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Milbon Co Ltd (JP:4919)
:4919

Milbon Co (4919) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4919

Milbon Co

(4919)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,810.00
▲(12.49% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (notably a debt-free balance sheet and solid profitability) and improving 2024 cash flow. Technicals are supportive with price trading above key moving averages, while valuation is the main restraint due to a relatively high P/E despite a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
A debt-free balance sheet reduces financial risk, providing Milbon with greater flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Revenue Growth
Steady revenue growth indicates strong demand for Milbon's products, supporting long-term business expansion and market presence in the professional haircare industry.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow enhances Milbon's ability to fund operations, invest in growth, and return capital to shareholders, strengthening financial stability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Decline
Declining profitability despite sales growth suggests cost pressures or inefficiencies, potentially impacting long-term financial health and competitiveness.
Margin Compression
Compressed margins indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could challenge Milbon's ability to maintain profitability and competitive pricing.
Uneven Cash Conversion
Uneven cash conversion suggests potential volatility in operational efficiency, which may affect Milbon's ability to consistently generate cash and fund strategic initiatives.

Milbon Co (4919) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Milbon Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMilbon Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells hair products for salons in Japan. The company offers hair color and styling agents, perming agents, shampoos, hair treatment products, and medicinal hair growth promoters, as well as skin care and cosmetic products. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Yutaka Beauty Chemicals Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Milbon Co., Ltd. in January 1965. Milbon Co., Ltd. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMilbon Co. makes money through the sale of its professional haircare and skincare products, which are distributed primarily to salons and beauty professionals. The company generates revenue by leveraging its strong brand identity and extensive product range, catering to both domestic and international markets. Milbon's revenue streams are bolstered by its partnerships with salons, where it provides exclusive products and training programs to stylists, enhancing brand loyalty and product adoption. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to continuously innovate and improve its offerings, ensuring a competitive edge in the beauty industry.

Milbon Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 09, 2024
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with notable achievements in revenue growth, product launches, and strategic initiatives. While challenges remain in China and some product categories, the company's strong performance in other regions and sectors offsets these issues.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Milbon recorded JPY 24.526 billion in consolidated net sales, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%, surpassing the forecast by 2.3%.
Strong Performance in Japan and Overseas
Japan's net sales grew by 6.9% year-on-year, while overseas sales grew by 11.4%, driven by South Korea and the U.S.
Improvement in Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin showed a recovery trend from Q1 to Q2, driven by higher sales and cost containment efforts.
Successful High-End Product Launches
Aujua's Presedia and Elujuda's Frizz Fixer performed well, highlighting Milbon's R&D capabilities.
Milbon's Smart Salon and E-commerce Initiatives
Milbon:iD is on track to reach 1 million users, and Smart Salon locations increased from 23 to 44 within six months.
Significant Growth in North America
The U.S. market saw strong growth in hair care products, with Sophistone boosting brand awareness.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
Faced headwinds in China with a decline in salon visit frequency and hair coloring product sales.
Fashion Color Products Underperformance
Fashion color products in Japan declined by 4% year-on-year, impacting overall sales.
Logistics and Cost Structure Challenges
Issues with personnel productivity and logistics inefficiencies highlighted as areas needing improvement.
High Raw Material Costs
Despite some relief, high raw material costs continue to impact the business.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of fiscal year 2024, Milbon reported a robust financial performance, with consolidated net sales reaching JPY 24.526 billion, marking an 8.0% year-on-year increase and surpassing the forecast by 2.3%. Domestic operations contributed approximately 75% of net sales, or JPY 18.367 billion, with a growth of 6.9% year-on-year, driven primarily by a 9% increase in hair care product sales. Overseas sales, accounting for 25% of the total, grew by 11.4%, influenced by a weaker yen, while actual growth, excluding currency effects, was 2.8%. Notably, South Korea and the U.S. markets offset challenges in China, where net sales saw a contraction. Operating income also exceeded expectations, supported by improved gross profit margins and controlled SG&A expenses. The company's strategic focus on high-end hair care products and the expansion of their Smart Salon initiative contributed significantly to these positive results, while efforts to manage rising raw material costs and logistics are ongoing. Milbon remains on track to meet its full-year targets and maintains its dividend commitment for fiscal 2024.

Milbon Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Milbon Co's financial health is strong across the board, with consistent revenue growth, high profitability, and a solid balance sheet devoid of debt. The company effectively converts its income into cash, supporting its operations and growth initiatives. Milbon Co is well-positioned in its industry with minimal financial risk and a promising growth trajectory.
Income Statement
Milbon Co showcases strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability metrics. The gross profit margin has improved from previous years, and the net profit margin stands firm at around 10%. Revenue growth rate over the past year was approximately 7.4%, signaling a positive trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Milbon Co is remarkably strong, with no debt and a high equity ratio of approximately 82.9%. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at approximately 10.3%, indicating effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits. The firm's assets are largely funded by equity, minimizing financial risk.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth rate of approximately 249% year-over-year, signaling strong cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio exceeds 1, indicating healthy cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable, underscoring efficient capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.60B51.32B47.76B45.24B41.58B35.73B
Gross Profit32.34B32.60B29.53B29.51B27.50B23.39B
EBITDA6.92B9.11B7.80B9.63B9.60B8.00B
Net Income3.16B5.02B4.00B5.58B5.11B4.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.96B58.90B53.39B52.76B48.24B43.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.73B13.83B11.34B12.30B13.55B12.35B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities8.48B10.08B7.46B8.77B8.04B6.77B
Stockholders Equity47.48B48.82B45.93B43.99B40.20B36.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.005.43B1.56B1.19B2.15B4.58B
Operating Cash Flow0.007.63B4.77B5.01B6.64B6.55B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.53B-3.11B-3.87B-4.00B-161.78M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.86B-2.80B-2.58B-1.92B-3.42B

Milbon Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2498.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2410.99
Positive
100DMA
2418.74
Positive
200DMA
2466.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.98
Positive
RSI
48.65
Neutral
STOCH
13.08
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4919, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2498 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2437.50, above the 50-day MA of 2410.99, and above the 200-day MA of 2466.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.08 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4919.

Milbon Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥158.66B19.765.00%1.41%0.75%
75
Outperform
¥76.87B23.886.83%3.53%3.05%-32.61%
68
Neutral
¥290.92B29.136.05%3.92%-1.16%36.30%
66
Neutral
¥34.05B24.421.81%0.22%4.15%
63
Neutral
¥127.98B66.542.73%1.45%3.95%-25.42%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
$298.60B39.912.72%2.61%1.37%-5.60%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4919
Milbon Co
2,425.00
-783.76
-24.43%
JP:4922
Kose
5,234.00
-1,287.71
-19.74%
JP:4917
Mandom
2,845.00
1,597.76
128.10%
JP:4927
Pola Orbis Holdings
1,315.00
-49.17
-3.60%
JP:4923
Cota Co., Ltd.
1,158.00
-413.71
-26.32%
JP:4928
Noevir Holdings Co., Ltd.
4,645.00
186.92
4.19%

Milbon Co Corporate Events

Milbon Corrects Governance Filing on Outside Audit and Supervisory Board Appointment
Dec 26, 2025

Milbon Co., Ltd. has corrected a previous disclosure regarding the appointment of a temporary Audit and Supervisory Board member, clarifying that a proposal will be submitted at the March 2026 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders to appoint Daisuke Umemoto as an Outside Audit and Supervisory Board Member, rather than as an Outside Director. The company stated that the change was necessary due to a clerical error in the earlier announcement, underscoring that the governance-related appointment remains on track while ensuring the accuracy of its corporate disclosure to stakeholders and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4919) stock is a Hold with a Yen2900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milbon Co stock, see the JP:4919 Stock Forecast page.

Milbon Appoints Court-Approved Temporary Audit Board Member After Vacancy
Dec 25, 2025

Milbon has filled a legal vacancy on its Audit and Supervisory Board following the death of outside member Takashi Hirano, with the Osaka District Court appointing attorney Daisuke Umemoto as a Temporary Audit and Supervisory Board Member effective December 23, 2025. Umemoto, an experienced lawyer who serves as an audit and supervisory board member at Corning Japan and Corning International, will serve in this temporary role until Milbon’s March 2026 annual general meeting, where shareholders are scheduled to vote on a permanent replacement and on a proposal to appoint him as an Outside Director, helping to maintain governance continuity and oversight during the transition period.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4919) stock is a Hold with a Yen2900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milbon Co stock, see the JP:4919 Stock Forecast page.

Milbon Co. Appoints Temporary Audit Board Member
Dec 12, 2025

Milbon Co., Ltd. has announced its decision to file a petition for the appointment of Mr. Daisuke Umemoto as a temporary Audit and Supervisory Board Member, following the vacancy left by the passing of Mr. Takashi Hirano. This move is intended to ensure the continuity and integrity of the company’s audit and supervisory functions, which are crucial for maintaining stakeholder confidence and compliance with legal requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4919) stock is a Hold with a Yen2900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milbon Co stock, see the JP:4919 Stock Forecast page.

Milbon Co. Announces Cancellation of Treasury Shares
Dec 12, 2025

Milbon Co., Ltd. has announced a decision by its Board of Directors to cancel 811,700 of its treasury shares, which constitutes 2.45% of its total issued shares, effective December 26, 2025. This move is likely aimed at optimizing the company’s capital structure and could have implications for shareholder value and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4919) stock is a Hold with a Yen2900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milbon Co stock, see the JP:4919 Stock Forecast page.

Milbon Co. Announces Board Member Passing and Plans for Temporary Appointment
Dec 2, 2025

Milbon Co., Ltd. announced the passing of Mr. Takashi Hirano, an Audit and Supervisory Board Member, on December 2, 2025. This unfortunate event leaves a vacancy on the board, and the company plans to petition the court for the appointment of a temporary member, ensuring continued compliance and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4919) stock is a Hold with a Yen2900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milbon Co stock, see the JP:4919 Stock Forecast page.

Milbon Co. Reports Decline in Profitability Despite Sales Growth
Nov 14, 2025

Milbon Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, showing a slight increase in net sales by 2.3% compared to the previous year. However, the company experienced significant declines in operating income, ordinary income, and profit attributable to owners of the parent, with decreases of 28.1%, 34.4%, and 50.4% respectively. The company’s equity ratio improved slightly, and it maintained its dividend forecast for the fiscal year. These results indicate challenges in profitability despite stable sales, potentially impacting investor confidence and requiring strategic adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4919) stock is a Hold with a Yen2900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milbon Co stock, see the JP:4919 Stock Forecast page.

Milbon Co. Completes Share Repurchase Program
Oct 28, 2025

Milbon Co., Ltd. has completed a share repurchase program, acquiring 389,500 of its own common shares for a total of JPY 944,838,400. This move, executed through the Tokyo Stock Exchange, is part of a larger plan authorized by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 870,000 shares, reflecting the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and optimize its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4919) stock is a Hold with a Yen2900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milbon Co stock, see the JP:4919 Stock Forecast page.

Milbon Co. Announces Share Repurchase to Enhance Shareholder Value
Oct 2, 2025

Milbon Co., Ltd. announced the repurchase of 148,800 of its own shares, costing JPY 372,379,100, as part of a broader share repurchase program authorized by the Board of Directors. This move is part of a strategic initiative to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure, reflecting the company’s commitment to maintaining a strong market position and delivering value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4919) stock is a Hold with a Yen2900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Milbon Co stock, see the JP:4919 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025