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Media Kobo, Inc. (JP:3815)
:3815
Japanese Market

Media Kobo, Inc. (3815) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3815

Media Kobo, Inc.

(3815)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
¥439.00
▼(-14.09% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (widening losses, higher leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow) alongside bearish technicals (below key moving averages, negative MACD, very low RSI). Valuation provides limited support because earnings are negative and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Stable gross margins
Consistent gross margins indicate resilient unit economics for Media Kobo's digital content. Even with rising operating losses, steady gross margins mean core product pricing and cost of content remain viable, enabling margin recovery if operating expenses or scale are addressed.
Negative Factors
Negative operating & free cash flow
A return to negative operating and free cash flow in 2025 signals cash burn that increases near-term funding risk. Persistent cash outflows constrain the firm's ability to invest in product, support marketing, or absorb shocks, raising reliance on external financing or asset draws.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable gross margins
Consistent gross margins indicate resilient unit economics for Media Kobo's digital content. Even with rising operating losses, steady gross margins mean core product pricing and cost of content remain viable, enabling margin recovery if operating expenses or scale are addressed.
Read all positive factors

Media Kobo, Inc. (3815) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Media Kobo, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Media Kobo, Inc. engages in the provision of digital content services in Japan and internationally. The company plans, produces, and distributes fortune-telling and article content mainly aimed at women through its websites, mobile communication c...

Media Kobo, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial strength is weak: income statement shows a shift to large and deepening losses with declining revenue, balance sheet leverage has risen (weaker equity cushion), and cash flow turned negative again in 2025 (negative operating and free cash flow). Stable gross margins offer only limited support versus worsening profitability and funding risk.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.87B2.01B2.07B2.20B1.93B
Gross Profit909.00M1.00B1.07B1.12B889.64M
EBITDA-286.00M-202.37M80.83M228.27M128.47M
Net Income-508.00M-270.99M35.33M153.80M7.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.28B2.65B2.71B3.01B3.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.60B1.96B2.03B2.38B2.41B
Total Debt1.20B1.29B1.13B1.41B1.65B
Total Liabilities1.57B1.61B1.37B1.65B1.92B
Stockholders Equity708.00M1.05B1.35B1.36B1.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-252.00M41.92M-40.86M228.12M79.88M
Operating Cash Flow-220.00M44.17M75.60M290.13M148.54M
Investing Cash Flow-220.00M-238.77M-104.46M-74.83M-68.56M
Financing Cash Flow76.00M127.51M-327.80M-239.93M-172.84M

Media Kobo, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price511.00
Price Trends
50DMA
495.24
Negative
100DMA
505.50
Negative
200DMA
530.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.49
Negative
RSI
23.35
Positive
STOCH
>-0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3815, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 511 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 470.15, above the 50-day MA of 495.24, and below the 200-day MA of 530.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 23.35 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of >-0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3815.

Media Kobo, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥7.39B15.623.29%7.47%55.61%
71
Outperform
¥27.34B12.430.38%18.02%46.43%
64
Neutral
¥5.63B24.738.77%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
¥9.98B40.801.09%-5.70%-215.73%
46
Neutral
¥5.31B60.992.46%23.91%-101.16%
41
Neutral
¥4.64B-12.53-6.92%-86.77%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3815
Media Kobo, Inc.
460.00
-42.00
-8.37%
JP:2489
Adways, Inc.
270.00
-8.44
-3.03%
JP:3922
PR TIMES Corporation
2,066.00
-332.05
-13.85%
JP:5571
Excite Holdings Co.,Ltd.
1,089.00
-152.02
-12.25%
JP:6180
GMO Media, Inc.
4,300.00
-133.18
-3.00%
JP:6185
SMN Corporation
385.00
-30.00
-7.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026