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Lion Corporation (JP:4912)
:4912

Lion (4912) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4912

Lion

(4912)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,803.00
▲(7.90% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial health and improving profitability, alongside strong technical momentum with the stock trading above key moving averages. Valuation is acceptable but not especially cheap, and the dividend yield is modest, slightly tempering the overall score.
Positive Factors
Diversified brand & distribution
Lion's broad product mix across oral care, personal care, household goods and pharmaceuticals, combined with strong brands, R&D and an extensive distribution footprint in Japan and Asia, supports resilient demand, cross-selling and steady revenue generation across cycles.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Net margin contraction from ~8.4% in 2020 to ~5.1% in 2024 signals structural pressure from cost inflation, adverse mix or pricing limits. Persistent margin erosion would cap profit upside and require sustained efficiency gains to restore prior profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified brand & distribution
Lion's broad product mix across oral care, personal care, household goods and pharmaceuticals, combined with strong brands, R&D and an extensive distribution footprint in Japan and Asia, supports resilient demand, cross-selling and steady revenue generation across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Lion (4912) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Lion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Lion Corporation manufactures and sells consumer and industrial products in Japan and internationally. It operates through three segments: Consumer Products Business, Industrial Products Business, and Overseas Business. The company offers dental a...
How the Company Makes Money
Lion Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its consumer products, including oral care items, such as toothpaste and toothbrushes; beauty and personal care products; and household cleaning agents, including detergents and fabr...

Lion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted an increase in net sales and profits, driven by effective price revisions and structural reforms. However, challenges such as impairment losses, a decline in domestic sales, and a slowdown in certain overseas markets were also noted. The partnership with Japan Activation Capital is a strategic move to bolster future growth.
Positive Updates
Increased Net Sales and Profits
Net sales were JPY 301.1 billion, up 1.7% year-on-year. Core operating income was JPY 18.6 billion, an increase of JPY 6 billion year-on-year.
Negative Updates
Impairment Loss on Domestic Facilities
Impairment loss of approximately JPY 6.2 billion due to streamlining of domestic home care production facilities.
Read all updates
Q3-2024 Updates
Negative
Increased Net Sales and Profits
Net sales were JPY 301.1 billion, up 1.7% year-on-year. Core operating income was JPY 18.6 billion, an increase of JPY 6 billion year-on-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for Q3 2024, Lion Corporation reported a 1.7% increase in net sales to JPY 301.1 billion, with a core operating income rise of JPY 6 billion year-on-year, reaching JPY 18.6 billion. The EBITDA was JPY 32.5 billion, up by JPY 6.4 billion, with a margin increase of 2 percentage points to 10.8%. Despite an impairment loss of JPY 6.2 billion due to domestic production facility streamlining, the company maintained its full-year forecast, attributing the resilient performance to price revisions and cost reductions, specifically mentioning a JPY 2.8 billion price revision impact and a total cost reduction of JPY 2.2 billion. The consumer product sales in Japan fell by 4.3%, whereas overseas sales showed sustained double-digit growth. The company plans further asset sales in Q4 to support ongoing structural reforms, aiming for a total shareholder return ratio of 91.9% with a dividend set at JPY 27 per share.

Lion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth with a clear profit rebound in 2024, supported by a historically conservative balance sheet and low leverage. Offsets include margin compression versus 2020 levels, uneven free-cash-flow conversion, and a notable debt increase in 2025 that warrants monitoring.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue422.09B412.94B402.77B389.87B366.23B
Gross Profit193.92B188.78B180.60B174.61B179.10B
EBITDA51.89B46.76B39.63B40.88B44.93B
Net Income27.59B21.20B14.63B21.94B23.76B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets528.60B497.17B486.36B469.28B428.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.09B102.24B85.53B101.08B97.25B
Total Debt54.44B29.74B30.34B32.17B8.37B
Total Liabilities180.17B181.47B188.23B190.11B163.01B
Stockholders Equity322.73B293.72B280.32B264.25B251.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.57B25.60B6.34B23.47B-17.99B
Operating Cash Flow40.65B43.66B30.07B41.96B19.30B
Investing Cash Flow-43.37B-7.19B-34.37B-19.54B-34.18B
Financing Cash Flow-12.50B-21.67B-12.19B-19.82B-10.22B

Lion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1671.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1721.66
Negative
100DMA
1667.19
Negative
200DMA
1597.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-27.88
Positive
RSI
31.97
Neutral
STOCH
0.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4912, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1671 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1737.88, below the 50-day MA of 1721.66, and above the 200-day MA of 1597.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -27.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4912.

Lion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥1.66T23.9910.79%3.47%-1.56%-1.15%
76
Outperform
¥433.02B16.539.09%1.73%2.18%60.81%
71
Outperform
¥544.30B13.9712.66%1.53%18.35%31.87%
70
Outperform
¥2.72T24.0511.50%2.41%4.62%47.68%
69
Neutral
¥331.52B19.792.72%2.61%1.37%-5.60%
65
Neutral
¥415.98B110.375.37%1.95%-3.33%13.76%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4912
Lion
1,609.00
-130.13
-7.48%
JP:4452
Kao
6,022.00
-379.23
-5.92%
JP:4967
Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co
5,693.00
12.25
0.22%
JP:4922
Kose
5,833.00
-501.54
-7.92%
JP:4527
Rohto Pharmaceutical Co
2,373.00
138.70
6.21%
JP:8113
Unicharm
924.30
-238.79
-20.53%

Lion Corporate Events

Lion to Book ¥15.9 Billion Extraordinary Gain From Sale of Chemical Subsidiaries
Feb 16, 2026
Lion Corporation will record an estimated ¥15,953 million in extraordinary income on a non-consolidated basis from the transfer of all shares in two consolidated subsidiaries in its chemical products business. The gain arises from the sale of...
Lion to Divest Specialty Chemicals Units to Advantage Partners-Backed AP88
Feb 12, 2026
Lion Corporation has decided to transfer all shares of its consolidated subsidiary Lion Specialty Chemicals Co., Ltd. and that company’s Indonesian subsidiary PT. IPPOSHA INDONESIA to AP88 Co., Ltd., a vehicle backed by a fund serviced by Ad...
Lion boosts profit and dividends as 2025 earnings strengthen balance sheet
Feb 12, 2026
Lion Corporation reported a 2.2% rise in net sales to ¥422.1 billion for 2025, while operating profit jumped 28.1% and profit attributable to owners of the parent climbed 30.1%, reflecting improved margins and solid core operating income grow...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026