BP Castrol K.K. (5015) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥21.12B
• Dividend Yield: 4.5%
• Average Volume (3M): 12.07K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 21.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.25
• Revenue Growth: 13.76%
• EPS Growth: 13.58%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 91
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
• EPS (TTM): 12.34
• Shares Outstanding: 22,975,187
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 11,710
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 12,066
• PEG Ratio: 1.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.46
• P/FCF Ratio: 48.87
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥983.00 ▲(7.55% Upside)

The score is driven primarily by solid financial stability (notably a debt-free balance sheet) and improving revenue, tempered by materially lower margins and weaker cash conversion. Technicals are mixed-to-soft in the near term (below 20/50 DMA), while valuation is supported by a strong dividend yield but held back by a mid-range P/E.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth over multiple years indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.

Debt-Free Balance Sheet

A debt-free balance sheet enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities without financial strain.

Market Position

Strong financial performance in recent quarters reflects solid market positioning, which can lead to sustained profitability and competitive advantage.

Negative Factors

Profitability Decline

Declining profitability margins suggest challenges in cost management or pricing power, which could impact long-term earnings potential.

Weak Cash Conversion

Weak cash conversion indicates inefficiencies in turning earnings into cash, potentially limiting the company's ability to fund operations and growth.

Margin Compression

Significant margin compression may reflect increased competition or rising costs, which could pressure future profitability if not addressed.

BP Castrol K.K. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BP Castrol K.K. (5015) is a subsidiary of BP p.l.c., operating within the automotive and industrial lubricants sectors. The company specializes in the production and distribution of high-performance lubricants, including engine oils, greases, and related products, serving a wide array of industries ranging from automotive to industrial machinery.

How the Company Makes Money

BP Castrol K.K. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its lubricant products. The company's key revenue streams include the automotive sector, where it supplies engine oils and maintenance products to car manufacturers, dealerships, and service centers. Additionally, it serves industrial clients by providing specialized lubricants for machinery and equipment. Strategic partnerships with automotive brands and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) play a significant role in its distribution network, enhancing market reach and product placement. Revenue is also influenced by factors such as global oil prices and demand fluctuations in the automotive and industrial sectors.

BP Castrol K.K. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

BP Castrol K.K. is financially sound, with strong revenue growth and efficient operational margins. The balance sheet is robust, featuring no debt and a strong equity position, though leveraging opportunities exist. Cash flow remains healthy despite a slight decline in growth. The company's overall financial health is strong, positioning it well for future opportunities in the oil & gas sector.

Income Statement

BP Castrol K.K. demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 13.45% increase from the previous year, alongside a healthy Gross Profit Margin of 37.17% and Net Profit Margin of 6.83% for 2024. The EBIT Margin of 9.92% and EBITDA Margin of 10.91% indicate efficient operational performance. The positive trajectory in revenue and margins reflects robust financial health and effective cost management.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a solid financial position with no debt and a strong Equity Ratio of 74.48%. The Return on Equity is 9.32%, showing effective utilization of shareholders' funds. However, the absence of debt can limit leverage opportunities for growth. The balance sheet reflects financial stability, but potential growth could be enhanced with strategic leveraging.

Cash Flow

BP Castrol K.K. experienced a decline in Free Cash Flow by 9.42% compared to the previous year, but maintains a strong Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.55. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.44 suggests a solid ability to generate cash from operations. The cash flow indicates operational efficiency, though the decline in Free Cash Flow growth presents a minor concern.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.81B	13.65B	12.04B	11.19B	11.09B	10.83B
Gross Profit	4.51B	4.94B	4.60B	4.62B	5.80B	5.98B
EBITDA	1.06B	1.55B	1.25B	998.83M	2.40B	2.51B
Net Income	630.07M	932.53M	781.50M	572.53M	1.55B	1.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.52B	13.44B	12.81B	12.75B	13.57B	13.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	223.00M	777.45M	1.27B	339.70M	250.23M	171.28M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Total Liabilities	2.74B	3.43B	2.84B	2.67B	2.64B	2.89B
Stockholders Equity	9.78B	10.01B	9.97B	10.08B	10.93B	10.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	291.44M	408.69M	451.20M	104.37M	1.09B	1.72B
Operating Cash Flow	291.44M	516.61M	645.39M	378.65M	1.20B	1.83B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-122.66M	-193.54M	1.72B	-114.38M	-111.75M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-894.21M	-893.74M	-1.42B	-1.58B	-1.61B

BP Castrol K.K. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 914.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5015, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 914 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 926.83, below the 50-day MA of 925.92, and above the 200-day MA of 853.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5015.

BP Castrol K.K. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8133	70 Neutral	¥220.91B	13.72	―	3.45%	-4.87%	26.27%
5010	66 Neutral	¥3.87B	3.73	―	―	-10.55%	-21.44%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
5015	64 Neutral	¥21.12B	20.99	―	4.50%	13.76%	13.58%
5020	64 Neutral	¥3.16T	14.80	-0.15%	2.74%	-14.13%	33.18%
5019	63 Neutral	¥1.56T	39.07	2.23%	3.07%	-7.68%	-73.03%
5017	50 Neutral	¥36.84B	-4.73	-10.95%	2.52%	-29.16%	34.28%

BP Castrol K.K. Corporate Events

BP Castrol K.K. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results

BP Castrol K.K. reported a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with net sales increasing by 11.1% and operating profit rising by 17.7% compared to the same period in 2024. The company’s robust results reflect its solid market positioning and effective operational strategies, which have positively impacted its profitability and financial stability.