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Lion Corporation (JP:4912)
:4912

Lion (4912) AI Stock Analysis

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JP

Lion

(OTC:4912)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,632.00
▲(8.44%Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by strong financial performance, which provides a solid foundation. However, technical analysis signals bearish momentum, significantly impacting the score. Valuation metrics are moderately positive but do not offset the negative technical signals. The absence of earnings call and corporate event data means these factors do not contribute to the score.

Lion (4912) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Lion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLion Corporation (4912) is a leading Japanese company specializing in the production and sale of a wide range of consumer products, primarily in the sectors of household, toiletries, and pharmaceutical products. The company is renowned for its commitment to innovation and quality, offering a diverse portfolio that includes oral care products, laundry detergents, and other personal care items. Established with a focus on enhancing everyday living, Lion Corporation has a strong market presence in Japan and continues to expand its reach globally, maintaining a dedication to sustainability and consumer satisfaction.
How the Company Makes MoneyLion Corporation generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of consumer goods across its key business segments: Oral Care, Beauty Care, Fabric Care, Living Care, and Pharmaceutical products. The company leverages its strong brand recognition and extensive distribution network to maintain a steady stream of income from domestic and international markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of popular oral care products such as toothpaste and toothbrushes, as well as household cleaning products like laundry detergents and dishwashing liquids. Additionally, Lion Corporation benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its product offerings and market reach. The company's commitment to research and development enables it to innovate and introduce new products, thereby contributing to its growth and profitability.

Lion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -12.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted an increase in net sales and profits, driven by effective price revisions and structural reforms. However, challenges such as impairment losses, a decline in domestic sales, and a slowdown in certain overseas markets were also noted. The partnership with Japan Activation Capital is a strategic move to bolster future growth.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Net Sales and Profits
Net sales were JPY 301.1 billion, up 1.7% year-on-year. Core operating income was JPY 18.6 billion, an increase of JPY 6 billion year-on-year.
EBITDA Growth
EBITDA was JPY 32.5 billion, up JPY 6.4 billion year-on-year, with an EBITDA margin increase of 2 percentage points to 10.8%.
Price Revision and Profit Structure Reform
Price revisions led to JPY 2.8 billion in increased profits. The company plans to achieve JPY 4 billion in price revisions by the end of the year.
Overseas Business Performance
Double-digit growth in overseas sales. Thailand grew 1.1%, Malaysia 8.2%, China 9.2%, and South Korea 5.2% in local currency terms.
Partnership with Japan Activation Capital
Announced a partnership with Japan Activation Capital to support management policy strategy and enhance execution speed.
Negative Updates
Impairment Loss on Domestic Facilities
Impairment loss of approximately JPY 6.2 billion due to streamlining of domestic home care production facilities.
Challenges in Fabric Care
Fabric Care business has been in the red due to CapEx and promotion costs, but structural reform is expected to return it to profitability.
Sales Decline in Domestic Consumer Products
Domestic consumer product sales declined by 4.3% due to a reactionary downturn from a previous year's new product launch.
Moderate Growth in Overseas Markets
Growth has slowed down in Southeast and South Asia and Northeast Asia compared to the first half of the year.
Economic Slowdown in China
Chinese economy showing signs of slowing, impacting existing stores, though new distribution networks are expanding.
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for Q3 2024, Lion Corporation reported a 1.7% increase in net sales to JPY 301.1 billion, with a core operating income rise of JPY 6 billion year-on-year, reaching JPY 18.6 billion. The EBITDA was JPY 32.5 billion, up by JPY 6.4 billion, with a margin increase of 2 percentage points to 10.8%. Despite an impairment loss of JPY 6.2 billion due to domestic production facility streamlining, the company maintained its full-year forecast, attributing the resilient performance to price revisions and cost reductions, specifically mentioning a JPY 2.8 billion price revision impact and a total cost reduction of JPY 2.2 billion. The consumer product sales in Japan fell by 4.3%, whereas overseas sales showed sustained double-digit growth. The company plans further asset sales in Q4 to support ongoing structural reforms, aiming for a total shareholder return ratio of 91.9% with a dividend set at JPY 27 per share.

Lion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lion demonstrates stable financial performance with steady revenue growth and strong profitability margins. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage and high equity, providing a stable foundation. While cash flow generation has faced challenges, the company's efficient operations and strong asset base mitigate potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a consistent growth trajectory in revenue, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 0.31% compared to the previous period. The gross profit margin for TTM is strong at 45.54%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin for TTM is 5.23%, which is stable but slightly lower than historical highs, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10, highlighting conservative leverage. The equity ratio is robust at 62.37%, suggesting strong asset backing. Return on equity for TTM is 7.50%, which is satisfactory but could be improved to enhance shareholder returns. Overall, the balance sheet indicates stability and financial strength.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth rate, with a decrease of 21.52% from the previous period, indicating potential challenges in cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.78, showing efficient conversion of net income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.93, reflecting the company's capacity to generate free cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue414.21B412.94B402.77B389.87B366.23B355.35B
Gross Profit188.57B188.78B180.60B174.61B179.10B179.87B
EBITDA50.29B49.55B43.42B42.40B46.06B48.60B
Net Income21.67B21.20B14.62B21.94B23.76B29.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets463.49B497.17B486.36B469.28B428.02B435.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.83B102.24B85.53B109.06B103.91B130.13B
Total Debt29.46B29.74B30.34B32.17B8.37B8.12B
Total Liabilities152.87B181.47B188.23B190.11B163.01B190.65B
Stockholders Equity289.04B293.72B280.32B264.25B251.57B231.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.09B25.60B5.08B18.82B-23.63B13.80B
Operating Cash Flow38.63B43.66B30.07B41.96B19.30B40.73B
Investing Cash Flow-7.82B-7.66B-34.79B-19.54B-34.18B-19.87B
Financing Cash Flow-11.44B-21.20B-11.76B-19.82B-10.22B-9.14B

Lion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1505.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1627.45
Negative
100DMA
1687.20
Negative
200DMA
1678.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-29.24
Negative
RSI
29.54
Positive
STOCH
23.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4912, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1505 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1534.90, below the 50-day MA of 1627.45, and below the 200-day MA of 1678.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -29.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.54 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4912.

Lion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥144.48B18.03
5.32%1.51%5.48%
72
Outperform
$78.87B17.949.60%3.87%7.44%25.31%
68
Neutral
¥196.73B21.078.29%2.38%5.00%2.96%
66
Neutral
$287.71B38.524.49%4.77%-0.74%-25.66%
65
Neutral
$472.33B14.9512.05%1.97%13.95%0.37%
60
Neutral
$400.26B37.985.17%2.15%-8.36%-38.35%
59
Neutral
¥408.46B19.197.58%1.86%2.30%33.87%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4912
Lion
1,500.00
255.90
20.57%
JP:4928
Noevir Holdings Co., Ltd.
4,280.00
-1,129.37
-20.88%
JP:4527
Rohto Pharmaceutical Co
2,047.00
-1,280.02
-38.47%
JP:4967
Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co
5,438.00
264.92
5.12%
JP:4927
Pola Orbis Holdings
1,290.50
11.16
0.87%
JP:4919
Milbon Co
2,440.00
-839.59
-25.60%

Lion Corporate Events

Lion Corporation Announces Treasury Stock Disposal for Executive Compensation
May 8, 2025

Lion Corporation announced the disposal of 274,100 shares of treasury stock through a stock-based compensation plan aimed at aligning executive compensation with company performance and share price. This move is part of Lion’s ongoing strategy to incentivize its directors and executive officers, with the disposal expected to have an insignificant impact on the trading market due to the reasonable number of shares involved and the lack of immediate influx into the stock market.

Lion Corporation Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results with Increased Profits
May 8, 2025

Lion Corporation reported a modest increase in net sales for the first quarter of 2025, with a 1.4% rise compared to the previous year. The company saw significant growth in operating profit, up 15.2%, and profit before tax, which increased by 8.7%. Despite a decrease in total comprehensive income, core operating income showed a substantial improvement of 32.4% year-on-year, indicating strong underlying business performance. The company also announced a forecasted increase in dividends per share for fiscal 2025, reflecting confidence in its financial stability and commitment to shareholder returns.

Lion Corporation to Cancel Treasury Stock to Boost Shareholder Value
Apr 28, 2025

Lion Corporation has announced its decision to cancel 4,650,000 shares of its treasury stock, which constitutes 1.63% of its outstanding shares, as part of a strategy to enhance shareholder value by increasing earnings per share. This move is expected to positively impact the company’s financial metrics and strengthen its market position by optimizing its capital structure.

Lion Corporation Acquires Full Ownership of Vietnamese Affiliate Merap Lion
Apr 17, 2025

Lion Corporation announced its decision to acquire all shares of its Vietnam-based affiliate, Merap Lion Holding Corporation, making it a wholly owned subsidiary. This acquisition is part of Lion’s Vision2030 2nd STAGE plan to strengthen its business portfolio and enhance growth overseas. By fully integrating Merap Lion, Lion aims to leverage synergies in product development and production technology, particularly in the oral healthcare sector, to boost its market presence in Vietnam and improve consolidated performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2025