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BP Castrol K.K. (JP:5015)
:5015
Japanese Market

BP Castrol K.K. (5015) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5015

BP Castrol K.K.

(5015)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,094.00
▲(19.69% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is led by strong financial performance—especially the zero-debt balance sheet and improved 2025 profitability—partly tempered by inconsistent cash conversion. Valuation is supportive due to the ~4.7% dividend yield but moderated by a ~20 P/E. Technicals are constructive longer-term but show mild near-term weakness versus the 20-day average.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
Zero reported debt and sizable equity give durable financial flexibility. With equity ~¥10–11B and improving ROE (≈5.7% to 10.4% from 2022–2025), the company can fund dividends, capex, or withstand cyclic downturns without leverage-induced risk, supporting long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent cash conversion
Weak and volatile operating cash conversion versus reported earnings reduces confidence in earnings quality and limits predictable free cash flow. That inconsistency can constrain sustained dividend coverage, capital allocation decisions, and the ability to invest through downturns without using reserves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
Zero reported debt and sizable equity give durable financial flexibility. With equity ~¥10–11B and improving ROE (≈5.7% to 10.4% from 2022–2025), the company can fund dividends, capex, or withstand cyclic downturns without leverage-induced risk, supporting long-term stability.
Read all positive factors

BP Castrol K.K. (5015) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

BP Castrol K.K. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BP Castrol K.K. manufactures sells automotive lubricants in Japan. The company's products portfolio includes gasoline engine oil, diesel engine oil, automobile gear oil, ATF fluid, brake fluid, car care products, etc. It sells its products under t...
How the Company Makes Money
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BP Castrol K.K. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by a very conservative balance sheet (zero debt; high stability) and improved 2025 profitability (EBIT margin ~10.8%, net margin ~7.2%). Offsetting factors are a clear post-2021 margin reset/cyclicality and weaker cash conversion/volatility (operating cash flow modest vs. earnings, with inconsistent coverage).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.81B14.69B13.65B12.04B11.19B11.09B
Gross Profit4.51B5.49B4.94B4.60B4.62B5.80B
EBITDA1.06B1.72B1.55B1.25B998.83M2.40B
Net Income630.07M1.05B932.53M781.50M572.53M1.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.52B12.99B13.44B12.81B12.75B13.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments223.00M195.62M777.45M1.27B1.70B1.02B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities2.74B2.91B3.43B2.84B2.67B2.64B
Stockholders Equity9.78B10.08B10.01B9.97B10.08B10.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00780.14M408.69M451.20M104.37M1.09B
Operating Cash Flow0.00895.32M516.61M645.39M378.65M1.20B
Investing Cash Flow0.00375.04M-122.66M-193.54M1.72B-114.38M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-985.33M-894.21M-893.74M-1.42B-1.58B

BP Castrol K.K. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price914.00
Price Trends
50DMA
985.68
Positive
100DMA
957.72
Positive
200DMA
904.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.48
Positive
RSI
56.73
Neutral
STOCH
54.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 914 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1002.10, below the 50-day MA of 985.68, and above the 200-day MA of 904.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5015.

BP Castrol K.K. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥131.21B17.492.57%7.46%153.98%
73
Outperform
¥23.26B20.214.50%13.76%13.58%
68
Neutral
¥2.01T21.952.23%3.07%-7.68%-73.03%
68
Neutral
¥74.84B32.151.37%-5.02%186.97%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
¥228.24B12.703.45%-4.87%26.27%
56
Neutral
¥3.90T11.54-0.15%2.74%-14.13%33.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5015
BP Castrol K.K.
1,013.00
231.02
29.54%
JP:5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co
1,558.50
716.12
85.01%
JP:5020
ENEOS Holdings
1,443.50
803.53
125.56%
JP:8131
Mitsuuroko Group Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,345.00
689.73
41.67%
JP:8132
SINANEN HOLDINGS CO.LTD.
7,500.00
865.49
13.05%
JP:8133
ITOCHU ENEX CO., LTD.
2,022.00
608.17
43.02%

BP Castrol K.K. Corporate Events

BP Castrol K.K. Delivers Higher Earnings and Stronger Capital in FY2025
Feb 9, 2026
BP Castrol K.K. reported solid results for the fiscal year ended December 2025, with net sales rising 7.6% year on year to ¥14.69 billion and operating profit up 15.3% to ¥1.56 billion, driving a 12.7% increase in profit to ¥1.05 bi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026