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Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (JP:4616)
:4616
Japanese Market

Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (4616) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4616

Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd.

(4616)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,008.00
▼(-3.60% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/17/26
The score is constrained mainly by weakening profitability and especially weak/volatile free cash flow, despite an improving and moderately leveraged balance sheet. Technical indicators are broadly neutral with only modest positive momentum. Valuation appears relatively high given the recent margin and cash-conversion pressures.
Positive Factors
Diverse product portfolio
A broad portfolio across architectural, automotive and industrial coatings reduces reliance on any single end market and supports more stable demand over cycles. Combined with R&D and customized solutions, this fosters durable customer relationships and pricing premium potential.
Negative Factors
Volatile, weak free cash flow
Recurrent negative or near-zero free cash flow reduces the company’s ability to self-fund growth, pay dividends, or buy back shares. Over the medium term this creates dependence on external financing and raises vulnerability to working-capital swings or capex timing mismatches.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diverse product portfolio
A broad portfolio across architectural, automotive and industrial coatings reduces reliance on any single end market and supports more stable demand over cycles. Combined with R&D and customized solutions, this fosters durable customer relationships and pricing premium potential.
Read all positive factors

Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (4616) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (4616) is a prominent player in the coatings industry, specializing in the production of high-quality paints and coatings for various applications. The company operates primarily in the manufacturing sector, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd. generates revenue through the sale of its paint and coating products across multiple sectors. The primary revenue streams include direct sales to distributors, retailers, and large industrial clients. The com...

Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has been roughly flat, but profitability deteriorated in the latest year (material net and EBIT margin compression) and ROE fell. The biggest concern is weak and volatile free cash flow, including negative FCF in 2023–2024 and near-breakeven in 2025, despite consistently positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownTTMNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.80B5.93B5.91B6.14B5.63B5.31B
Gross Profit952.71M1.27B1.30B1.36B1.35B1.30B
EBITDA136.72M210.27M217.09M303.41M283.20M277.87M
Net Income100.34M72.32M170.58M203.00M162.21M146.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.46B8.67B8.69B8.58B8.18B7.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.16B1.89B1.91B1.90B2.04B2.02B
Total Debt2.12B1.91B1.91B1.86B1.89B2.00B
Total Liabilities5.31B5.34B5.48B5.53B5.46B5.29B
Stockholders Equity3.16B3.33B3.22B3.06B2.72B2.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.007.72M-125.00M-71.93M139.36M403.91M
Operating Cash Flow0.00283.93M139.53M165.67M206.13M447.29M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-277.39M-148.76M-242.76M-66.87M-45.54M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-33.01M20.49M-62.70M-121.80M-44.91M

Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2083.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1942.76
Negative
100DMA
1999.32
Negative
200DMA
1950.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-20.25
Negative
RSI
46.10
Neutral
STOCH
89.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4616, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2083 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1891.15, above the 50-day MA of 1942.76, and above the 200-day MA of 1950.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -20.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4616.

Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥49.81B8.185.04%-3.21%27.18%
74
Outperform
¥36.55B15.613.70%14.83%51.42%
66
Neutral
¥5.59B6.391.39%2.67%37.55%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
¥6.60B7.933.50%-8.27%-3.23%
51
Neutral
¥1.88B29.112.34%-2.27%-12.76%
44
Neutral
¥4.29B-15.178.66%-239.07%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4616
Kawakami Paint Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
1,890.00
229.30
13.81%
JP:4611
Dai Nippon Toryo Company, Limited
1,290.00
94.00
7.86%
JP:4615
Shinto Paint Co., Ltd.
126.00
-6.00
-4.55%
JP:4619
Nihon Tokushu Toryo Co., Ltd.
2,293.00
858.81
59.88%
JP:4623
Asahipen Corporation
1,742.00
5.29
0.30%
JP:4624
Isamu Paint Co., Ltd.
3,710.00
492.01
15.29%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026