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Smart Drive Co. Ltd. (JP:5137)
:5137
Japanese Market

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. (5137) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5137

Smart Drive Co. Ltd.

(5137)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥288.00
▼(-31.91% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is supported primarily by improved financial performance (profitability inflection, stronger margins, better leverage, and strong 2025 cash conversion). Offsetting this, technical signals are weak (below major moving averages and negative MACD) and valuation is demanding (P/E ~51.6 with no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Margin Expansion / Profitability Inflection
The company achieved a durable profitability inflection, reaching ~16% net margin in 2025 with healthy EBIT/EBITDA. Sustained margins suggest structural improvements in unit economics and cost discipline, providing a stronger earnings base to fund growth and absorb cyclical pressure over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Decelerating Revenue Growth
Revenue growth deceleration from high double-digits to single-digit rates reduces the margin of safety for sustained profitability gains. With slower top-line momentum, the company must sustain product adoption or expand use cases to preserve operating leverage; failure could pressure future margin sustainability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin Expansion / Profitability Inflection
The company achieved a durable profitability inflection, reaching ~16% net margin in 2025 with healthy EBIT/EBITDA. Sustained margins suggest structural improvements in unit economics and cost discipline, providing a stronger earnings base to fund growth and absorb cyclical pressure over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. (5137) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SmartDrive inc. engages in the development of data platforms and services that support the evolution of mobility services in Japan. It provides SmartDrive Fleet, a cloud-based vehicle management system that solves various problems in the areas of ...
How the Company Makes Money
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Smart Drive Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround with profitability and margin expansion (2025 net margin ~16%) and improved leverage as equity rebuilt. Cash flow quality improved sharply in 2025 (FCF ~0.99x net income), but historical cash flow inconsistency and slowing revenue growth are key risks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.88B2.17B1.71B1.25B827.67M
Gross Profit1.77B1.37B1.13B763.81M553.46M
EBITDA527.40M238.09M5.97M-318.14M-361.47M
Net Income453.64M266.28M-28.85M-303.49M-327.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.39B1.86B1.51B1.15B1.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments858.01M817.17M981.17M854.92M1.32B
Total Debt577.22M530.00M530.00M630.00M630.00M
Total Liabilities1.25B1.09B1.02B1.10B947.04M
Stockholders Equity1.15B776.59M489.50M46.23M563.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow629.06M35.99M-112.46M-461.56M-272.87M
Operating Cash Flow638.30M46.02M-107.33M-445.96M-268.27M
Investing Cash Flow-548.85M-231.48M-113.33M-16.59M3.33M
Financing Cash Flow-39.13M23.59M347.24M0.001.12B

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price423.00
Price Trends
50DMA
309.28
Negative
100DMA
360.33
Negative
200DMA
399.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.68
Negative
RSI
49.06
Neutral
STOCH
33.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5137, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 423 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 291.80, above the 50-day MA of 309.28, and above the 200-day MA of 399.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5137.

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥78.13B7.463.28%5.28%28.90%
76
Outperform
¥149.67B14.812.30%13.82%37.07%
75
Outperform
¥147.64B9.3411.52%2.76%4.00%38.72%
74
Outperform
¥29.81B35.9929.61%93.16%
65
Neutral
¥31.25B10.7510.34%4.82%-3.03%38.83%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
¥11.03B51.5732.46%70.03%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5137
Smart Drive Co. Ltd.
291.00
12.67
4.55%
JP:9715
transcosmos
3,940.00
972.87
32.79%
JP:4725
CAC Holdings Corporation
1,851.00
-43.90
-2.32%
JP:2317
Systena Corporation
413.00
72.74
21.38%
JP:3636
Mitsubishi Research Institute
4,820.00
385.65
8.70%
JP:5574
ABEJA,Inc.
3,000.00
912.00
43.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026