Neural Group Inc. (4056) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥12.50B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 97.45K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 246.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.94
• Revenue Growth: 4.41%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: JP
• Employees: 219
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Information Technology Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.57
• Shares Outstanding: 17,191,030
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 97,550
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 97,450
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥689.00
• Price Target Upside: -5.23% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥689.00 ▼(-5.23% Downside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by financial performance improvements, despite ongoing profitability and leverage challenges. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the valuation suggests overvaluation, both contributing to a lower score.

Neural Group Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Neural Pocket Inc. develops and owns a range of proprietary AI technologies. Its AI technologies detect images and videos, classification, spatial awareness, body movement/behavior analysis, facial expression and viewing analysis, and others. The company offers its services for creation of smart cities, such as mobility and mobile object-related fields; facility and infrastructure-related fields; and people and object movement tracking and security-related fields. It also provides digital signage services for advertisers and advertising agencies, developers, railway operators, commercial facilities, and other businesses; and AI-driven fashion trend analysis service that offers information on fashion trends to analyze data from SNS sites, shopping sites, and other services. The company was formerly known as Fashion Pocket Inc. and changed its name to Neural Pocket Inc. in March 2019. Neural Pocket Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Neural Group Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary revenue model is based on software licensing, where clients pay for access to their proprietary AI tools and platforms. Additionally, the company offers subscription-based services for ongoing support and updates, which provide a steady income stream. Consulting services represent another significant revenue source, as businesses seek expertise in implementing AI solutions tailored to their specific needs. Neural Group also engages in strategic partnerships with technology firms and academic institutions, which can lead to joint ventures or collaborative projects, further enhancing their market reach and profitability.

Neural Group Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Neural Group Inc. has shown improvements in revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, challenges remain with profitability and high leverage, as indicated by a negative net profit margin and a high debt-to-equity ratio.

Income Statement

Neural Group Inc. has shown a significant improvement in its revenue growth, with a 12.15% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is strong at 66.41% for 2024, indicating effective cost management. However, the company is still facing challenges with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -1.71% and a slight improvement in EBIT margin to 1.00% from a negative position in 2023. The EBITDA margin also improved to 5.13%, showing better operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.05, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity has improved to -9.92%, showing a reduction in losses relative to equity. The equity ratio stands at 20.63%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows a substantial turnaround with a positive operating cash flow of $194.6 million in 2024, compared to a negative figure in 2023. Free cash flow has also improved significantly, reflecting better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to the net loss, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.61B	3.56B	3.18B	2.88B	1.01B	762.79M
Gross Profit	2.38B	2.37B	2.06B	1.91B	787.57M	669.98M
EBITDA	277.93M	183.02M	-557.28M	-647.82M	110.26M	185.41M
Net Income	19.33M	-60.93M	-650.12M	-909.18M	11.27M	147.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.72B	2.98B	3.29B	3.86B	2.42B	1.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	523.54M	670.06M	821.19M	1.11B	1.43B	1.42B
Total Debt	1.74B	1.88B	2.42B	2.85B	961.40M	564.82M
Total Liabilities	2.12B	2.36B	2.82B	3.40B	1.10B	714.54M
Stockholders Equity	600.03M	614.24M	466.59M	461.63M	1.32B	1.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	189.85M	-455.41M	-455.60M	-255.65M	-3.10M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	194.60M	-386.99M	-318.24M	-788.00K	138.42M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	4.83M	-55.73M	-262.96M	-494.58M	-142.44M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-344.24M	237.69M	162.82M	496.55M	603.06M

Neural Group Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 727.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4056, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 727 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 735.00, below the 50-day MA of 793.78, and below the 200-day MA of 773.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -23.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4056.

Neural Group Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9753	79 Outperform	¥13.66B	9.86	13.19%	2.62%	9.12%	20.01%
7505	76 Outperform	¥19.71B	10.15	11.40%	8.29%	12.77%	37.78%
3918	74 Outperform	¥11.72B	10.33	9.28%	3.70%	-7.36%	35.89%
3979	73 Outperform	¥11.72B	19.89	15.13%	2.36%	12.77%	-1.50%
4056	51 Neutral	¥12.50B	246.40	―	―	4.41%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%