ONE CAREER Inc. (4377) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥44.01B
• Dividend Yield: 0.39%
• Average Volume (3M): 66.50K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 31.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.00
• Revenue Growth: 41.23%
• EPS Growth: 50.13%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 245
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Staffing & Employment Services
• EPS (TTM): 12.41
• Shares Outstanding: 18,351,510
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 99,200
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 66,503
• PEG Ratio: 1.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 6.99
• Price to Sales (P/S): 5.24
• P/FCF Ratio: 21.70
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥2,710.00 ▲(8.14% Upside)

ONE CAREER Inc. scores well due to its strong financial performance, characterized by robust growth and profitability, and a solid balance sheet. Technical analysis shows positive momentum, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The valuation is a concern with a high P/E ratio and low dividend yield, which slightly offsets the overall score.

Positive Factors

Strong Revenue Growth

Consistent high revenue growth (41% YoY) indicates expanding client wins and deeper market penetration in staffing. Over the next 2–6 months this drives scale economies, funds reinvestment into services and technology, and supports sustainable top-line momentum.

High and Durable Margins

Extremely high gross margin and robust operating/EBITDA margins point to durable pricing power and efficient service delivery. These structural profitability levels support sustained cash generation, reinvestment capacity, and resilience to margin pressure over multiple quarters.

Strong Balance Sheet and ROE

Very low leverage, a high equity ratio and a strong ROE provide a resilient capital structure. This reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, enabling multi-quarter strategic flexibility to invest organically or opportunistically without stressing the balance sheet.

Negative Factors

Industry Cyclicality

As a staffing and employment services firm, revenue and utilization are closely tied to macro hiring cycles. This structural cyclicality can produce material swings in placements and billing rates, pressuring revenues and margins during economic slowdowns.

Limited Scale / Headcount

A compact employee base (245) suggests a limited operating footprint that may constrain the ability to pursue large enterprise contracts, rapid geographic expansion, or volume scaling. Rapid growth could stress hiring, training, and key-person continuity.

Conservative Capital Structure May Limit Rapid Expansion

Near-zero leverage reflects a conservative financing stance. While it lowers financial risk, it also constrains capacity to fund faster inorganic growth without equity issuance or slower expansion, which may limit strategic scaling over the medium term.

ONE CAREER Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ONE CAREER Inc. provides recruitment DX support services through career data platform. t operates ONE CAREER, a job hunting site; and ONE CAREER PLUS, a job change site. ONE CAREER Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

ONE CAREER Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams. Primarily, the company earns income from subscription fees paid by job seekers for premium access to its job placement services and additional resources. Additionally, it partners with businesses that pay for job postings and access to its talent pool, creating a significant revenue stream. The company also offers customized training programs and workshops, charging fees for participation. Strategic partnerships with educational institutions and corporations further enhance its earnings by providing tailored career services and sponsorship opportunities. Overall, the combination of subscription models, corporate partnerships, and educational services form the backbone of ONE CAREER Inc.'s revenue model.

ONE CAREER Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

ONE CAREER Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, high profit margins, a solid balance sheet with low leverage, and efficient cash flow management. The company is well-positioned with a stable financial foundation and effective operational efficiency.

Income Statement

ONE CAREER Inc. has shown a robust revenue growth with a significant increase from the previous year by 36.07%. The gross profit margin is high at 84.49%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin stands at 17.09%, which is healthy for the industry. Strong EBIT and EBITDA margins of 24% and 26.09% respectively reflect operational efficiency. The company's income statement demonstrates strong growth and profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, indicating low leverage. The return on equity is impressive at 22.82%, showcasing effective utilization of equity for generating profit. The equity ratio is 70.54%, which signifies a stable financial structure with a majority of assets funded by equity. The company has maintained a solid balance sheet with low debt levels and strong equity.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has grown significantly by 87.78%, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.57, indicating good cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 1.41, suggesting effective cash management. Overall, cash flow metrics highlight substantial cash generation and efficient cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	6.64B	5.40B	3.97B	2.84B	1.95B	1.33B
Gross Profit	5.66B	4.56B	3.27B	2.23B	1.51B	986.10M
EBITDA	1.87B	1.41B	1.08B	663.72M	427.75M	93.24M
Net Income	1.25B	923.37M	694.54M	446.10M	268.17M	68.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	8.07B	5.73B	4.19B	3.32B	2.75B	1.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	6.23B	4.31B	3.19B	2.66B	2.23B	847.50M
Total Debt	120.02M	105.00M	100.00M	171.00M	283.16M	822.12M
Total Liabilities	3.16B	1.69B	1.13B	1.02B	896.63M	1.18B
Stockholders Equity	4.91B	4.04B	3.06B	2.29B	1.85B	118.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.30B	694.15M	545.36M	482.42M	-45.29M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	1.45B	916.97M	664.09M	561.32M	102.71M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-374.42M	-362.19M	-125.22M	-79.11M	-174.25M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	44.70M	-26.00M	-112.42M	903.91M	258.70M

ONE CAREER Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 2506.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4377, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2506 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2547.35, below the 50-day MA of 2583.07, and above the 200-day MA of 2371.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -32.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4377.

ONE CAREER Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
2301	84 Outperform	¥25.08B	12.67	―	3.79%	2.69%	-13.40%
3991	78 Outperform	¥10.71B	10.57	―	1.72%	3.95%	4.50%
4377	76 Outperform	¥44.01B	31.18	―	0.39%	41.23%	50.13%
6538	76 Outperform	¥7.04B	18.11	―	1.32%	12.73%	―
4433	64 Neutral	¥17.11B	26.32	―	3.66%	8.62%	―
6070	64 Neutral	¥31.21B	13.31	―	4.69%	-1.06%	3.51%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%