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Dentsu Inc. (JP:4324)
:4324
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Dentsu (4324) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4324

Dentsu

(OTC:4324)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,029.00
▼(-2.23% Downside)
Dentsu's overall stock score reflects significant financial and operational challenges, particularly in its international business. While there are positive steps towards cost reduction and efficiency improvements, the negative financial performance and bearish technical indicators weigh heavily on the score. The high dividend yield offers some appeal, but the suspension of dividends and negative P/E ratio highlight ongoing difficulties.

Dentsu (4324) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Dentsu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDentsu Group Inc. operates in the advertising business in Japan. The company offers advertising services, including newspapers, magazines, radio, television, internet, sales promotions, movies, out-of-home, public transportation, and other services. It is also involved in the consulting, development, and operation of information systems; sale of various software products; and provision of marketing and comprehensive network services. In addition, the company leases office buildings; and buys and sells real estate properties, as well as offers building and calculation services. Dentsu Group Inc. was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDentsu makes money through a comprehensive revenue model centered around its diverse range of marketing and advertising services. The company earns revenue primarily from fees charged for media planning and buying, which involves negotiating and purchasing advertising space on behalf of clients. Additionally, Dentsu generates income from creative services, such as developing advertising campaigns, and digital marketing services, which include online advertising, search engine optimization, and social media management. A significant portion of its revenue also comes from data analytics and consumer insights services that help clients understand market trends and target their audiences more effectively. Furthermore, Dentsu has established strategic partnerships and collaborations with global technology firms and media companies, enhancing its service offerings and broadening its revenue streams. The company’s expansive global network and innovative solutions contribute significantly to its earnings.

Dentsu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with strong results in Japan, including record-high net revenue and operating margins. However, significant challenges and setbacks persist in the international business, including negative organic growth, a substantial goodwill impairment loss, and the suspension of dividends. The company's strategic focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvements is a positive step, but the ongoing difficulties in the international segments overshadow these gains.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Japan
Japan maintained a strong organic growth rate of over 5% in Q2, with both net revenue and underlying operating profit reaching record highs. This marked the ninth consecutive quarter of positive growth for Japan and the third consecutive quarter of growing at more than 5%.
Operating Margin Exceeds Expectations
The operating margin was 12%, exceeding expectations and the previous year, driven by strong performance in Japan and controlled SG&A expenses in the international business.
Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement
Identified opportunities to reduce operating costs by around JPY52 billion annually, with a headcount reduction of approximately 3,400 employees targeting headquarters and back offices.
New Client Wins and Industry Recognition
Secured new clients such as Mizkan in Japan, ServiceNow globally, Dollar General in the US, and BMW in EMEA. Won 26 Lions at Cannes Lions and numerous advertising awards from The One Show and D&AD.
Negative Updates
Negative Organic Growth
The organic growth rate for H1 of 2025 was negative 0.2%, slightly below expectations, with all international regions recording negative organic growth.
Goodwill Impairment Loss
A goodwill impairment loss of JPY86 billion was recorded in the Americas and EMEA, significantly impacting the financial results.
Dividend Suspension
Due to the underperformance of the international business and the goodwill impairment loss, the interim dividend was suspended, and the forecast of the year-end dividend is undetermined.
Challenging International Business Environment
International business regions continued to face challenges, with the Americas recording negative organic growth of 3.4% and EMEA recording negative 2.4%, slightly below expectations.
Company Guidance
During Dentsu Group Inc.'s FY2025 H1 earnings call, significant metrics and guidance were discussed. The organic growth rate for H1 2025 was slightly below expectations at negative 0.2%, with Japan performing strongly but the international business facing challenges. The operating margin exceeded expectations at 12%, and efforts to rebuild the business foundation are progressing. However, due to the international business's underperformance, the FY2025 guidance was revised, with organic growth expected to be flat instead of the previous circa 1%, while maintaining the operating margin guidance of circa 12%. A goodwill impairment loss of JPY86 billion was recorded in the Americas and EMEA. Dentsu aims to achieve an operating margin of 16% to 17% by FY2027 by reducing annual operating costs by around JPY50 billion, with headcount reductions of approximately 3,400 employees. Investments are being made in data and technology, talent, and AI capabilities, with a planned expenditure of approximately JPY17 billion for FY2025. The interim dividend is suspended, and the year-end dividend is undetermined, with further strategic partnerships and asset sales being explored to stabilize dividends from 2026 onwards.

Dentsu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dentsu faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability issues. While the balance sheet shows manageable leverage, the negative return on equity is concerning. Cash flow management appears effective, but the company needs to address its operational inefficiencies and improve profitability to enhance its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Dentsu's income statement reveals significant challenges, with a declining revenue growth rate of -65.3% in TTM, indicating a severe contraction. The net profit margin is negative at -13.45%, reflecting substantial losses. Despite a strong gross profit margin of 84.32%, the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight operational inefficiencies. The company needs to address these profitability issues to improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -24.64%, indicating poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 18.39%, reflecting a stable capital structure. Overall, while leverage is under control, the negative ROE is a concern.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 6.4% in TTM, indicating some improvement in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.086, suggesting weak cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 0.85, indicating effective cash management despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.41T1.41T1.30T1.24T1.09T939.24B
Gross Profit1.18T1.20T1.14T1.12T976.58B835.04B
EBITDA120.31B-29.60B139.50B203.16B302.49B-32.61B
Net Income-271.38B-192.17B-10.71B59.85B108.39B-159.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.15T3.51T3.63T3.74T3.72T3.38T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments369.24B397.19B390.68B603.74B723.54B530.69B
Total Debt559.43B547.27B713.46B532.43B579.19B584.81B
Total Liabilities2.50T2.74T2.72T2.79T2.81T2.56T
Stockholders Equity578.97B696.84B841.65B880.27B845.03B756.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow146.75B34.30B46.38B62.37B118.68B66.84B
Operating Cash Flow168.52B59.98B75.27B80.90B139.72B88.31B
Investing Cash Flow4.40B-30.91B-146.30B-24.35B262.23B137.01B
Financing Cash Flow-80.74B-65.71B-153.68B-188.19B-232.19B-96.62B

Dentsu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3098.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2985.70
Positive
100DMA
2989.13
Positive
200DMA
3226.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
9.65
Negative
RSI
59.99
Neutral
STOCH
85.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4324, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3098 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2939.13, above the 50-day MA of 2985.70, and below the 200-day MA of 3226.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 9.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4324.

Dentsu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$46.60B4.09-11.41%4.12%1.85%-42.71%
50
Neutral
$805.66B-37.59%4.50%2.30%-1250.34%
$6.03B35.4015.68%<0.01%
$3.00B46.682.19%3.15%
77
Outperform
¥87.63B25.68
7.50%-12.17%-47.60%
67
Neutral
¥26.56B5.52
6.57%6.24%48.37%
63
Neutral
¥34.85B27.16
5.13%2.34%-12.13%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4324
Dentsu
3,098.00
-1,019.93
-24.77%
CYAGF
CyberAgent
11.85
4.99
72.74%
HKUOF
Hakuhodo Dy Holdings
7.02
-1.26
-15.22%
JP:2461
FAN Communications. Inc.
526.00
151.25
40.36%
JP:2491
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.
822.00
-198.51
-19.45%
JP:4293
Septeni Holdings Co., Ltd.
418.00
16.57
4.13%

Dentsu Corporate Events

Dentsu Group Inc. Reports Mixed Financial Results for H1 2025
Aug 14, 2025

Dentsu Group Inc. reported its financial results for the first half of 2025, showing a slight increase in revenue by 0.4% compared to the previous year. However, the company faced a significant decline in profits, with a loss before tax of 43,375 million yen and a comprehensive income loss of 94,847 million yen, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4324) stock is a Sell with a Yen3000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dentsu stock, see the JP:4324 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 02, 2025