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Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (JP:4534)
:4534

Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (4534) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4534

Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

(4534)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,010.00
▲(10.93% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:11/15/25
Mochida Pharmaceutical's strong financial stability and profitability are key strengths, supported by positive technical momentum. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash flow volatility, along with a moderate valuation, limit the overall score. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events does not impact the evaluation.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low leverage and a robust equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility: supports R&D and in-licensing, cushions reimbursement or pricing pressure, and allows management to fund strategic initiatives or sustain distributions without needing external debt under stress.
Sustained profit margins
Consistently healthy gross and net margins show structural cost discipline and pricing power in key therapeutic areas. Strong margins support reinvestment in development and commercialization, helping sustain earnings even if top-line growth slows.
Solid cash generation relative to earnings
A strong conversion of earnings into cash and improving operating cash flow underpin sustainable internal funding capacity for capex, R&D, and licensing. This reduces dependence on external financing and supports long-term strategic execution.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue growth
A multi-year slowdown and a recent significant revenue drop are structural concerns: they shrink the base for margin expansion, constrain reinvestment capacity, and signal product lifecycle or competitive headwinds that could limit sustainable top-line recovery.
Volatile free cash flow
Volatility in free cash flow creates uncertainty around funding for acquisitions, development, and dividends. Even with strong FCF-to-income conversion recently, inconsistent FCF trends complicate multi-quarter planning and may force conservative capital allocation.
Domestic revenue concentration & limited partnership visibility
Heavy reliance on the domestic Japanese market and limited disclosed partnership details constrain diversification and scalable growth. This concentration increases sensitivity to local reimbursement and distribution dynamics and limits external growth levers.

Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (4534) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. produces and sells pharmaceuticals, skincare products, and diagnostics solutions in Japan. The company provides cardiovascular, analgesic, gastrointestinal, neurological, anti-infective, antidiabetics, and anticancer products, as well as hormone and biological preparations, and biosimilars; diagnostic reagents, such as reagents for fertility/infertility and other reagents; and face and body care, hair care, and skincare products, as well as dermatology, psychiatry, obstetrics, and gynecology products. It also developing drugs for the treatment of intractable diseases. The company has collaboration agreements with Amarin Corporation plc for the development and commercialization of ethyl icosapentate products; and Gene Techno Science Co., Ltd. to develop new regenerative medicine for the treatment of digestive rare and intractable diseases, such as congenital isolated hypoganglionosis. Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMochida Pharmaceutical makes money primarily by selling pharmaceutical products, with revenue largely generated from prescription drug sales in the domestic Japanese market. Its core revenue model includes (1) product sales from its own marketed prescription medicines (distributed through healthcare providers and pharmaceutical distribution channels), and (2) income associated with bringing in and commercializing products through licensing arrangements (e.g., in-licensing/partnered products marketed under Mochida’s sales network) where applicable. Earnings are supported by its ability to obtain regulatory approvals, maintain reimbursement positioning in Japan’s healthcare system, and sustain demand through medical representative (MR)-driven promotion to physicians and healthcare institutions. Specific details on the company’s largest product contributions, exact revenue mix by segment, and named major partnerships are null.

Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mochida Pharmaceutical demonstrates strong profitability and financial stability with low leverage. However, declining revenue growth and volatile cash flow trends pose challenges. The company needs to address these areas to sustain long-term growth and improve financial performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mochida Pharmaceutical has shown a decline in revenue growth over the past few years, with a significant drop in the most recent year. Despite this, the company maintains healthy gross and net profit margins, indicating strong cost management and profitability. However, the declining revenue trend is a concern for future growth prospects.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company has a very low debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting minimal leverage and a strong equity base. Return on equity has been stable, though slightly declining, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is robust, suggesting financial stability and low risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Mochida Pharmaceutical's cash flow performance is mixed. While the operating cash flow has improved recently, the free cash flow growth has been volatile. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings, but past negative free cash flow growth rates highlight potential cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue106.38B105.16B102.89B103.26B110.18B103.00B
Gross Profit54.46B53.79B52.07B55.12B59.55B54.79B
EBITDA11.44B11.07B8.61B11.18B17.08B14.75B
Net Income6.03B5.68B4.55B6.65B10.57B8.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets161.74B163.56B162.30B161.04B165.93B165.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.69B51.15B46.79B60.51B61.91B63.49B
Total Debt830.00M342.00M369.00M178.00M0.000.00
Total Liabilities30.59B32.87B34.33B34.26B37.28B38.90B
Stockholders Equity131.15B130.69B127.97B126.78B128.65B126.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.007.19B-9.78B5.13B4.47B7.26B
Operating Cash Flow0.009.35B-7.48B7.30B7.46B9.20B
Investing Cash Flow0.0017.36B74.00M-2.95B-2.01B-880.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.87B-6.39B-6.88B-5.96B-5.11B

Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3615.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3697.80
Negative
100DMA
3515.10
Positive
200DMA
3284.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-45.72
Positive
RSI
41.92
Neutral
STOCH
33.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4534, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3615 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3717.00, below the 50-day MA of 3697.80, and above the 200-day MA of 3284.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -45.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4534.

Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥152.00B93.62-2.58%4.16%-5.99%-96.04%
73
Outperform
¥121.65B12.604.81%2.34%4.35%48.30%
69
Neutral
¥85.96B8.413.36%11.65%93.46%
67
Neutral
¥195.63B5.0512.02%2.14%9.32%30.85%
66
Neutral
¥185.24B14.926.70%2.48%13.11%41.57%
59
Neutral
¥213.76B13.892.28%12.78%-105.43%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4534
Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
3,575.00
338.60
10.46%
JP:4521
Kaken Pharmaceutical Co
4,220.00
-304.74
-6.73%
JP:4547
Kissei Pharmaceutical Co
4,535.00
814.37
21.89%
JP:4553
Towa Pharmaceutical Co
3,975.00
1,249.88
45.87%
JP:4569
KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.
1,633.00
97.54
6.35%
JP:4887
SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.
2,149.00
101.24
4.94%

Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Mochida Pharmaceutical Lifts Nine-Month Earnings and Raises Full-Year Profit Forecast
Feb 6, 2026

For the nine months ended December 31, 2025, Mochida Pharmaceutical reported an 8.4% year-on-year rise in consolidated net sales to ¥87.5 billion, with operating profit up 3.9% to ¥7.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent up 13.2% to ¥6.3 billion, lifting basic earnings per share to ¥178.91. Total assets expanded to ¥182.2 billion and equity rose to ¥137.4 billion, though the equity ratio declined to 75.4% from 81.6%, while the company maintained its dividend policy with ¥40 per share already paid at the second quarter and a full-year forecast of ¥80 unchanged; at the same time, Mochida upgraded its full-year outlook, now projecting 9.8% growth in net sales to ¥115.5 billion and a 47.8% jump in full-year profit attributable to owners of parent to ¥8.4 billion, signaling confidence in earnings momentum despite the note that its forecast revisions have been formally updated.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4534) stock is a Hold with a Yen3964.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4534 Stock Forecast page.

Mochida Pharmaceutical Raises Full-Year Earnings Forecast on Strong Core Business
Feb 6, 2026

Mochida Pharmaceutical has raised its full-year consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, reflecting stronger-than-expected performance in its pharmaceutical business and higher income from equity-method investments. The company now expects consolidated net sales of ¥115.5 billion, operating profit of ¥9.5 billion, ordinary profit of ¥11.0 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥8.4 billion, representing year-on-year growth and sizable increases of 35.7% to 55.6% versus its previous guidance, signaling improved earnings momentum and potentially stronger returns for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4534) stock is a Hold with a Yen3964.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4534 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025