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Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. (JP:4538)
:4538
Japanese Market

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. (4538) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4538

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd.

(4538)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,546.00
▲(9.98% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/29/25
Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries' overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance in terms of revenue growth and profitability, but is hampered by significant cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, while valuation is mixed with a negative P/E ratio but a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet stability and prudent leverage
A debt-to-equity of 0.54 and ~49.5% equity ratio indicate prudent leverage and a strong equity base. This structural balance gives the company financial flexibility to fund R&D, maintain manufacturing capacity, and absorb shocks without forcing near-term asset sales or aggressive refinancing.
Consistent revenue growth with improving margins
Sustained top-line growth (9.3% year-on-year) alongside rising gross and net margins reflects durable demand and effective cost management. Over 2-6 months this supports steady operating cash potential, pricing power in hospital channels, and capacity to reinvest in product supply and incremental portfolio development.
Hospital-focused product mix and in-house manufacturing
A business concentrated on hospital-use drugs and owned manufacturing gives structural advantages: recurring institutional demand, higher switching costs, and supply control. Manufacturing ownership lowers supply disruption risk and supports long-term product quality and contract relationships with hospitals.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow and weak cash generation
Material negative free cash flow undermines the company's ability to self-fund capex, working capital, dividends, or strategic initiatives. Even with a decent balance sheet, persistent cash conversion weakness forces reliance on external financing and constrains operational flexibility over the medium term.
Earnings volatility and negative EPS growth
Severely negative EPS growth signals earnings instability, reducing predictability of profits and cash available for reinvestment or payouts. For a pharmaceutical firm, this volatility can reflect pricing, one-offs, or product cycles that impair multi-quarter planning and investor confidence.
Moderate operating margins limit resilience
Relatively modest EBIT/EBITDA margins constrain room to absorb cost inflation, fund higher R&D intensity, or compete on pricing. In specialty/generic pharma, limited margin headroom reduces capacity to scale investments or weather reimbursement pressure without squeezing profitability further.

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. (4538) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products in Japan. The company offers ethical drugs, such as injectables and artificial kidney dialysates; and medical machinery and equipment. It also rents real estate properties. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyFuso Pharmaceutical Industries generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its pharmaceutical products, including prescription medications and generics. The company has established partnerships with healthcare providers and distributors, allowing for an extensive market reach. Additionally, Fuso engages in research and development (R&D) collaborations with other pharmaceutical firms and institutions, which can lead to financial gains through licensing agreements and joint ventures. The company's ability to innovate and bring new drugs to market, coupled with its focus on high-demand therapeutic areas, significantly contributes to its revenue generation.

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries shows solid revenue growth and stable profitability margins. However, it faces significant challenges in cash flow management, with negative free cash flow and cash generation issues. The balance sheet remains robust with manageable debt levels.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries has shown consistent revenue growth, with a 9.31% increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin for 2025 stands at 27.3%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 4.59%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while improved, are moderate at 6.82% and 10.39% respectively, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, reflecting prudent leverage levels. The return on equity is 7.11%, showing satisfactory returns on shareholders' investments. Equity ratio is healthy at 49.48%, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets. However, the slight increase in total debt warrants attention for future leverage control.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows challenges, with a negative free cash flow of -5.43 billion yen in 2025, marking a significant decline. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash generation issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, underscoring the need for improved cash management practices.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.50B60.56B55.41B51.02B49.63B49.25B
Gross Profit4.08B16.53B13.52B13.74B13.40B14.11B
EBITDA1.36B6.29B4.20B4.63B4.47B4.79B
Net Income462.00M2.78B1.38B1.60B1.48B1.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets86.99B79.05B75.80B72.47B69.33B69.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.16B6.26B5.12B8.01B7.35B7.07B
Total Debt28.23B21.29B12.72B12.63B12.09B13.20B
Total Liabilities53.81B39.94B39.14B36.82B34.80B36.19B
Stockholders Equity33.18B39.11B36.66B35.65B34.53B33.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-5.43B-2.96B1.28B2.01B2.02B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-3.31B627.00M2.85B3.50B3.23B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.17B-3.54B-1.37B-1.55B-978.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.007.62B14.00M-813.00M-1.67B-2.45B

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2315.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2359.46
Positive
100DMA
2268.89
Positive
200DMA
2196.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
34.65
Negative
RSI
55.45
Neutral
STOCH
68.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4538, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2315 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2393.90, below the 50-day MA of 2359.46, and above the 200-day MA of 2196.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 34.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4538.

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥14.77B16.06-5.41%
65
Neutral
¥9.45B16.952.55%3.23%42.87%
64
Neutral
¥6.25B11.463.21%4.25%
60
Neutral
¥21.27B-5.173.71%7.50%-281.41%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
¥11.73B39.281.06%5.42%-62.03%
47
Neutral
¥17.44B-9.283.65%9.53%-155.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4538
Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd.
2,425.00
-4.00
-0.16%
JP:2929
Pharma Foods International Co., Ltd.
602.00
-243.35
-28.79%
JP:4512
Wakamoto Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
338.00
27.86
8.98%
JP:4524
Morishita Jintan Co., Ltd.
2,318.00
199.91
9.44%
JP:4539
Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd.
1,730.00
279.38
19.26%
JP:4574
Taiko Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
295.00
5.00
1.72%

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. Corporate Events

Fuso Pharmaceutical Profit Slumps Despite Modest Sales Growth
Feb 17, 2026

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries reported non-consolidated net sales of ¥48.27 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 3.4% year on year, but operating profit dropped 34.8% to ¥2.37 billion and ordinary profit fell 33.7%, with profit declining almost 30%, reflecting margin pressure despite modest revenue growth. The company’s total assets rose to ¥89.45 billion while its equity ratio slipped to 38.7%, and it maintained its dividend policy with a planned annual payout of ¥90 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, alongside a full-year forecast of only slight sales growth and lower profits, underscoring a more challenging earnings environment for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4538) stock is a Hold with a Yen2469.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. stock, see the JP:4538 Stock Forecast page.

Fuso Pharmaceutical Sees Profit Slide Despite Higher Sales, Keeps Dividend Outlook Firm
Feb 12, 2026

Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries reported non-consolidated net sales of ¥48.27 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 3.4% year on year, while operating profit fell 34.8% and profit dropped 29.9%, signaling margin pressure despite modest top-line growth. Total assets increased to ¥89.45 billion and net assets to ¥34.66 billion, but the equity ratio declined from 40.4% to 38.7%, indicating a slightly weaker capital structure.

The company maintained its dividend policy, having paid ¥82 per share in the prior fiscal year and forecasting a higher total dividend of ¥90 per share for the year ending March 31, 2026, underscoring continued shareholder returns. For the full year, Fuso projects modest 1.5% sales growth to ¥61.5 billion but expects double-digit declines in operating and ordinary profit, highlighting ongoing earnings headwinds even as it preserves stable payouts.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4538) stock is a Hold with a Yen2482.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd. stock, see the JP:4538 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025