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Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:4645)
:4645
Japanese Market

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. (4645) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4645

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd.

(4645)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥418.00
▼(-8.93% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is held back primarily by elevated and worsening leverage alongside thin margins, despite strong FY2025 revenue growth and improved cash flow. Technicals are bearish with the stock trading below major moving averages, while valuation is mixed due to a negative P/E partly offset by a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Re-accelerating revenue growth
A 37.4% top-line rebound in FY2025 signals restored demand and successful enrollment initiatives. Sustained revenue re-acceleration improves fixed-cost absorption, supports scale economics, and provides a multi-month runway for margin recovery and stronger cash coverage if maintained.
Negative Factors
High and rising leverage
Leverage increased materially as equity declined and total debt rose, leaving a debt-to-equity of ~3.30x. Elevated leverage magnifies profit volatility, increases interest costs and refinancing risk, and limits financial flexibility for investments or cyclic downturns over the next several months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Re-accelerating revenue growth
A 37.4% top-line rebound in FY2025 signals restored demand and successful enrollment initiatives. Sustained revenue re-acceleration improves fixed-cost absorption, supports scale economics, and provides a multi-month runway for margin recovery and stronger cash coverage if maintained.
Read all positive factors

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. (4645) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ichishin Holdings Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the education business in Japan. The company operates Cram, preparatory, junior, high, and international schools; and day and group homes. It also engages in the video planning and p...

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Top-line momentum improved sharply in FY2025 (+37.4%) and cash flow rebounded (FCF ~0.89B). However, thin net margins (~1.7%) and rising leverage (debt-to-equity 3.30x with equity declining and debt increasing) materially constrain financial flexibility and raise risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.54B18.46B17.95B17.29B17.32B16.01B
Gross Profit3.10B3.08B3.07B2.98B3.04B2.67B
EBITDA2.07B1.25B1.26B1.23B1.28B482.79M
Net Income910.46M317.30M363.26M365.90M421.56M-401.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.76B13.87B13.16B12.42B12.71B12.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.72B4.39B4.28B4.13B4.60B3.61B
Total Debt6.67B7.09B6.29B6.06B6.38B6.53B
Total Liabilities11.06B11.67B10.42B10.12B10.64B10.76B
Stockholders Equity2.63B2.15B2.70B2.27B2.05B1.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00891.51M268.98M387.76M1.16B7.29M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.19B657.91M855.57M1.61B526.40M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-763.18M-261.13M-724.91M-481.63M-1.32B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-356.84M-226.57M-609.36M-276.78M788.51M

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price459.00
Price Trends
50DMA
429.79
Negative
100DMA
436.49
Negative
200DMA
432.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.63
Negative
RSI
45.71
Neutral
STOCH
70.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4645, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 459 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 419.00, above the 50-day MA of 429.79, and above the 200-day MA of 432.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4645.

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥18.01B13.553.81%9.96%252.72%
76
Outperform
¥32.97B17.485.00%
75
Outperform
¥44.17B28.752.28%7.30%60.93%
70
Outperform
¥38.05B18.912.56%7.41%22.70%
69
Neutral
¥2.23B1.393.34%1.92%71.20%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
50
Neutral
¥3.42B-6.182.20%1.82%208.53%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4645
Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd.
420.00
31.84
8.20%
JP:4668
Meiko Network Japan Co., Ltd.
718.00
25.60
3.70%
JP:4678
Shuei Yobiko Co., Ltd.
333.00
78.68
30.94%
JP:4714
Riso Kyoiku Co., Ltd.
194.00
-31.55
-13.99%
JP:4718
Waseda Academy Co., Ltd.
2,018.00
-40.26
-1.96%
JP:9470
Gakken Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,015.00
85.86
9.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026