Toyoda Gosei Co (7282) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥595.80B
• Dividend Yield: 2.62%
• Average Volume (3M): 448.11K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.23
• Revenue Growth: 1.44%
• EPS Growth: -0.92%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 38,951
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Auto - Parts
• EPS (TTM): 127.16
• Shares Outstanding: 117,614,140
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 523,530
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 448,106
• PEG Ratio: -0.33
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.63
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.32
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.13
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 371.75
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥1.11T

• Rating: 75 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥5,382.00 ▲(32.79% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/05/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/05/26

The score is driven mainly by improving financial performance and a conservatively leveraged balance sheet, supported by a strong uptrend in the stock price. Offsetting factors are only moderate cash-flow conversion and technically stretched momentum (RSI/Stoch elevated). Valuation is supportive with a modest P/E and a mid-level dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Conservative leverage

Very low and improving leverage gives the company financial resilience through vehicle cycles, preserves capacity to fund program-specific capex and tooling, and reduces refinancing risk. This supports stable supplier relationships and long-term investment in production footprint and R&D.

Positive free cash flow trend

Sustained positive free cash flow and recent growth provide durable internal funding for reinvestment, dividends, and program tooling. Over 2–6 months this strengthens the company’s ability to meet OEM commitments and finance efficiency or product-development projects without heavy external borrowing.

OEM relationships & engineering know-how

Deep engineering expertise in polymers/rubber and established OEM relationships create high switching costs and program-based revenue stickiness. A global, plant-near-customer footprint supports just-in-time supply and improves chances of winning new platform awards, supporting durable revenue streams.

Negative Factors

Modest revenue growth

Revenue growth is low, reflecting dependence on OEM production cycles and limited organic expansion. Over the medium term this constrains scale-related margin improvement and makes returns heavily tied to specific program wins or vehicle content increases rather than broad top-line expansion.

Moderate cash conversion

Only ~54% cash conversion of reported profits highlights sensitivity to working-capital swings and reinvestment timing. That reduces predictable internal liquidity for capex or contingencies and increases reliance on careful working-capital management across production ramps or supply disruptions.

Cyclical, modest margins

Margins are modest and have shown cyclical volatility, exposing profits to raw-material swings and OEM pricing pressure. This limits free cash generation ceiling and return on capital, increasing earnings variability across automotive cycles and constraining long-term margin expansion.

Toyoda Gosei Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells automotive parts, optoelectronic products, and general industry products. The company offers weatherstrips products, such as opening trim weatherstrips, door glass runs, door and outer weatherstrips, and luggage weatherstrips; functional components, including fuel tank module components, power train parts, and chassis and drive train parts; interior and exterior parts; and safety system products, such as airbags, steering wheels, and other products. It also provides solar LEDs, UV-C LED modules, and UV-C LED water purification units; and general industry products, including air conditioning products, home construction components, construction and industrial machinery parts, and LED dynamo lights. It has operations in Japan, the Americas, Europe and Africa, and Asia. Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Kiyosu, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Toyoda Gosei generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive components to major automobile manufacturers. The company's revenue model is centered on long-term contracts and partnerships with key players in the automotive sector, which provide a stable income stream. Additionally, the company has diversified its revenue sources through the development of specialty products for non-automotive sectors, including electronics and industrial applications. Significant partnerships with leading car manufacturers enhance its market presence and contribute to consistent earnings. The company's focus on innovative and eco-friendly products also positions it well to capitalize on trends towards sustainability in automotive manufacturing.

Toyoda Gosei Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operating results are improving with modest TTM revenue growth (+2.2%) and solid margins for the sector (gross ~15.6%, EBIT ~6.7%, net ~4.3%). Balance sheet leverage is conservative and improving (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.21) with ROE trending higher (~8.6%). Cash flow is a weaker spot: while TTM free cash flow is positive (~¥68.6B), cash conversion is only moderate (OCF and FCF ~54% of net income), indicating sensitivity to working-capital/reinvestment swings.

Income Statement

TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows modest revenue growth (+2.2%) with solid profitability for an auto-parts supplier: gross margin ~15.6%, EBIT margin ~6.7%, and net margin ~4.3%. Earnings quality has improved versus FY2023–FY2025 annual results, with net income rebounding from a weak FY2023 level, but margins remain somewhat cyclical (net margin ranged from ~1.7% in FY2023 to ~4.8% in FY2024), indicating sensitivity to costs and/or pricing conditions.

Balance Sheet

Leverage looks conservative and improving: TTM debt-to-equity is ~0.21 (down from ~0.36–0.41 in FY2022–FY2023), supported by a sizable equity base (TTM equity ~¥592B vs. debt ~¥127B). Returns are decent and trending better (TTM return on equity ~8.6% vs. ~6.7% in FY2025 annual and ~3.6% in FY2023), though still not consistently high, which suggests profitability can fluctuate through the cycle.

Cash Flow

Cash generation has strengthened recently: TTM free cash flow is positive (~¥68.6B) with strong growth (+8.5%), a notable improvement from the negative free cash flow in FY2022 and weaker FY2023. However, cash conversion is only moderate—TTM operating cash flow covers about 54% of net income and free cash flow is about 54% of net income—suggesting working-capital swings and/or reinvestment needs can meaningfully impact cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.10T	1.06T	1.07T	951.88B	830.24B	721.50B
Gross Profit	172.54B	160.34B	157.91B	115.58B	96.56B	98.67B
EBITDA	127.34B	119.06B	129.40B	86.34B	82.29B	78.29B
Net Income	47.96B	36.33B	51.45B	16.00B	23.35B	35.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.01T	913.04B	933.35B	865.30B	859.30B	775.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	178.32B	118.77B	146.00B	105.27B	109.14B	134.00B
Total Debt	126.83B	109.53B	138.38B	163.02B	173.70B	152.21B
Total Liabilities	366.61B	324.63B	366.61B	378.93B	396.51B	354.70B
Stockholders Equity	591.82B	542.63B	522.34B	448.41B	428.80B	391.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	68.59B	33.63B	81.66B	7.84B	-24.07B	17.65B
Operating Cash Flow	126.33B	92.01B	128.37B	53.97B	27.66B	67.25B
Investing Cash Flow	-46.21B	-71.82B	-40.69B	-31.95B	-59.43B	-49.95B
Financing Cash Flow	-43.79B	-50.68B	-53.07B	-28.56B	2.21B	-13.06B

Toyoda Gosei Co Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 4053.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7282, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4053 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4942.35, below the 50-day MA of 4444.84, and above the 200-day MA of 3612.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 169.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7282.

Toyoda Gosei Co Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
6995	81 Outperform	¥290.39B	9.05	―	3.36%	1.36%	139.77%
7988	79 Outperform	¥520.28B	11.58	―	1.60%	-5.16%	200.96%
6923	78 Outperform	¥431.48B	13.36	6.37%	2.88%	4.86%	10.95%
7276	76 Outperform	$796.07B	19.73	7.20%	2.41%	-0.73%	88.36%
7282	75 Outperform	¥595.80B	13.50	8.26%	2.62%	1.44%	-0.92%
3116	66 Neutral	¥571.83B	33.50	4.51%	3.42%	2.10%	-50.33%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%

Toyoda Gosei Co Corporate Events

Toyoda Gosei Lifts FY2025 Earnings Forecast on Strong Demand and FX Tailwinds

Toyoda Gosei has raised its consolidated financial forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, citing stronger-than-expected earnings driven by increased customer production volumes and favorable foreign exchange movements. The company now projects revenue of ¥1.14 trillion, operating profit of ¥70 billion, profit before income taxes of ¥78 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥53 billion, all substantially higher than both its previous forecast and the prior year’s results, implying a notable uplift in profitability and basic earnings per share, and signaling improved operational momentum for shareholders and other stakeholders despite the usual uncertainties around forward-looking estimates.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7282) stock is a Buy with a Yen4694.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyoda Gosei Co stock, see the JP:7282 Stock Forecast page.

Toyoda Gosei Lifts Full-Year Outlook on Strong Nine-Month Profit Growth

Toyoda Gosei reported consolidated revenue of ¥830.6 billion for the first nine months of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, up 5.5% year-on-year, with operating profit rising 11.5% to ¥52.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent jumping 36.0% to ¥43.9 billion. Earnings per share climbed to ¥345.38, while total assets and equity increased following the consolidation of Ashimori Industry Co., Ltd. and its Mexican unit and the exclusion of Toyoda Gosei UK Ltd. The company maintained a robust equity ratio of 58.4% and confirmed an interim dividend of ¥50 per share, with a full-year dividend forecast of ¥110. Management raised full-year guidance to ¥1.14 trillion in revenue and ¥53.0 billion in profit attributable to owners of the parent, implying strong profit growth versus the prior year and signaling confidence in improved profitability and portfolio restructuring despite market uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7282) stock is a Buy with a Yen4694.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyoda Gosei Co stock, see the JP:7282 Stock Forecast page.

Toyoda Gosei Expands North American Operations with TAPEX Subsidiary Transfer

Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. has announced the transfer of shares to its subsidiary, TAPEX Mexicana, S.A. de C.V., to bolster its safety systems production capacity in North America. This move will result in TAPEX becoming a specified company, with its capital exceeding 10% of Toyoda Gosei’s capital, indicating a strategic focus on expanding its market influence and operational capabilities in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7282) stock is a Hold with a Yen3704.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyoda Gosei Co stock, see the JP:7282 Stock Forecast page.

Toyoda Gosei Announces Stock Repurchase Program for 2026

Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. announced the determination of the period for its stock repurchase program, set from January 7, 2026, to January 6, 2027. This decision follows a resolution by the Board of Directors and is part of a strategic move to repurchase up to 10 million shares, representing up to 7.86% of the total issued shares, with an aggregate repurchase cost of up to 50 billion yen. The repurchase will be conducted through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, potentially impacting the company’s stock value and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7282) stock is a Hold with a Yen3704.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyoda Gosei Co stock, see the JP:7282 Stock Forecast page.

Toyoda Gosei Announces Details of Secondary Stock Offering

Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. has announced the selling price and other details for a secondary offering of its common stock, as resolved by its Board of Directors. The offering includes a substantial number of shares to be sold both domestically and internationally, with a focus on markets in Europe and Asia. This move is likely aimed at raising capital and potentially expanding the company’s market reach, impacting its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7282) stock is a Hold with a Yen3704.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyoda Gosei Co stock, see the JP:7282 Stock Forecast page.

Toyoda Gosei Announces Strategic Share Repurchase and Cancellation Plan

Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. has announced a strategic move to repurchase up to 10 million of its common shares, representing approximately 7.86% of its total issued shares, with a budget of up to 50 billion yen. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, aims to improve capital efficiency and shareholder returns while mitigating market impacts related to a secondary offering. The repurchased shares are scheduled for cancellation, underscoring the company’s commitment to optimizing its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7282) stock is a Hold with a Yen3908.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyoda Gosei Co stock, see the JP:7282 Stock Forecast page.

Toyoda Gosei Announces Strategic Secondary Offering and Share Repurchase

Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. has announced a secondary offering of its common stock as part of a strategic move to optimize its shareholder composition and enhance corporate value. The company plans to repurchase up to 50 billion yen worth of its shares to mitigate the impact of the offering on share supply and demand, while also aiming to improve capital efficiency and reinforce shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7282) stock is a Hold with a Yen3908.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toyoda Gosei Co stock, see the JP:7282 Stock Forecast page.