Media Kobo, Inc. (3815) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥4.67B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 8.95K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.42
• Revenue Growth: -6.92%
• EPS Growth: -86.77%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 61
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 97
• Industry: Internet Content & Information
• EPS (TTM): -10.40
• Shares Outstanding: 11,300,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,610
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 8,953
• PEG Ratio: -0.12
• Price to Book (P/B): 7.45
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.82
• P/FCF Ratio: -20.93
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 49 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥461.00 ▼(-9.78% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/11/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/11/25

Media Kobo, Inc. faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and negative profitability, heavily impacting its overall score. Technical analysis shows a stable short-term trend, but valuation concerns due to negative earnings and lack of dividends further weigh down the score.

Positive Factors

Moderate leverage

A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.70 indicates measured use of leverage rather than aggressive borrowing. That moderate leverage can provide financial flexibility to manage operations or refinance short-term needs, helping sustain operations and preserve optionality during a multi-month turnaround.

Stable gross margin

A steady gross margin shows the company’s core unit economics and cost of goods sold remain intact despite revenue headwinds. Stable gross margins allow management to focus on reducing operating expenses or regaining volume to restore profitability over several months, improving durability of recovery plans.

Stable equity ratio

A stable equity ratio suggests a base of shareholder capital that cushions losses and supports creditor confidence. That balance-sheet stability enhances the company's ability to access financing or endure short-term shocks, providing runway for restructuring or strategic initiatives over a 2–6 month horizon.

Negative Factors

Declining revenue trend

Persistent revenue declines reduce scale and shrink absolute gross profit dollars, making fixed-cost absorption harder and squeezing margin recovery. Over a multi-month period, continued top-line contraction undermines reinvestment capacity and increases the urgency for product or market fixes to avoid deeper deterioration.

Negative profitability and EPS collapse

Severe EPS decline and ongoing net losses signal the company cannot currently translate revenues into sustainable profits. Continued unprofitability erodes equity, limits internal funding for growth or restructuring, and constrains strategic choices over several months unless profitability drivers are materially improved.

Negative operating and free cash flow

Negative operating and free cash flow indicate the business is not generating sufficient cash to fund operations or invest. This liquidity weakness forces dependence on external financing or asset sales, raising refinancing risk and limiting strategic flexibility across the medium term unless cash generation reverses.

Media Kobo, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Media Kobo, Inc. engages in the provision of digital content services in Japan and internationally. The company plans, produces, and distributes fortune-telling and article content mainly aimed at women through its websites, mobile communication carriers, and platforms such as Apple and Google; provides one-on-one service that connects users and fortune tellers directly via phone or chat; and plans, produces, and operates in-house developed applications. It is also involved in filming and content production contracting services, as well as promoting IP alliances with other companies. The company offers its services for the multifunctional social platform for web communication. Media Kobo, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Media Kobo, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Media Kobo, Inc. is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow issues. The balance sheet shows some stability, but the company's ability to generate profits and cash is under pressure, posing risks to its financial health.

Income Statement

Media Kobo, Inc. has experienced declining revenue over the past few years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.27% in the most recent year. The company is facing profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but the overall financial health is impacted by consistent net losses.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.70, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's struggle to generate profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a reasonable level of financial stability despite the challenges.

Cash Flow

Media Kobo, Inc. has negative operating and free cash flows, which are concerning for its liquidity position. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income into cash.

Breakdown	Aug 2025	Aug 2024	Aug 2023	Aug 2022	Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.87B	2.01B	2.07B	2.20B	1.93B
Gross Profit	909.00M	1.00B	1.07B	1.12B	889.64M
EBITDA	-286.00M	-202.37M	80.83M	228.27M	128.47M
Net Income	-508.00M	-270.99M	35.33M	153.80M	7.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.28B	2.65B	2.71B	3.01B	3.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.60B	1.96B	2.03B	2.38B	2.41B
Total Debt	1.20B	1.29B	1.13B	1.41B	1.65B
Total Liabilities	1.57B	1.61B	1.37B	1.65B	1.92B
Stockholders Equity	708.00M	1.05B	1.35B	1.36B	1.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-252.00M	41.92M	-40.86M	228.12M	79.88M
Operating Cash Flow	-220.00M	44.17M	75.60M	290.13M	148.54M
Investing Cash Flow	-220.00M	-238.77M	-104.46M	-74.83M	-68.56M
Financing Cash Flow	76.00M	127.51M	-327.80M	-239.93M	-172.84M

Media Kobo, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 511.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3815, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 511 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 476.05, above the 50-day MA of 498.20, and below the 200-day MA of 531.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 25.36 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3815.

Media Kobo, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3922	77 Outperform	¥28.40B	12.43	―	0.38%	18.02%	46.43%
6180	75 Outperform	¥7.43B	15.62	―	3.29%	7.47%	55.61%
6185	64 Neutral	¥5.75B	24.73	―	―	8.77%	―
Sector *	60 Neutral	$48.67B	4.58	-11.27%	4.14%	2.83%	-41.78%
2489	57 Neutral	¥10.41B	40.80	―	1.09%	-5.70%	-215.73%
3815	49 Neutral	¥4.67B	-12.53	―	―	-6.92%	-86.77%
5571	46 Neutral	¥5.63B	60.99	―	2.46%	23.91%	-101.16%