giftee, Inc. (JP:4449)
:4449
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giftee, Inc.
(4449)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,049.00
▼(-16.48% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is supported by the 2025 financial rebound (growth, improved margins, and sharply better cash generation), but is held back by elevated leverage and a history of profit/cash-flow volatility. Technicals further pressure the score as the stock is in a clear downtrend versus key moving averages with negative momentum, and valuation remains high given a ~39.8 P/E and modest ~1.28% yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin Rebound
A clear operational rebound in 2025 with materially higher revenue and durable operating margins signals improved product-market fit and pricing power. Sustained double-digit growth plus high EBIT/EBITDA margins support reinvestment, margin resiliency, and longer-term profitability if execution holds.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Meaningful leverage limits financial flexibility and raises interest and refinancing risk if cash flow weakens. Even with improved 2025 cash generation, a debt-to-equity ratio near 1.7 means downturns could quickly pressure liquidity and constrain strategic investments or M&A over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Margin Rebound
A clear operational rebound in 2025 with materially higher revenue and durable operating margins signals improved product-market fit and pricing power. Sustained double-digit growth plus high EBIT/EBITDA margins support reinvestment, margin resiliency, and longer-term profitability if execution holds.
Read all positive factors
giftee, Inc. (4449) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥32.61B
Dividend Yield0.82%
Average Volume (3M)363.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.52
Revenue Growth49.28%
EPS Growth-117.98%
CountryJP
Employees585
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-6.84
Shares Outstanding29,778,502
10 Day Avg. Volume266,360
30 Day Avg. Volume363,140
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.14
Price to Book (P/B)4.08
Price to Sales (P/S)2.64
P/FCF Ratio3.41
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)66.1
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥17.28B
giftee, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
giftee Inc. provides a service to send an e-gift through LINE or email. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Tokyo, Japan....
How the Company Makes Money
Giftee generates revenue primarily through the sale of gift cards and related services. The company earns a margin on each gift card transaction, which is the difference between the purchase price and the redemption value. Additionally, Giftee may...
giftee, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 12.20B | 14.15B | 9.55B | 7.23B | 4.72B | 3.73B |
| Gross Profit | 9.01B | 10.43B | 7.18B | 5.87B | 3.97B | 3.17B |
| EBITDA | 3.27B | 3.58B | 2.20B | 1.66B | 670.00M | 567.77M |
| Net Income | -190.00M | 936.00M | -510.00M | 128.00M | 10.00M | 150.50M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 40.85B | 44.71B | 41.19B | 22.16B | 19.77B | 18.95B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 17.99B | 16.93B | 10.98B | 5.10B | 9.98B | 11.03B |
| Total Debt | 16.71B | 15.81B | 19.16B | 8.16B | 8.28B | 8.37B |
| Total Liabilities | 32.13B | 35.43B | 32.90B | 13.86B | 11.67B | 11.16B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.68B | 9.15B | 8.26B | 8.30B | 8.09B | 7.78B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 10.95B | -3.60B | -3.74B | 423.00M | 133.69M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 11.09B | -3.59B | -3.73B | 424.00M | 313.86M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.49B | -1.53B | -1.05B | -1.37B | -3.52B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -3.64B | 11.00B | -102.00M | -72.00M | 10.97B |
giftee, Inc. Technical Analysis
Neutral
1256.00
Price Trends
1139.20
Negative
1159.02
Negative
1259.64
Negative
Market Momentum
-5.82
Negative
50.00
Neutral
65.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4449, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1256 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1089.70, above the 50-day MA of 1139.20, and below the 200-day MA of 1259.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4449.
giftee, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | ¥57.15B | 7.15 | 30.38% | 2.74% | 6.18% | 2.73% | |
71 Outperform | ¥85.08B | 5.42 | 6.96% | 2.98% | 1.15% | 86.72% | |
66 Neutral | ¥295.63B | 14.98 | 11.17% | 2.61% | 5.63% | 25.64% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | ¥32.61B | -45.97 | ― | 0.82% | 49.28% | -117.98% | |
49 Neutral | ¥1.51B | -9.68 | ― | ― | -0.97% | -6.95% | |
41 Neutral | ¥1.57T | -12.21 | -21.14% | ― | 11.45% | 42.34% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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giftee, Inc. Corporate Events
Giftee Beats FY2025 Profit Forecasts but Books ¥364 Million Investment Impairment
Feb 13, 2026
Giftee Inc. reported that its full-year FY2025 consolidated results slightly missed net sales guidance but exceeded forecasts for EBITDA, operating profit, and ordinary profit, while posting net income attributable to shareholders of ¥935 mil...
Giftee to Shift to Holding Company Structure and List New Parent on TSE Prime
Feb 13, 2026
Giftee, Inc. has resolved to transition to a pure holding company structure by establishing giftee Group, Inc. through a sole share transfer, with the new entity scheduled to become the listed parent company on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Marke...
Giftee swings to profit with double-digit growth and raises dividend
Feb 13, 2026
Giftee Inc. reported strong consolidated results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with net sales surging 48.1% to ¥14.15 billion and EBITDA climbing 62.9% to ¥3.74 billion. Operating profit rose 49.3% to ¥2.60 billion an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.