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CERES INC. (JP:3696)
:3696
Japanese Market

CERES INC. (3696) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3696

CERES INC.

(3696)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,460.00
▼(-24.86% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is held up by improved profitability and better 2025 free cash flow, but is weighed down by a clear bearish technical setup (price below key moving averages and negative MACD) and an expensive valuation (P/E ~53) despite a ~4% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved Profitability
Profitability has meaningfully recovered from the 2022 trough, with net margin around 8% and ROE near 19% in 2025. That sustained earnings power improves internal funding capacity, supports dividend durability and gives management more flexibility to invest in growth initiatives over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
Top-line volatility and a modest revenue decline in 2025 signal uneven demand or portfolio mix issues, undermining predictability for margins and investment planning. Persistent revenue swings reduce visibility into sustainable cash flows and complicate multi-quarter resource allocation decisions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved Profitability
Profitability has meaningfully recovered from the 2022 trough, with net margin around 8% and ROE near 19% in 2025. That sustained earnings power improves internal funding capacity, supports dividend durability and gives management more flexibility to invest in growth initiatives over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

CERES INC. (3696) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

CERES INC. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ceres Inc. engages in the mobile and financial services in Japan. The company offers smartphone advertising media services with point site name Moppy that provides its users with given points that can be exchanged for cash or electronic money; and...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

CERES INC. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has recovered from the 2022 trough (net margin ~8% in 2025; ROE ~19%), but 2025 revenue declined modestly and margins remain below the 2021 peak. Leverage is manageable but higher than 2020–2021, and cash conversion has been inconsistent despite improved 2025 free cash flow.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.41B29.66B27.71B24.07B20.54B23.40B
Gross Profit13.74B12.78B13.13B10.38B7.88B7.66B
EBITDA3.32B2.83B2.68B1.65B1.62B2.60B
Net Income2.36B2.50B1.48B451.15M46.61M2.78B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.28B37.50B33.09B25.99B22.67B20.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.20B15.69B14.13B11.11B9.32B9.26B
Total Debt7.56B9.42B9.54B7.36B5.89B4.22B
Total Liabilities19.60B23.54B20.37B15.94B12.98B10.46B
Stockholders Equity12.05B13.30B11.15B9.19B8.88B9.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.26B1.77B54.80M962.95M363.08M1.75B
Operating Cash Flow1.32B1.99B379.63M1.23B487.00M1.82B
Investing Cash Flow776.00M824.53M764.72M-738.91M-1.69B-787.23M
Financing Cash Flow-2.85B-1.06B1.98B1.23B1.19B408.15M

CERES INC. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1943.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1618.76
Negative
100DMA
1810.65
Negative
200DMA
2071.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-43.44
Negative
RSI
47.11
Neutral
STOCH
71.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3696, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1943 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1499.80, above the 50-day MA of 1618.76, and below the 200-day MA of 2071.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -43.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3696.

CERES INC. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥184.41B12.048.27%2.68%-2.45%7.31%
75
Outperform
¥151.95B9.782.66%-1.63%67.13%
73
Outperform
¥243.63B9.233.90%2.65%7.16%
72
Outperform
¥4.51B6.432.79%3.32%18.84%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
53
Neutral
¥17.90B8.972.88%10.23%152.86%
53
Neutral
¥331.55B-15.81-20.43%3.72%-8.20%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3696
CERES INC.
1,550.00
-257.42
-14.24%
JP:3401
Teijin
1,726.00
679.79
64.98%
JP:5331
Noritake Co.,Limited
3,305.00
1,743.64
111.67%
JP:3106
KURABO INDUSTRIES LTD.
9,480.00
4,424.42
87.52%
JP:4206
Aica Kogyo Company, Limited
3,731.00
666.33
21.74%
JP:5355
Nippon Crucible Co., Ltd.
670.00
91.01
15.72%

CERES INC. Corporate Events

Ceres Takes Control of SQUIZ to Expand Online Healthcare Platform
Apr 1, 2026
Ceres Inc. has moved to deepen its presence in online healthcare by acquiring a 90 percent stake in SQUIZ Co., Ltd., an online medical platform, for ¥3.6 billion as of April 1, 2026. This transaction follows a minority investment made in July...
Ceres to Make Online Medical Operator SQUIZ a Subsidiary via Share Deal
Apr 1, 2026
Ceres Inc. will acquire 90% of online medical services operator SQUIZ Co., Ltd., turning it into a subsidiary, and will use a disposal of treasury shares via third-party allotment as part of the consideration. The move aims to reinforce Ceres&#821...
Ceres Sets Capital-Efficient Growth Plan as Market Discounts Blockchain Volatility
Mar 6, 2026
Ceres Inc. outlined a capital-efficient management policy after determining its cost of equity at 13.2% and lifting return on equity to 20.4% in 2025 through record profits in Mobile Services, portfolio optimization, and higher dividends. Despite ...
Ceres Links Expanded Director Stock Pay to ESG and Profit Targets
Feb 24, 2026
CERES INC. has resolved to revise its restricted stock remuneration plan for non-outside directors, tying a larger share-based compensation pool to both financial performance and sustainability metrics. The proposal, to be put to shareholders in M...
Ceres Inc. Plans Higher Year-End Dividend on Gain From Subsidiary Share Sale
Feb 24, 2026
Ceres Inc. plans to increase its year-end dividend for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, proposing a payout of ¥80 per share, up from ¥60 the previous year, with total dividends rising to ¥923 million. The proposal, to be vot...
Ceres Books ¥849 Million Extraordinary Loss on Crypto Subsidiary, No Hit to Group Results
Feb 13, 2026
Ceres Inc. has booked an extraordinary loss of ¥849 million in its non-consolidated results for the year ended December 31, 2025, after recognizing an impairment on shares held in its subsidiary Mercury Inc. The writedown follows a decline in...
Ceres Misses Profit Forecasts as Crypto Slump and D2C Weakness Offset Sales Gain
Feb 13, 2026
Ceres Inc. reported fiscal 2025 consolidated results that exceeded its earlier net sales forecast but fell short on all major profit metrics, as revenue rose to ¥29.6 billion versus guidance of ¥28.4 billion. Despite strong performance i...
Ceres Withdraws 2026 Plan and Unveils Ambitious 2030 Growth Strategy
Feb 13, 2026
Ceres Inc. has withdrawn its previous Medium-Term Management Plan 2026 after portfolio restructuring and adverse conditions in its blockchain business, including the sale of YUMEMI Inc. and a sharp decline in altcoin prices that undermined key ass...
Ceres Inc. Unveils FY2025 Results and Medium-Term 2030 Plan
Feb 13, 2026
Ceres Inc. reported its consolidated results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, outlining performance across its mobile service and financial service segments. The company also presented its Medium-Term Management Plan 2030, a five-...
Ceres boosts earnings and dividend in 2025, guides for strong sales growth in 2026
Feb 13, 2026
Ceres reported fiscal 2025 consolidated net sales of ¥29.66 billion, up 7.1% year on year, with EBITDA jumping 71.4% and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 68.6% to ¥2.50 billion. Operating profit grew modestly, while ordina...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026