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D.Western Therapeutics Institute, Inc. (JP:4576)
:4576

D.Western Therapeutics Institute (4576) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4576

D.Western Therapeutics Institute

(4576)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
¥99.00
▼(-5.71% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing large losses and sustained negative free cash flow—despite some improvement and a healthier 2025 leverage profile. Technical indicators are mostly neutral with mild positive momentum, but not strong enough to offset fundamentals. Valuation remains challenged given negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage
A materially lower debt-to-equity in 2025 versus 2024 reduces near-term refinancing risk and interest burden, improving financial flexibility. This stronger leverage profile supports multi-month runway for R&D and operations and lowers the probability of urgent capital raises over the medium term.
High gross margins
Sustainably high gross margins signal favorable unit economics for products or services, meaning revenue growth can flow through to operating leverage once fixed costs are controlled. This structural margin advantage supports long-term profitability potential if operating losses are reduced.
Narrowing cash burn
A material reduction in cash burn year-over-year indicates management progress in cost control and operational efficiency. If the trend persists, it extends runway, reduces reliance on external financings, and increases the chance of reaching break-even within a multi-quarter horizon.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow prevents self-funding of operations and product development, forcing dependence on external capital. Over the medium term this raises dilution and refinancing risk and can constrain strategic investments and commercialization plans.
Small, volatile revenue
Low and inconsistent revenue undermines predictable cash generation and makes scaling uncertain. Volatility complicates budgeting for R&D and commercialization, slows margin expansion, and increases the likelihood that future growth will require significant incremental investment or successful pipeline milestones.
Net losses exceed revenue
Deep net losses relative to revenue indicate the company is far from profitability and erode returns on equity. Sustained large losses will continue to deplete cash and equity unless reversed, making long-term viability contingent on either rapid revenue ramp or substantial external funding.

D.Western Therapeutics Institute (4576) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

D.Western Therapeutics Institute Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionD.Western Therapeutics Institute (4576) is a biotechnology company focused on developing innovative therapeutic solutions for various medical conditions. Operating primarily in the healthcare sector, the company specializes in research and development of biologics and small-molecule drugs aimed at treating chronic diseases, particularly in oncology and autoimmune disorders. With a commitment to advancing science and improving patient outcomes, D.Western Therapeutics Institute leverages cutting-edge technology and extensive clinical research to create effective treatment options.
How the Company Makes MoneyD.Western Therapeutics Institute generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its pharmaceutical products, which includes both direct sales and licensing agreements. The company has established key partnerships with larger pharmaceutical firms that provide upfront payments, milestone payments tied to development progress, and royalties on future sales of approved drugs. Additionally, D.Western Therapeutics Institute may receive funding through government or private grants aimed at supporting innovative research projects, further contributing to its financial stability.

D.Western Therapeutics Institute Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are dominated by persistent losses and cash burn. Revenue is small/volatile and net losses still exceed revenue (very negative margins), while operating and free cash flow remain negative despite improvement in 2025. The balance sheet is a relative bright spot with improved leverage in 2025, but returns remain strongly negative due to ongoing losses.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Revenue is relatively small and volatile (down ~7.9% in 2025 after prior fluctuations), and profitability remains deeply negative. While gross margins are very strong (about 78% in 2025, historically ~90%+), operating losses are persistent and sizable, with net losses still exceeding revenue in 2025 (net margin around -163%). The key positive is that losses narrowed meaningfully in 2025 versus 2024, but the company is still far from break-even.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage looks manageable in the most recent year with debt-to-equity around 0.42 in 2025 (improving sharply from ~1.09 in 2024), supported by a much higher equity base. That said, the balance sheet has been inconsistent year-to-year, and returns on equity have been strongly negative where provided (notably in 2023–2024), reflecting ongoing losses and limiting internally generated capital.
Cash Flow
27
Negative
Cash generation is a clear weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative every year shown, indicating continued cash burn to fund operations. The burn improved materially in 2025 versus 2024, but free cash flow remains meaningfully negative, and cash flow does not currently provide self-funding capacity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue421.06M387.62M471.58M428.36M448.10M414.42M
Gross Profit363.02M301.24M424.74M391.70M420.53M394.32M
EBITDA-1.03B-572.35M-1.23B-775.59M-390.75M-110.03M
Net Income-1.09B-632.09M-1.29B-812.41M-429.69M-149.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.51B2.17B1.67B2.37B2.96B2.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.05B1.71B1.13B1.87B2.33B1.93B
Total Debt517.95M605.18M797.98M885.12M967.69M340.00M
Total Liabilities628.89M734.01M935.58M1.09B1.08B427.72M
Stockholders Equity884.57M1.44B733.87M1.28B1.86B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-496.54M-1.31B-601.76M-364.58M-179.21M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-493.79M-1.30B-586.82M-354.77M-176.31M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.45M-10.01M-15.25M-139.89M-111.15M
Financing Cash Flow0.001.08B567.63M134.47M867.30M-104.46M

D.Western Therapeutics Institute Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price105.00
Price Trends
50DMA
100.00
Negative
100DMA
101.74
Negative
200DMA
109.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
46.12
Neutral
STOCH
27.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4576, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 105 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 100.85, above the 50-day MA of 100.00, and below the 200-day MA of 109.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4576.

D.Western Therapeutics Institute Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
¥17.82B-54.841.24%-33.41%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
¥59.40B-18.92-82.33%47.73%
49
Neutral
¥14.17B-11.63-42.49%-2.37%
48
Neutral
¥176.20B-46.79-636.97%-12.69%
47
Neutral
¥5.64B-7.89-86.84%-9.39%24.12%
43
Neutral
¥19.24B-10.0611.34%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4576
D.Western Therapeutics Institute
104.00
-15.00
-12.61%
JP:4592
SanBio Co
2,258.00
1,137.00
101.43%
JP:4593
Healios KK
440.00
136.00
44.74%
JP:4599
StemRIM Inc.
307.00
-20.00
-6.12%
JP:4978
ReproCELL Inc.
188.00
16.00
9.30%
JP:7776
CellSeed Inc.
370.00
-16.00
-4.15%

D.Western Therapeutics Institute Corporate Events

D.Western Therapeutics Narrows Loss but Warns of Deeper Red Ink in 2026
Feb 13, 2026

D.Western Therapeutics Institute reported a 17.8% decline in net sales to ¥387 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, but significantly narrowed its net loss to ¥632 million from ¥1,290 million a year earlier, as operating cash outflows shrank and equity and net assets improved. The company ended the period with total assets of ¥2,169 million, a stronger equity ratio of 66.1%, cash and cash equivalents of ¥1,709 million, no dividends, and it forecasts further lower sales and a deeper loss in 2026, signaling continued investment-heavy operations and an extended path to profitability for shareholders.

Despite the improvement in capital position, D.Western Therapeutics Institute projects fiscal 2026 net sales of ¥300 million, down 22.6% year on year, and a wider net loss of ¥800 million, indicating expectations of higher costs or slower revenue recognition. The absence of dividends for 2025 and in the 2026 forecast underlines management’s focus on funding R&D and maintaining liquidity, which may weigh on short-term investor returns even as the balance sheet shows increased cash and strengthened equity.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4576) stock is a Hold with a Yen98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D.Western Therapeutics Institute stock, see the JP:4576 Stock Forecast page.

D. Western Therapeutics Outlines FY12/25 Results and FY12/26 Outlook
Feb 13, 2026

D. Western Therapeutics Institute has released briefing materials for its fiscal year ending December 2025, outlining financial results, business progress, and forecasts for the next fiscal year. The document signals continued development of its therapeutic drug portfolio and provides stakeholders with an overview of performance trends and expectations for FY12/26, positioning the company within its specialty pharma niche despite limited disclosed detail.

The materials also include a reference business overview, indicating an effort to clarify the company’s operating model and strategic direction for investors. While specific figures are not provided in the excerpt, the structure of the briefing suggests a focus on linking financial performance with pipeline advancement and future outlook, underscoring the importance of ongoing R&D to its long-term growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4576) stock is a Hold with a Yen98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D.Western Therapeutics Institute stock, see the JP:4576 Stock Forecast page.

D.Western Therapeutics Narrows Losses but Forecasts Deeper Red Ink in 2026
Feb 13, 2026

D.Western Therapeutics Institute reported a 17.8% decline in net sales to ¥387 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, although its net loss narrowed to ¥632 million from ¥1,290 million a year earlier. The company’s equity ratio improved significantly from 43.9% to 66.1%, supported by a stronger net asset position and an increase in cash and cash equivalents to ¥1,709 million.

Operating cash outflows shrank compared with the prior year while financing cash inflows rose, indicating continued reliance on external funding to support R&D activities. For 2026, the company projects a further drop in net sales to ¥300 million and a deeper loss of ¥800 million, and it has again ruled out dividends, underscoring an ongoing investment phase and limited near-term returns for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4576) stock is a Hold with a Yen98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D.Western Therapeutics Institute stock, see the JP:4576 Stock Forecast page.

D. Western Therapeutics Institute Outlines FY2025 Results and FY2026 Outlook
Feb 13, 2026

D. Western Therapeutics Institute has released briefing materials for its fiscal year ending December 2025, outlining financial results, business progress, and its forecast for fiscal 2026. The document signals continued efforts to communicate performance and strategic direction, providing stakeholders with an overview of current operations and expectations for the coming year, although specific financial figures and project details are not disclosed in this summary.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4576) stock is a Hold with a Yen98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D.Western Therapeutics Institute stock, see the JP:4576 Stock Forecast page.

DWTI’s Glaucoma Combination Eye Drop GLA-ALPHA Debuts in Singapore Through Kowa
Jan 13, 2026

D. Western Therapeutics Institute announced that its partner Kowa has begun sales in Singapore of GLA-ALPHA Combination Ophthalmic Solution, a fixed-dose eye drop that combines the company’s in-house discovered Rho-kinase inhibitor ripasudil hydrochloride hydrate with brimonidine tartrate for the treatment of glaucoma and ocular hypertension. The product, already launched in Japan, Thailand and Malaysia, offers a novel mechanism versus existing combination therapies, is expected to support better intraocular pressure control and adherence for patients using multiple eye medications, and will generate royalty income for DWTI, with the financial impact to be incorporated into its earnings forecast for the year ending December 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4576) stock is a Hold with a Yen98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D.Western Therapeutics Institute stock, see the JP:4576 Stock Forecast page.

D. Western Therapeutics Expands Global Reach with New Ophthalmic Solution in Malaysia
Dec 17, 2025

D. Western Therapeutics Institute, Inc. has announced the launch of its new glaucoma and ocular hypertension treatment, ‘GLA-ALPHA® Combination Ophthalmic Solution,’ in Malaysia through its partner Kowa Co., Ltd. This product, which combines ripasudil hydrochloride hydrate and brimonidine tartrate, offers a novel treatment option with a unique mechanism of action, potentially improving patient adherence to multiple ophthalmic medications. The drug has been successfully marketed in Japan and Thailand, with plans for further expansion in Singapore and beyond. Although the launch is expected to enhance treatment options in Malaysia, it will have a minimal impact on the company’s current fiscal year earnings.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4576) stock is a Hold with a Yen98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D.Western Therapeutics Institute stock, see the JP:4576 Stock Forecast page.

D. Western Therapeutics Completes Observation Phase for K-321 Study
Nov 21, 2025

D. Western Therapeutics Institute has announced the completion of the observation period for subjects in the global phase III clinical study of their drug K-321, developed to treat Fuchs endothelial corneal dystrophy. This milestone marks a significant step forward in the drug’s development, as the data collected will now be analyzed to assess the drug’s efficacy and safety compared to a placebo. The company, in collaboration with Kowa Company, Ltd., aims to provide new treatment options for patients suffering from this condition, which currently has limited therapeutic options. The announcement does not affect the company’s earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending December 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4576) stock is a Hold with a Yen98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D.Western Therapeutics Institute stock, see the JP:4576 Stock Forecast page.

D.Western Therapeutics Advances to Phase III Trial for Regenerative Eye Treatment
Nov 19, 2025

D.Western Therapeutics Institute, Inc. has completed the final observation phase of its domestic phase II clinical trial for the regenerative medical cell product DWR-2206, developed in collaboration with ActualEyes Inc. The trial, aimed at evaluating the safety and efficacy of DWR-2206 for treating bullous keratopathy, reported no critical adverse events and noted improvements in visual acuity. The company is now preparing for a phase III clinical trial scheduled for fiscal 2026, marking a significant milestone in the development of this innovative treatment. This progress aligns with the company’s plans and is not expected to impact the earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending December 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4576) stock is a Hold with a Yen98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on D.Western Therapeutics Institute stock, see the JP:4576 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026