Discloses Cautious Update on Fintech Business Reorganization
May 20, 2026
Rakuten Group, Inc. and Rakuten Bank, Ltd. have released supplemental material concerning a reorganization of the Group’s fintech business, framed primarily as a disclosure document rather than a transactional announcement. The material emph...
Rakuten Bank to Amend Articles for Class A Non-Voting Shares in Fintech Reorganization
May 20, 2026
Rakuten Bank plans to amend its Articles of Incorporation to introduce Class A non-voting shares as part of a broader reorganization of Rakuten Group’s fintech operations. The bank will propose these changes at its 27th annual shareholders&#...
Mizuho Bank and Rakuten Bank Forge Strategic Alliance to Build New Credit Model
May 20, 2026
Mizuho Bank and Rakuten Bank have agreed a strategic capital and business alliance designed to create a new credit creation model by linking a megabank’s corporate lending capabilities with a digital bank’s retail deposit base. The mov...
Rakuten Bank to Lead Reorganized FinTech Arm as Parent of Card and Securities Units
May 20, 2026
Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank have agreed an integrated reorganization of the group’s FinTech operations, with Rakuten Bank to become the parent of Rakuten Card and Rakuten Securities Holdings via share deliveries. The move, subject to shar...
Rakuten Bank Denies Making Any Decision on Reported Mizuho Investment
May 17, 2026
Rakuten Bank has issued a clarification following a newspaper report that Mizuho Financial Group plans to invest in the online lender. The bank stated that this information did not originate from the company and should not be treated as an officia...
Rakuten Bank Delivers Strong 2026 Earnings and Projects Continued Growth
May 12, 2026
Rakuten Bank reported strong consolidated results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with ordinary income rising 38.4% to ¥255.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent climbing 43.9% to ¥73.1 billion, reflecting i...
Rakuten Bank to Launch Expanded Shareholder Benefit Program for March 2026 Record Date
Feb 25, 2026
Rakuten Bank, Ltd. has announced a shareholder benefit program for investors holding at least 100 shares as of March 31, 2026, granting preferential terms on selected banking products in Japan. Eligible individual shareholders, excluding certain b...
Rakuten Bank to Boost Capital at Taiwanese Digital Banking Unit
Feb 25, 2026
Rakuten Bank will inject additional capital into its consolidated subsidiary, Rakuten International Commercial Bank in Taiwan, to strengthen the unit’s capital base and support operational expansion. The planned increase of TWD 1.4 billion, ...
Rakuten Bank Taps Veteran Lawyer as New Outside Director
Feb 25, 2026
Rakuten Bank has nominated prominent lawyer Satoshi Kawai as a new outside director, to be put to a shareholder vote at the 27th Annual General Shareholders’ Meeting scheduled for June 2026. The move follows the planned retirement of outside...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026