INFRONEER Holdings Inc. (JP:5076)
:5076
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INFRONEER Holdings Inc.
(5076)
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Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,677.00
▲(25.21% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance in 2026 (stronger growth, margins, and free cash flow) and very attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend and positive momentum, though elevated RSI/Stoch suggest some near-term overheating. Higher leverage and historical cash-flow/margin volatility remain the key risk factors.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin Recovery
Recent re-acceleration of revenue and materially higher net and EBIT margins indicates improving contract mix and operational leverage. For a project-driven infrastructure operator, sustained revenue growth with expanding margins supports durable earnings power and better ability to fund projects and dividends over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Higher leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest coverage risk for a capital-intensive operator. If project cash conversion softens or interest rates rise, servicing debt could constrain investment or require asset sales, impacting durability of operations across the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Margin Recovery
Recent re-acceleration of revenue and materially higher net and EBIT margins indicates improving contract mix and operational leverage. For a project-driven infrastructure operator, sustained revenue growth with expanding margins supports durable earnings power and better ability to fund projects and dividends over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. (5076) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥589.87B
Dividend Yield2.89%
Average Volume (3M)1.69M
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.3
Beta (1Y)0.60
Revenue Growth32.72%
EPS Growth133.48%
CountryJP
Employees8,037
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryEngineering & Construction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)304.98
Shares Outstanding274,845,030
10 Day Avg. Volume1,974,530
30 Day Avg. Volume1,686,303
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.05
Price to Book (P/B)0.88
Price to Sales (P/S)0.48
P/FCF Ratio3.86
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥2,900.00Price Target Upside35.64% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)203.35
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥1.38T
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
INFRONEER Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides infrastructure services in Japan. It offers planning, design, construction, operation, and maintenance infrastructure, as well as management of and operation of associated or relate...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money primarily through fees and payments earned by its operating subsidiaries for managing, operating, and maintaining infrastructure assets. Key revenue streams include (1) operating and maintenance service revenue tied to road...
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.12T | 847.55B | 793.26B | 711.81B | 682.91B |
| Gross Profit | 163.97B | 108.84B | 105.90B | 92.07B | 84.86B |
| EBITDA | 114.41B | 82.50B | 83.34B | 79.46B | 69.13B |
| Net Income | 76.57B | 32.42B | 32.57B | 33.49B | 26.69B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.02T | 1.45T | 1.41T | 978.06B | 926.43B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 360.98B | 119.50B | 113.42B | 91.94B | 78.06B |
| Total Debt | 612.97B | 418.68B | 504.28B | 189.91B | 194.17B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.38T | 907.88B | 991.38B | 603.97B | 570.56B |
| Stockholders Equity | 610.60B | 519.14B | 399.92B | 361.78B | 346.91B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 139.99B | 1.75B | -3.85B | 62.93B | -38.03B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 192.78B | 39.60B | 38.92B | 102.76B | -16.33B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -39.25B | -23.94B | -279.25B | -22.08B | -22.55B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 86.67B | -8.44B | 261.32B | -67.80B | 15.29B |
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis
Positive
2138.00
Price Trends
2236.92
Positive
2281.19
Positive
1949.30
Positive
Market Momentum
52.04
Negative
57.87
Neutral
27.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5076, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2138 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2321.35, below the 50-day MA of 2236.92, and above the 200-day MA of 1949.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 52.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5076.
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | ¥589.87B | 7.35 | ― | 2.89% | 32.72% | 133.48% | |
79 Outperform | ¥620.87B | 17.24 | 8.34% | 2.66% | 2.61% | 22.78% | |
78 Outperform | ¥1.32T | 20.88 | 14.94% | 2.00% | 10.44% | 50.36% | |
78 Outperform | ¥648.88B | 16.43 | ― | 2.15% | 0.46% | 38.67% | |
72 Outperform | ¥561.38B | 18.94 | ― | 2.51% | 17.43% | 16.94% | |
70 Neutral | ¥326.08B | 14.94 | 8.70% | 2.28% | 4.11% | 37.43% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
* Industrials Sector Average
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INFRONEER Holdings Inc. Corporate Events
INFRONEER Ties Employee Share Plan to Sustainability-Linked Loan and Treasury Share Disposal
May 13, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. has approved the introduction of a new Stock Grant Trust for its Employee Shareholding Association, funded via a sustainability-linked loan, to improve employee welfare and tie incentives more closely to the company’s...
INFRONEER to Dispose of Treasury Shares for Expanded Stock Grant Trusts
May 13, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. will dispose of 6.39 million treasury shares, or about 2.17% of its outstanding stock, to a trust account managed by Custody Bank of Japan for a total of approximately ¥15.27 billion. The shares will fund its Board Ben...
INFRONEER Sets Up Recurrence Prevention Committee After Alleged MAEDA Misconduct
May 13, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings Inc., through its subsidiary MAEDA CORPORATION, has moved to address alleged misconduct involving an employee who is reported to have provided money to a Yatsushiro City Council member in connection with a municipal construction...
INFRONEER Raises Minimum Dividend and Reaffirms Commitment to Shareholder Returns
May 13, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. has revised its shareholder return policy under its INFRONEER Medium-term Vision 2027, reflecting expectations of continued stable profits and a commitment to enhancing returns. The company has historically aimed for stable...
INFRONEER Publishes Detailed Fact Book Highlighting Multi-Year Financial Trends
May 13, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. released a fact book for the year ended March 31, 2026, detailing consolidated balance sheets, income statements, segment data, key performance indicators and supplementary indicators under both Japanese GAAP and IFRS. The ...
INFRONEER Details FY25 Results, FY26 Outlook and Capital Strategy
May 13, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings released supplementary materials for its FY25 financial results and FY26 forecast, outlining management’s view of the operating environment, consolidated performance, and segment-level trends across building construction, ...
INFRONEER Outlines FY25 Results, FY26 Plan and Strategic Deals
May 13, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings released its FY25 financial presentation outlining results, FY26 business plans, and guidance by segment, highlighting its focus on business profit, capital efficiency, and shareholder returns. The company also detailed strategi...
INFRONEER Profit Surges as Sales Top ¥1.1 Trillion and Dividend Doubles
May 13, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings reported a sharp jump in full-year results for the period ended March 31, 2026, with net sales up 32.7% to ¥1.12 trillion and profit attributable to owners of the parent surging 136.2% to ¥76.6 billion, helped by stron...
INFRONEER Lowers Conversion Price on 2029 Green Convertible Bonds After Extraordinary Dividend
May 8, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings has adjusted the conversion price of its zero coupon convertible Green CBs due 2029 from ¥1,722.8 to ¥1,660.4, effective 1 April 2026. The change reflects the terms of the bond issuance, which require a price reset fol...
INFRONEER Lifts Profit Outlook and Boosts Dividends Despite Slight Sales Dip
May 8, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. revised its forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, projecting slightly lower net sales but significantly higher profits, with business profit now expected to rise to ¥84.1 billion and profit attributable t...
INFRONEER Probes Alleged Improper Payment at MAEDA Subsidiary
May 7, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings disclosed that an employee of its core subsidiary MAEDA CORPORATION has been reported by the media to have provided money to a Yatsushiro City council member in connection with a city-commissioned construction project. The compa...
INFRONEER Subsidiary Completes Tender Offer for SUMIKEN MITSUI ROAD Shares
Apr 22, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings Inc., through its subsidiary Sumitomo Mitsui Construction Co., Ltd., is expanding its presence in the construction and infrastructure sector, where it provides civil and building works, prestressed concrete services, and real es...
INFRONEER Re-nominates Seven-Director Slate to Strengthen Governance and Advance Medium-Term Plan
Apr 20, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings announced that its Nominating Committee has resolved to propose seven candidates for its Board of Directors at the 5th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for June 2026. The slate consists of one internal director...
INFRONEER to Make Water Treatment Specialist Swing a Wholly Owned Subsidiary
Apr 14, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings has agreed to acquire all shares of Swing Corporation from Ebara, JGC Holdings and Mitsubishi, making the water treatment specialist a wholly owned and specified subsidiary. The move aligns with INFRONEER’s medium- to long...
INFRONEER Clarifies Nikkei Report on Potential Swing Corporation Acquisition
Apr 13, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings Inc. has addressed a Nikkei report claiming the company has decided to acquire Swing Corporation for more than JPY 90 billion, clarifying that the information did not originate from the company. The infrastructure-focused group,...
INFRONEER Unit Sumitomo Mitsui Construction to Launch Tender Offer for Sumiken Mitsui Road
Mar 9, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings said its subsidiary Sumitomo Mitsui Construction will launch a tender offer for the common shares of Sumiken Mitsui Road, a company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Standard Market. The move, conducted under Japan’s Fina...
INFRONEER to Rebrand Sumitomo Mitsui Construction as ARSOCIA CONSTRUCTION
Feb 16, 2026
INFRONEER Holdings will rename its consolidated subsidiary Sumitomo Mitsui Construction Co., Ltd., a major player in civil engineering, building works, and real estate development, to ARSOCIA CONSTRUCTION CO., LTD. The move follows the companyR...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.