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Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. (JP:5189)
:5189
Japanese Market

Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. (5189) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5189

Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd.

(5189)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,786.00
▲(67.45% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/11/26
Overall score is supported primarily by solid financial stability and cost structure alongside an attractive valuation (low P/E and dividend yield). The main offset is technical risk from an overbought setup (RSI 77.3) even though the broader trend remains bullish.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Low debt-to-equity (0.33) and a healthy equity ratio (54.6%) give Sakura Rubber durable financial flexibility. This conservative leverage profile reduces interest burden, supports capital allocation for capex or dividends, and increases resilience through auto-cycle volatility over months.
Strong gross margin and cost management
A 21.7% gross margin indicates solid cost control and product-level profitability in the auto-parts business. Sustained mid-teens-plus gross margins provide a structural buffer against commodity or pricing swings and support investment in R&D or process improvements over the medium term.
High cash earnings quality
Operating cash flow nearly equals net income, signaling that reported profits are backed by realized cash. This quality of earnings supports reliable funding for working capital, modest capex, dividends or debt reduction and reduces reliance on external financing over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak net profitability
A 3.5% net margin is thin for durability in a cyclical auto-parts sector; declines constrain retained earnings and reduce the firm's ability to absorb cost shocks or reinvest. Persistently low net margins can pressure ROE and limit strategic flexibility over months.
Inconsistent and weakening revenue trend
A recent revenue decline and uneven top-line growth undermine scale advantages and make fixed-cost absorption harder. Without stable revenue expansion, margin recovery and investment payback become more uncertain, raising execution risk across planning horizons.
Moderate and variable free cash flow efficiency
FCF at ~60% of net income and noted variability limits capacity to consistently fund growth, dividends or accelerate deleveraging. Variable cash generation increases vulnerability to operational disruptions and may force trade-offs in capital allocation over the medium term.

Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. (5189) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSakura Rubber Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells specialty rubber products. The company offers firefighting products, including fire hoses, firefighting suction hoses, toxic substances measuring instruments, firefighting training and rescue apparatus, air respirators, emergency life saving tools, powered impact tools, air lifting bags, community disaster prevention apparatus, couplings for large diameter hoses, MVU fans and blowers, and rescue support systems, as well as mountain, hydraulic, and water rescue tools. It also provides aerospace products, such as various fittings; PTFE, rubber, lightweight rubber and PTFE, oxygen suction, and duct hoses; extruded, sheet, and molded goods; and inflatable seals, insulation products, bending tubes, and quick disconnectors. In addition, the company offers industrial rubber products comprising tank vapor seals; oil-resistant hoses for petrochemical plants; suction delivery hoses; tank lorry hoses; gate seals; joints; rubber sheets; pressed products; molded rubber; and insulation and hydraulic hoses, as well as couplings for the general industry. Further, it engages in the real estate business comprising operation of shopping mall. Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySakura Rubber Co., Ltd. generates revenue through the sale of its rubber products to both domestic and international markets. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the automotive sector, where it supplies essential components such as seals, gaskets, and hoses. Additionally, Sakura Rubber engages in the production of custom rubber solutions tailored to specific client needs, which allows for higher profit margins. The company also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major industrial players, ensuring a steady demand for its products. Furthermore, Sakura Rubber invests in research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings, enhancing its market competitiveness and contributing to revenue growth.

Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balanced fundamentals: strong gross margin (21.7%) and solid leverage profile (debt-to-equity 0.33, equity ratio 54.6%), but profitability has come under pressure (net margin down to 3.5%) and revenue declined in the latest year. Cash earnings quality is good (operating cash flow to net income 0.99), though free cash flow efficiency is only moderate (FCF to net income 0.60) and variable.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company achieved a gross profit margin of 21.7% in the latest annual report, reflecting strong cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased over the years to 3.5%, indicating pressure on bottom-line profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline in the latest year, signaling potential challenges in market conditions or operational execution. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT margin of 5.3% and an EBITDA margin of 8.0%, which are indicative of operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. presents a stable financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at a manageable 0.33, highlighting a conservative approach to leverage. The return on equity is positive at 4.7%, though this figure has been declining, suggesting potential inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy at 54.6%, indicating a strong asset base supported by shareholder equity. The overall financial health appears sound, though there is room for improving asset utilization.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals both strengths and weaknesses for Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.99, indicating that operating cash flows are nearly equivalent to net income, which is a positive sign of cash earnings quality. However, free cash flow has shown variability, with a growth rate of 4.97% year-over-year, reflecting potential volatility in cash generation capability. While the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, suggesting some level of cash efficiency, the company should focus on enhancing its free cash flow generation to support future growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.50B12.19B13.35B10.69B8.87B10.02B
Gross Profit2.70B2.65B3.04B2.16B1.45B1.97B
EBITDA1.00B977.52M1.40B865.92M220.58M571.92M
Net Income453.86M425.92M733.50M314.19M-94.50M235.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.41B16.59B17.57B16.32B14.38B14.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.28B3.14B3.02B3.02B3.36B3.34B
Total Debt3.09B3.02B2.94B3.11B3.49B3.42B
Total Liabilities6.52B7.53B8.85B8.56B6.93B7.21B
Stockholders Equity8.89B9.06B8.72B7.76B7.44B7.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00257.43M245.24M-381.41M-111.28M735.41M
Operating Cash Flow0.00423.08M367.00M-254.51M71.59M1.21B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-197.15M-146.90M292.04M-90.22M-504.60M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-101.63M-223.37M-370.75M29.93M140.49M

Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2261.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2622.40
Positive
100DMA
2460.15
Positive
200DMA
2228.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
198.38
Negative
RSI
78.20
Negative
STOCH
92.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5189, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2261 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2938.95, below the 50-day MA of 2622.40, and above the 200-day MA of 2228.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 198.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5189.

Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥30.01B12.884.20%-1.15%-34.09%
75
Outperform
¥595.80B13.508.26%2.62%1.44%-0.92%
75
Outperform
¥6.66B8.952.64%2.28%41.72%
73
Outperform
¥166.35B23.865.78%-4.26%17.85%
66
Neutral
¥44.97B77.235.35%-6.20%-64.65%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
¥3.69B-146.233.03%4.17%-693.96%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5189
Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd.
3,365.00
1,544.22
84.81%
JP:7282
Toyoda Gosei Co
5,091.00
2,512.82
97.46%
JP:5161
Nishikawa Rubber Co., Ltd.
4,545.00
2,339.74
106.10%
JP:5162
Asahi Rubber Inc.
813.00
261.54
47.43%
JP:5185
Fukoku Co., Ltd.
2,015.00
466.17
30.10%
JP:5988
PIOLAX, Inc.
1,800.00
-502.91
-21.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 11, 2026