Media Kobo, Inc. (3815) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥5.87B
• Dividend Yield: 0.52%
• Average Volume (3M): 9.43K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.43
• Revenue Growth: -7.03%
• EPS Growth: -182.41%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 61
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Internet Content & Information
• EPS (TTM): -12.24
• Shares Outstanding: 11,300,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 11,670
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 9,433
• PEG Ratio: -1.00
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.03
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -66.84
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥568.00 ▼(-1.90%Downside)

Media Kobo, Inc.'s overall stock score is driven primarily by its challenging financial performance and valuation concerns, due to negative earnings and low dividend yield. Despite these issues, the strong technical analysis suggests a bullish trend, providing some optimism. However, the potential for a pullback due to overbought indicators tempers this outlook.

Media Kobo, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Media Kobo, Inc. (3815) is a Japan-based company primarily engaged in the development and operation of mobile content services. The company focuses on providing a diverse range of digital content, including fortune-telling, entertainment, and lifestyle information, through mobile platforms. Media Kobo caters to a wide audience by leveraging its expertise in digital content creation and distribution across various devices and networks.

How the Company Makes Money

Media Kobo, Inc. generates revenue primarily through subscription fees and microtransactions associated with its mobile content services. The company offers a variety of content, such as fortune-telling and entertainment services, which users can access through paid subscriptions or one-time purchases. Additionally, Media Kobo may partner with mobile carriers and platform providers to expand its reach and improve content distribution, potentially sharing revenue generated through these partnerships. Advertising within its content offerings could also contribute to its earnings, although the primary focus remains on direct user payments for content access.

Media Kobo, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Media Kobo, Inc. is experiencing financial difficulties with declining revenues and profitability, as evidenced by negative income metrics. However, the company has a moderate leverage level and strong cash reserves, offering some stability. The improvement in free cash flow is a positive development, although significant operational challenges remain.

Income Statement

Media Kobo, Inc. has seen a decline in revenue over the past year, with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.94%. The net profit margin has also turned negative, from a positive 1.70% last year to -13.47% this year, indicating profitability challenges. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased significantly, indicating operational difficulties.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.23, reflecting moderate leverage. Stockholders' equity has decreased, leading to a reduced equity ratio of 39.41%, down from 49.60% last year. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strong cash position relative to its total liabilities, which aids in financial stability.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has improved to a positive figure this year, showing a growth from last year's negative free cash flow. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates a disparity given the negative net income, which may signal inefficiencies. The company has managed to maintain positive operating cash flow, which is a positive indicator.

Breakdown	TTM	Sep 2024	Sep 2023	Sep 2022	Sep 2021	Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.96B	2.01B	2.07B	2.20B	1.93B	1.80B
Gross Profit	967.09M	1.00B	1.07B	1.12B	889.64M	836.82M
EBITDA	-254.19M	-202.37M	80.83M	228.27M	128.47M	-19.08M
Net Income	-305.44M	-270.99M	35.33M	153.80M	7.18M	-149.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.33B	2.65B	2.71B	3.01B	3.12B	3.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.61B	1.96B	2.03B	2.38B	2.41B	2.50B
Total Debt	1.09B	1.29B	1.13B	1.41B	1.65B	1.82B
Total Liabilities	1.33B	1.61B	1.37B	1.65B	1.92B	2.04B
Stockholders Equity	1.00B	1.05B	1.35B	1.36B	1.20B	1.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	41.92M	-40.86M	228.12M	79.88M	-110.49M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	44.17M	75.60M	290.13M	148.54M	56.26M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-238.77M	-104.46M	-74.83M	-68.56M	-166.59M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	127.51M	-327.80M	-239.93M	-172.84M	307.53M

Media Kobo, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 579.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3815, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 579 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 565.85, above the 50-day MA of 544.22, and above the 200-day MA of 491.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3815.

Media Kobo, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3930	76 Outperform	¥4.39B	15.32		―	13.96%	200.83%
3770	72 Outperform	¥3.57B	26.62		1.39%	-2.62%	―
5571	68 Neutral	¥5.70B	30.99		2.53%	14.37%	-6.48%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$41.24B	-0.79	-14.21%	3.80%	2.39%	-73.52%
3815	57 Neutral	¥5.87B	―		0.52%	-7.03%	-182.41%
3674	54 Neutral	¥3.98B	49.66		―	-2.91%	-48.56%
2454	45 Neutral	¥5.05B	―		0.82%	-2.38%	-40.23%