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Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd. (JP:5010)
:5010
Japanese Market

Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd. (5010) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5010

Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd.

(5010)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥253.00
▲(33.16% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial fundamentals: strong recent cash flow and a recovery from prior loss years are offset by high leverage and clear margin compression in 2025. Technicals show strong upside trend but an extremely overbought RSI raises near-term risk. Valuation is supportive with a low P/E.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow across 2023–2025 indicates the business can generate internal funding for capex, working capital and debt servicing. A ¥3.2B FCF print in 2025 supports durability of operations and provides a tangible buffer for strategy or deleveraging during downturns.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-heavy capital structure materially reduces financial flexibility; servicing costs and covenant risk rise if margins or revenue deteriorate. High leverage constrains investment choices, limits ability to absorb shocks in a cyclical chemicals business, and elevates refinancing and liquidity risks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow across 2023–2025 indicates the business can generate internal funding for capex, working capital and debt servicing. A ¥3.2B FCF print in 2025 supports durability of operations and provides a tangible buffer for strategy or deleveraging during downturns.
Read all positive factors

Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd. (5010) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells petroleum waxes, physically and chemically converted wax products, and fuel oil in Japan and internationally. It offers paraffin wax, microcrystalline wax, oxidized and chemical wax, special wax, blend...
How the Company Makes Money
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Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability recovered versus prior loss years and cash generation has been solid (positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2023–2025). However, 2025 showed weakening earnings quality with margin compression and slightly lower revenue, and the balance sheet is heavily leveraged (debt-to-equity ~2.5x), increasing downside risk in a cyclical industry.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.25B19.78B22.05B21.70B38.46B27.92B
Gross Profit3.95B3.55B4.58B1.96B1.39B3.56B
EBITDA2.50B2.04B3.19B5.00M-1.09B1.63B
Net Income1.19B697.00M1.78B-1.22B-2.37B444.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.86B27.28B29.73B30.00B33.17B33.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.60B2.83B2.30B1.83B2.04B1.60B
Total Debt17.36B16.00B18.65B20.53B21.05B18.29B
Total Liabilities23.09B20.90B24.05B26.21B27.75B25.82B
Stockholders Equity5.77B6.38B5.67B3.78B5.39B7.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.19B2.79B471.00M-1.98B-29.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.003.69B2.94B1.41B-1.63B666.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-596.00M-149.00M-495.00M-339.00M-680.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.73B-2.37B-1.11B2.42B198.00M

Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price190.00
Price Trends
50DMA
256.28
Negative
100DMA
223.96
Positive
200DMA
208.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.58
Positive
RSI
43.36
Neutral
STOCH
31.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5010, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 190 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 260.85, below the 50-day MA of 256.28, and below the 200-day MA of 208.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5010.

Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥131.21B17.492.57%7.46%153.98%
68
Neutral
¥2.01T21.952.23%3.07%-7.68%-73.03%
68
Neutral
¥74.84B32.151.37%-5.02%186.97%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
¥228.24B12.703.45%-4.87%26.27%
59
Neutral
¥4.78B5.38-10.55%-21.44%
56
Neutral
¥3.90T11.54-0.15%2.74%-14.13%33.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5010
Nippon Seiro Co., Ltd.
242.00
72.00
42.35%
JP:5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co
1,558.50
693.29
80.13%
JP:5020
ENEOS Holdings
1,443.50
781.49
118.05%
JP:8131
Mitsuuroko Group Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,345.00
653.74
38.65%
JP:8132
SINANEN HOLDINGS CO.LTD.
7,500.00
944.59
14.41%
JP:8133
ITOCHU ENEX CO., LTD.
2,022.00
570.36
39.29%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026