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Cave Interactive Co., Ltd. (JP:3760)
:3760
Japanese Market

Cave Interactive Co., Ltd. (3760) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3760

Cave Interactive Co., Ltd.

(3760)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
¥641.00
▼(-12.67% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/15/25
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by the company's strong revenue growth but is weighed down by profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation.
Positive Factors
Owned IP and Live-ops F2P Model
Cave's ownership of niche "bullet hell" IP and vertical integration of development plus live-ops supports durable monetization. Reusing recognizable IP lowers content acquisition costs, while ongoing events and updates drive recurring in-app purchase revenue and player retention over quarters.
Low Leverage / Stable Balance Sheet
A low debt load and strong equity ratio provide financial flexibility to fund new game development, marketing, and live-ops without forcing dilutive financing. This stability helps the company withstand cyclical hits in player spending and invest for multi-quarter product roadmaps.
Historical Revenue Momentum
Sustained revenue growth signals product-market fit and effective monetization of titles and IP collaborations. A growing top line increases optionality to scale live operations, invest in new content, and amortize fixed development costs over a larger revenue base.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative free cash flow constrains the firm's ability to self-fund game development and marketing, increases reliance on external capital or licensing deals, and raises execution risk for multi-quarter production cycles and sustained live-ops investment.
Declining Return on Equity
A falling ROE suggests capital is generating lower returns, which may reflect weaker monetization or inefficient reinvestment. Over months this can limit investor confidence and the company's ability to finance growth internally without compromising shareholder value.
Inconsistent & Falling Profitability Margins
Declining gross and net margins point to rising content, user-acquisition, or operating costs and weaker pricing power. If margins remain pressured, long-term free cash flow and capacity to support recurring live-ops or new title launches will be materially constrained.

Cave Interactive Co., Ltd. (3760) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Cave Interactive Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCAVE Interactive CO.,LTD. engages in entertainment business in Japan. It plans, produces, operates, and markets entertainment content, including mobile media. The company also offers games and live streaming services. CAVE Interactive CO.,LTD. was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyCave Interactive mainly generates revenue from the operation of mobile games through free-to-play monetization, where users download and play for free and a portion of users purchase digital items and advantages via in-app purchases (e.g., gacha/lottery-style draws, character or equipment upgrades, consumable items, and paid currency). Ongoing live operations—limited-time events, new content releases, balance adjustments, and promotional campaigns—are used to sustain engagement and drive repeat spending. The company also earns from licensing and IP-related income by utilizing its own game IPs in collaborations and other commercial uses; specific partner names and the quantitative breakdown of these revenue streams are null.

Cave Interactive Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cave Interactive Co., Ltd. shows strong revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but declining return on equity and negative free cash flow are concerns.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cave Interactive Co., Ltd. has shown significant revenue growth over the years, particularly in the most recent periods, indicating a strong upward trajectory. However, the company's profitability margins, such as the net profit margin and EBIT margin, have been inconsistent, with recent declines. The gross profit margin has also decreased, suggesting potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly, pointing to reduced efficiency in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative free cash flow and a declining free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive but relatively low, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow management concerns.
BreakdownTTMMay 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021May 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.62B13.97B12.27B6.96B1.41B1.70B
Gross Profit4.59B5.23B5.45B3.44B677.71M793.74M
EBITDA781.83M55.80M2.13B2.97B-901.39M-234.60M
Net Income-409.23M246.49M1.48B2.58B-936.99M-244.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.48B13.25B14.36B13.49B1.38B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.26B6.20B6.34B6.39B1.06B904.44M
Total Debt1.21B1.25B983.92M1.10B206.51M209.72M
Total Liabilities5.55B6.98B7.57B8.40B361.06M359.27M
Stockholders Equity5.92B6.22B6.09B4.42B997.56M1.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-257.72M-916.03M1.68B-520.33M-485.48M
Operating Cash Flow0.00922.45M569.09M2.54B-480.60M-299.32M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.35B-703.00M1.28B44.29M-186.16M
Financing Cash Flow0.00279.65M31.00M1.85B583.50M287.31M

Cave Interactive Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price734.00
Price Trends
50DMA
680.64
Negative
100DMA
721.06
Negative
200DMA
849.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-12.32
Positive
RSI
43.02
Neutral
STOCH
55.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3760, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 734 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 657.80, above the 50-day MA of 680.64, and below the 200-day MA of 849.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3760.

Cave Interactive Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
¥9.81B9.6311.15%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
52
Neutral
¥31.50B-5.14-14.71%-38.87%
51
Neutral
¥4.27B16.910.64%-13.35%-258.79%
49
Neutral
¥4.28B-0.411.44%4.29%-123.59%
46
Neutral
¥18.60B52.94-37.68%
42
Neutral
¥11.70B4.6693.85%-216.24%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3760
Cave Interactive Co., Ltd.
644.00
-255.79
-28.43%
JP:3656
KLab Inc.
404.00
261.00
182.52%
JP:3793
Drecom Co., Ltd.
403.00
-184.00
-31.35%
JP:3851
Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
843.00
36.92
4.58%
JP:3903
gumi, Inc.
347.00
-145.00
-29.47%
JP:3911
Aiming, Inc.
210.00
-34.00
-13.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2025