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Konica Minolta Inc (JP:4902)
:4902

Konica Minolta (4902) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4902

Konica Minolta

(4902)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
¥608.00
▲(2.81% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is held back primarily by ongoing losses and earnings volatility, alongside weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD and low RSI). Positive operating and free cash flow and moderate, improving leverage provide some support, but valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, R&D, and service expansion without full reliance on external financing. This cash cushion supports investment in software/service transitions and services-led margins over the medium term.
Improving leverage
Moderate and improving leverage reduces financial risk and increases strategic flexibility to pursue product investment, M&A, or service rollouts. A healthier balance sheet also lowers refinancing pressure and strengthens resilience if earnings remain uneven.
Diversified B2B model
A multi-segment business with hardware, consumables, software and managed services creates multiple revenue streams and an installed-base-driven after-sales funnel. Recurring service and software income can raise lifetime customer value and smooth cyclicality over time.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability
Sustained net losses and thin operating margins undermine the firm’s ability to convert revenue into returns, limiting reinvestment and shareholder returns. Persistent negative margins also increase reliance on cash reserves and hamper long-term scalability of new service offerings.
Volatile results
High earnings volatility and a negative return on equity reduce predictability for planning and capital allocation. This instability complicates long-term contracts and investment decisions, and weak ROE signals the company struggles to generate returns from its equity base.
Weak revenue momentum
Flat-to-weak top-line growth limits operating leverage and makes margin recovery harder; without sustainable revenue expansion, fixed-cost absorption and investment in higher-margin services will be constrained, slowing durable improvement in profitability.

Konica Minolta (4902) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Konica Minolta Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKonica Minolta, Inc. engages in digital workplace, professional print, healthcare, and industrial businesses in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, other Asian countries, and internationally. The company develops, manufactures, and sells multi-functional peripherals, digital printing systems, and related consumables, as well as IT and printing solutions and services. It also provides healthcare systems, such as digital X-ray diagnostic imaging, diagnostic ultrasound systems, and other systems, as well as digitalization, networking, solutions, and services in the medical field; genetic diagnostic and drug discovery support services. In addition, the company offers measuring instruments; functional film displays; organic light emitting diode lighting products; industrial inkjet printheads; lenses for industrial and professional use; and imaging-IoT and visual solutions. Konica Minolta, Inc. was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyKonica Minolta generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, it makes money from the sale of hardware, such as printers and multifunction devices, which are often sold alongside consumables like toner and paper. The company also offers service contracts for maintenance and support, providing a recurring revenue model. Additionally, Konica Minolta has developed a robust portfolio of IT services and software solutions that cater to businesses looking to optimize their workflows and digital document management. Significant partnerships with technology firms and an emphasis on innovative solutions, such as cloud-based services and data analytics, further contribute to its earnings, enabling the company to adapt to the evolving needs of its customers.

Konica Minolta Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is constrained by profitability: revenue is only modestly higher in TTM (+1.9%) but results are volatile and currently loss-making (TTM net margin about -1.2% and negative ROE ~-2.7%). Offsetting this, cash generation is a relative strength with positive TTM operating cash flow (~¥67B) and free cash flow (~¥23B), and leverage is moderate with improving debt-to-equity (~0.89).
Income Statement
38
Negative
Revenue has been broadly stable with modest growth in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (+1.9%) after a small decline in FY2025, but profitability remains a key issue. TTM shows a net loss (net margin about -1.2%) and operating profitability is thin, following a swing from a small profit in FY2024 to a large loss in FY2025. Gross margin is relatively steady (~42–44%), suggesting the core pricing/cost structure is holding up, but operating and bottom-line results have been volatile and recently negative.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Leverage is moderate for the sector, with debt roughly in line with equity (debt-to-equity ~0.89 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), improving from a peak above 1.1 in FY2023). Equity remains sizable versus total assets, which provides some balance-sheet support. However, returns to shareholders are currently negative (TTM return on equity around -2.7%), reflecting that the capital base is not generating positive earnings and leaving less cushion if losses persist.
Cash Flow
61
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is positive (~¥67B) and free cash flow is also positive (~¥23B), with a sharp rebound versus the prior year’s level. That said, cash flow performance has been uneven across years (including periods of negative free cash flow), and cash flow relative to revenue remains modest, indicating limited room for operational setbacks if profitability does not improve.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.08T1.13T1.16T1.13T911.43B863.38B
Gross Profit461.77B479.42B504.68B485.94B392.74B374.65B
EBITDA33.68B-60.74B106.18B-16.80B60.35B66.32B
Net Income-13.01B-47.85B4.52B-103.15B-26.12B-15.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.22T1.22T1.39T1.41T1.34T1.30T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments103.53B89.90B127.13B183.06B117.67B123.82B
Total Debt463.86B438.17B522.58B568.29B448.65B410.70B
Total Liabilities690.64B743.56B834.67B913.90B776.62B749.05B
Stockholders Equity519.65B463.15B539.82B487.42B549.81B539.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.38B25.30B38.21B-27.46B-23.61B37.86B
Operating Cash Flow67.26B51.09B83.34B13.32B37.44B78.06B
Investing Cash Flow26.66B24.65B-44.53B-37.50B-51.00B-34.33B
Financing Cash Flow-101.47B-110.90B-96.85B84.32B2.13B-13.09B

Konica Minolta Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price591.40
Price Trends
50DMA
665.59
Negative
100DMA
632.27
Negative
200DMA
556.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-23.26
Positive
RSI
38.95
Neutral
STOCH
48.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4902, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 591.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 620.77, below the 50-day MA of 665.59, and above the 200-day MA of 556.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -23.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4902.

Konica Minolta Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥803.55B14.157.77%3.16%4.30%78.29%
73
Outperform
¥753.22B18.0110.63%2.03%5.40%23.70%
71
Outperform
¥820.06B12.675.91%2.78%4.46%70.22%
66
Neutral
¥34.70B79.604.37%0.33%-65.09%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
¥3.60T13.227.92%2.07%5.39%12.69%
47
Neutral
¥293.09B-23.42-12.69%0.71%-11.22%-731.07%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4902
Konica Minolta
591.40
70.05
13.44%
JP:7752
RICOH CO
1,460.50
-121.82
-7.70%
JP:6448
Brother Industries
3,198.00
422.50
15.22%
JP:4901
FUJIFILM Holdings
3,189.00
224.34
7.57%
JP:8060
Canon Marketing Japan Inc.
6,936.00
1,981.06
39.98%
JP:7999
Mutoh Holdings Co., Ltd.
7,630.00
4,652.28
156.24%

Konica Minolta Corporate Events

Konica Minolta Swings to Profit and Restores Dividend Despite Revenue Decline
Feb 5, 2026

Konica Minolta reported a return to solid profitability for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, despite a 6.1% year-on-year decline in revenue to ¥781.1 billion, reflecting the exclusion of its Precision Medicine Business, now classified as a discontinued operation. Business contribution profit rose 20.5% to ¥34.7 billion and operating profit swung from a loss of ¥18.5 billion in the prior-year period to a profit of ¥33.3 billion, while profit attributable to owners reached ¥21.4 billion, translating into basic earnings per share of ¥43.38 versus a loss per share a year earlier. The company’s financial position also strengthened, with equity attributable to owners increasing to ¥519.7 billion and the equity ratio improving to 42.5% from 38.0% at the March 2025 year-end, and Konica Minolta reinstated shareholder returns via an interim dividend of ¥5 per share and a full-year dividend forecast of ¥10 per share, signaling confidence in its earnings recovery and balance sheet health.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4902) stock is a Hold with a Yen620.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Konica Minolta stock, see the JP:4902 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026