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Access Co., Ltd. (JP:4813)
:4813
Japanese Market

Access Co., Ltd. (4813) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4813

Access Co., Ltd.

(4813)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
¥578.00
▲(0.70% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/19/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, shrinking equity, and worsening cash flow with continued free-cash-flow burn. Technical indicators are neutral-to-soft rather than supportive of a strong trend, and valuation is also pressured by a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Recurring B2B software model
A B2B software licensing and services model creates durable, contractable revenue streams. License fees, recurring maintenance and project work produce higher revenue visibility, stickier customer relationships and opportunities for upsell across device lifecycles, supporting multi‑period cashflows.
Revenue re-acceleration
Re-accelerating revenue signals recovering demand or successful design-ins and supports operating leverage over time. Combined with mid-40s gross margins, sustained top-line growth can improve operating leverage and provide a path toward profitability if costs are controlled and growth persists.
Low leverage / manageable debt
Low reported financial leverage gives the company flexibility to fund operations or invest without high interest burdens. With modest debt levels, management has optionality for external financing or strategic investment if cash flows stabilize, reducing solvency risk relative to heavily leveraged peers.
Negative Factors
Sustained operating and net losses
Persistent operating and net losses erode retained earnings and limit internal reinvestment capacity. Continued negative margins hinder ability to self-fund growth, increase reliance on external capital, and create execution risk if the business cannot translate revenue gains into sustainable profitability.
Deteriorating cash generation
A material swing to negative operating cash flow and persistent negative free cash flow indicates ongoing cash burn, constraining the company's ability to fund operations, R&D, or customer projects internally. Over months, this raises refinancing and liquidity risk if losses continue.
Eroding equity base
A sharply reduced equity base diminishes the balance-sheet buffer against downturns and limits borrowing capacity. Continued depletion of shareholders' equity reduces financial flexibility, increases vulnerability to shocks, and may make future capital raises more dilutive or costly.

Access Co., Ltd. (4813) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Access Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAccess Co., Ltd. provides mobile and network software technologies to telecom carriers, consumer electronics manufacturers, broadcasting and publishing companies, automotive industry, and energy infrastructure providers worldwide. It offers NetFront Browser BE, an advanced HTML5 browser for smart TV, STB, game consoles, and automotive in-vehicle infotainment systems; NetFront Browser NX, a WebKit-based HTML5 browser; Browser SDKs for HbbTV and UK freeview play; embedded automotive platforms HTML engine; and chromium blink based HTML engine for automotive. The company also provides IoT devices, including human to machine interface engines for LCD touch panels and IoT gateway products; multiscreen products, such as 360° smart media platform for operators and content owners; ACCESS Twine, a white label in-car app store and content solution for in-vehicle-infotainment; multiscreen media sharing solutions for consumer electronic devices and home networks; and media sharing and playback solutions for automotive manufacturers and consumer electronic companies. In addition, it offers PUBLUS, a digital publishing platform for digital content distribution; PUBLUS Reader, an EPUB viewer; and PUBLUS Lite, a cloud-based text delivery system. Further, the company provides network OS for white box systems; VirNOS, a cutting-edge virtual software platform for mobile operators and corporate data centers; and ZebOS, a middleware for network devices. Access Co., Ltd. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyAccess Co., Ltd. primarily makes money by supplying software and related services to business customers (B2B), typically device makers and enterprises that embed or deploy ACCESS technology. Key revenue streams include: (1) Software licensing: fees for the right to use ACCESS-developed software (e.g., embedded software components and platforms). License terms may be structured as upfront license fees and/or royalties tied to unit shipments or deployments, depending on the product and customer contract; if a specific structure applies in a given case, it is not available here. (2) Maintenance and support: recurring revenue from ongoing technical support, updates, maintenance contracts, and possibly subscription-like arrangements where customers pay for continued access to updates and assistance; specific contract details are not available. (3) Professional services / development services: project-based income from implementation, customization, integration, consulting, and engineering work to adapt ACCESS software to a customer’s hardware, operating environment, or service requirements. (4) Other product/service sales: revenue from additional solutions the company offers around connected devices and networks; detailed line-item breakdown is not available here. Significant factors influencing earnings include the company’s ability to secure design-ins with device manufacturers (which can drive follow-on royalties or renewals), retain customers via long-term maintenance/support, and deliver integration projects efficiently. Specific major partnerships, customer names, or revenue share by segment are not available in the provided context and are therefore null.

Access Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth improved (+15.6% in 2026) and gross margin is relatively healthy (~42%), but performance is weighed down by continued operating/net losses, a sharply weakened equity base over time, and a 2026 swing to materially negative operating cash flow with consistently negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue growth has re-accelerated, rising from roughly flat in 2025 to +15.6% in 2026, and gross margin remains relatively healthy (~42% in 2026). However, profitability is still weak: the company continues to report operating losses and net losses across the period, with 2026 net margin still negative (~-17.7%). Results also show volatility—2024 was close to break-even at the net line, but losses widened again in 2025 before improving in 2026.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage looks manageable, with debt-to-equity still low (~0.14 in 2026) and debt under ¥1.0B against a sizable equity base. That said, equity has declined meaningfully over time (from ~¥25.4B in 2022 to ~¥6.8B in 2026), reflecting sustained losses and weakening balance-sheet cushion. Returns to shareholders remain deeply negative (2026 return on equity around -50%), which is a key risk if profitability doesn’t stabilize.
Cash Flow
27
Negative
Cash generation has deteriorated in the most recent year: operating cash flow swung from positive in 2025 to materially negative in 2026 (about -¥3.9B). Free cash flow is consistently negative across the period and worsened again in 2026 (about -¥4.4B), indicating ongoing cash burn and limited self-funding capacity. While some earlier years showed positive operating cash flow, the latest trend raises liquidity and funding-risk concerns if losses persist.
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.62B19.22B15.93B15.12B13.06B9.85B
Gross Profit5.82B8.12B7.06B6.58B3.52B977.79M
EBITDA-5.39B-1.25B-3.69B3.23B1.44B1.23B
Net Income-7.61B-3.40B-5.38B-280.18M-2.68B-3.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.61B17.10B23.18B21.56B21.31B29.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.29B5.41B10.81B10.92B11.88B15.24B
Total Debt902.25M977.15M1.03B212.03M332.34M0.00
Total Liabilities7.20B10.31B13.13B6.43B4.41B3.73B
Stockholders Equity7.42B6.79B10.05B15.12B16.89B25.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-4.40B-420.94M-1.18B-1.84B-2.07B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-3.94B1.13B2.24B953.69M641.94M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.58B-1.07B-3.72B-2.92B-2.35B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-19.04M-50.88M-27.14M-1.32B-36.95M

Access Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price574.00
Price Trends
50DMA
612.32
Negative
100DMA
580.33
Negative
200DMA
644.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.33
Positive
RSI
42.76
Neutral
STOCH
25.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4813, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 574 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 600.85, below the 50-day MA of 612.32, and below the 200-day MA of 644.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4813.

Access Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥23.81B16.060.73%17.86%21.52%
74
Outperform
¥26.98B11.134.36%12.32%10.42%
74
Outperform
¥29.21B35.9929.61%93.16%
72
Outperform
¥29.89B13.943.40%12.64%30.73%
68
Neutral
¥28.25B-28.942.51%8.88%2.72%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
44
Neutral
¥22.87B-6.8625.89%-285.21%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4813
Access Co., Ltd.
579.00
-281.00
-32.67%
JP:3393
Startia Holdings,Inc.
2,722.00
533.82
24.40%
JP:3984
User Local, Inc.
1,473.00
-216.50
-12.81%
JP:4709
ID Holdings Corporation
1,880.00
44.49
2.42%
JP:5574
ABEJA,Inc.
2,940.00
543.00
22.65%
JP:8275
Forval Corporation
1,102.00
-294.46
-21.09%

Access Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

ACCESS Books FX Gain, Overseas Write-downs and Impairment as Sales Jump on IoT Growth
Mar 17, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. said it will book foreign exchange gains, non-operating expenses, and extraordinary losses in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ending January 2026, including a ¥212 million FX gain that turned a prior loss into a ¥39 million annual gain and a ¥70 million impairment charge at Network unit IP Infusion, bringing total year impairment to ¥275 million. The company also recorded significant non-consolidated write-downs and provisions on loans and equity interests in its U.S., European and Taiwanese subsidiaries that do not affect consolidated figures, while consolidated sales rose 20.6% to ¥19.2 billion on strong IoT and Network demand, losses widened at the operating level due to higher Network R&D spending, and a major Evollabs contract will contribute revenue mainly from the fiscal year ending January 2027 onward.

Non-consolidated results were hit by ¥3.87 billion in bad debt losses and provisions for doubtful accounts on loans to overseas subsidiaries, plus valuation losses totaling nearly ¥1.0 billion on shares and investments in those units, underscoring financial pressure in certain international operations but with no direct consolidated P&L impact. Despite a deeper operating and ordinary loss, the net loss attributable to owners narrowed to ¥3.4 billion, helped by the absence of prior-year special investigation costs and confirmation that the company has fully collected the USD 30 million due in 2025 under the Evollabs network business contract, providing liquidity support ahead of future revenue recognition from that deal.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4813) stock is a Sell with a Yen561.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Access Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4813 Stock Forecast page.

ACCESS posts robust revenue growth but remains loss-making as it targets profit recovery in FY2027
Mar 17, 2026

ACCESS Co., Ltd., a Tokyo-listed software and platform provider for networked and embedded systems, reported consolidated results for the fiscal year ended Jan. 31, 2026 that showed solid top-line expansion but persistent losses. The company’s balance sheet weakened over the year, with lower total assets and equity, while cash and cash equivalents declined sharply, indicating tighter financial flexibility.

Net sales rose 20.6% year on year to ¥19.2 billion, but the group remained in the red, posting an operating loss of ¥2.7 billion and a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of ¥3.4 billion, albeit narrower than the prior year’s loss. Equity and the equity ratio fell as net assets declined to ¥6.8 billion, operating cash flow turned negative by nearly ¥3.9 billion, and management maintained a zero-dividend policy, underscoring a continued focus on internal funding amid a forecast for further revenue growth and a return to operating profit in the next fiscal year.

For the fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2027, the company projects net sales of ¥23.0 billion, with a swing to operating profit of ¥800 million and net profit of ¥610 million, signaling an anticipated earnings recovery. Interim results for the six months to July 31, 2026 are also expected to show higher sales but a continued net loss, suggesting that the turnaround is back-end loaded and that stakeholders will face another period of near-term pressure before any meaningful improvement in profitability materializes.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4813) stock is a Sell with a Yen561.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Access Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4813 Stock Forecast page.

ACCESS Withdraws Earnings Forecast Amid Revenue Shift on Major Network Deal
Jan 30, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. has withdrawn its consolidated financial forecast for the fiscal year ending January 2026 after its board determined that revenue recognition for a large and complex three-year, USD 70 million licensing and services contract signed by U.S. subsidiary IP Infusion with UAE-based Evollabs Tech FZ-LLC may differ materially from earlier assumptions. The company now expects less revenue than previously forecast to be recognized in the current fiscal year and more to be shifted into subsequent years, and warns that the resulting hit to sales and operating profit for the year could be significant; it has therefore set all forecast figures to “to be determined” until it can recalculate guidance, while also disclosing that part of the 2025 cash due under the contract remains unpaid, which it attributes to procedural delays but continues to monitor for any issues requiring further disclosure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4813) stock is a Sell with a Yen557.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Access Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4813 Stock Forecast page.

ACCESS Submits Internal Control Improvement Plan to Tokyo Stock Exchange
Jan 30, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. has submitted an internal control improvement plan and status report to the Tokyo Stock Exchange after being designated a “Security on Special Alert” in August 2025 due to deficiencies in its internal control systems. Developed by the current management together with a Recurrence Prevention Committee and external experts, and based on findings from a June 2025 special investigation report, the plan revises earlier remediation measures, adds new governance and control enhancements, and establishes ongoing monitoring of implementation progress as the company seeks to have the special alert designation lifted and restore confidence among shareholders, investors, and business partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4813) stock is a Sell with a Yen557.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Access Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4813 Stock Forecast page.

ACCESS Reports Delay in Major Network OS Contract Payments from UAE Client
Jan 5, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. announced that its U.S. subsidiary IP Infusion Inc. is facing a payment delay under a three-year, USD 70 million license and service contract for its OcNOS network operating system with UAE-based Evollabs Tech FZ-LLC. Of the USD 30 million scheduled to be paid by the end of 2025, USD 20 million remains unpaid as of January 5, 2026, and the company is currently confirming the payment status with Evollabs while continuing collection efforts, noting that it will provide further updates if any additional disclosure-worthy events occur.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4813) stock is a Hold with a Yen563.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Access Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4813 Stock Forecast page.

ACCESS Again Delays Disclosure of Internal Control Improvement Plan to January 2026
Dec 26, 2025

ACCESS CO., LTD. announced that it will again postpone the timely disclosure of its internal control improvement plans and status report, shifting the planned release from late December 2025 to January 2026. The delay follows the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s earlier designation of the company as a Security on Special Alert and the imposition of a listing agreement penalty, which triggered a series of remedial steps including an investigation by a Special Investigation Committee, formulation of recurrence-prevention policies, and submission of draft plans to Japan Exchange Regulation. While much of the remediation process has been implemented or partially implemented, the company says it needs more time to finalize the improvement plans, and it has apologized to shareholders, investors and business partners for the added uncertainty, indicating that the eventual disclosure will be key to assessing the progress of its governance and internal control reforms.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4813) stock is a Hold with a Yen563.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Access Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4813 Stock Forecast page.

ACCESS Unit IP Infusion Signs $70 Million OcNOS Deal with UAE’s Evollabs
Dec 23, 2025

ACCESS CO., LTD. announced that its U.S. subsidiary IP Infusion has signed a three-year license and service agreement worth USD 70 million with UAE-based Evollabs Tech for the provision of its OcNOS network operating system, associated maintenance and support, and development of additional functions. The deal positions OcNOS as a key software platform for white-box hardware that Evollabs plans to sell mainly in the Middle East, reflecting rising demand for scalable, cost-efficient data center and GPU networking solutions. IP Infusion has so far received USD 10 million of the USD 30 million it expects to collect by the end of 2025, and while some payments are overdue, the project is described as progressing smoothly, with the company pledging timely updates on collections and noting that the transaction, already factored into its January 2026 earnings forecast, could still affect consolidated results depending on final accounting treatment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4813) stock is a Sell with a Yen483.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Access Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4813 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 19, 2026