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TSI Holdings Co Ltd (JP:3608)
:3608

TSI Holdings Co (3608) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3608

TSI Holdings Co

(3608)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,141.00
▲(3.82% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:11/14/25
TSI Holdings Co's strong valuation with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield are significant positives, suggesting potential undervaluation and attractive returns. Financial performance is stable with a solid balance sheet, though improvements in cash conversion are needed. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, which could pose short-term risks.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet and low leverage
Extremely low leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility, lowering default and refinancing risk. A 14.11% ROE shows efficient use of equity, enabling the company to fund operations, capex, or shareholder returns while withstanding cyclical retail downturns.
High gross margin and improving net profitability
A >50% gross margin indicates enduring product pricing power and brand value in apparel. The material improvement in net margin reflects sustained cost control and operating leverage, which enhances long-term profit sustainability and provides room to invest in brands or omnichannel growth.
Return to positive free cash flow
Resumption of positive FCF demonstrates the firm's ability to convert operations into discretionary cash, supporting dividends, debt reduction, or reinvestment. This structural recovery improves resilience versus prior years and underpins sustainable capital allocation choices.
Negative Factors
Poor cash conversion from earnings
Low conversion ratios signal persistent working capital or timing issues that weaken the link between accounting profits and cash. Over time this constrains internal funding, limits agility for strategic investments, and raises sensitivity to inventory or receivables deterioration.
Low operating (EBIT) margin
A sub-2% EBIT margin indicates limited operating profitability after SG&A and store costs, reducing the firm's ability to absorb cost inflation and invest in growth. Structurally low operating margins heighten the need for productivity gains or mix improvement to sustain returns.
Domestic concentration and brand/retail exposure
Heavy reliance on Japan consumer demand and fashion cycles concentrates revenue risk. The multi-brand retail model exposes the company to structural retail challenges (store economics, markdown pressure), limiting diversification and making long-term growth contingent on domestic spending trends.

TSI Holdings Co (3608) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TSI Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTSI Holdings Co.,Ltd. plans, manufactures, sells, and imports clothing in Japan and internationally. It offers men's and women's wear. The company is also involved in the import, export, wholesale, and retail of clothing, cosmetics, perfumes, soaps, quasi-drugs, etc.; and food service business; and development and sale of synthetic resin related and processed products, as well as production and logistics management activities, employment agency, and work dispatching business. It serves specialty and department stores. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTSI Holdings makes money primarily by selling apparel and fashion-related products under its brand portfolio. Revenue is generated through (1) retail sales at directly operated stores, where the company earns the full product sales value (net of returns/discounts) and bears store operating costs; and (2) online sales via e-commerce, where it earns product revenue while incurring fulfillment, marketing, and platform-related costs. The company may also generate revenue through wholesale transactions to third-party retailers (selling inventory to other stores/distributors), where revenue is recognized based on the wholesale selling price rather than the final consumer price; however, specific contribution by channel is null. Earnings are influenced by product mix (e.g., seasonal apparel), merchandising and inventory management (mark-down rates and sell-through), store traffic and online conversion, and brand management across multiple labels. Specific material partnerships, licensing income, or non-apparel business lines are null.

TSI Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TSI Holdings Co exhibits a stable financial performance with moderate revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is robust due to low debt levels and a high equity ratio, providing a cushion against potential risks. Despite positive trends in cash flows, the company should focus on enhancing cash conversion efficiency. Overall, the company is financially sound with opportunities for operational improvements.
Income Statement
65
Positive
TSI Holdings' income statement shows a stable revenue with a slight growth of 0.79% from 2024 to 2025. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 53.3% in 2025. However, the net profit margin improved significantly from 3.12% in 2024 to 9.72% in 2025, indicating better cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, at 1.05% and 17.65%, respectively, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.015 in 2025, showcasing low leverage risk. The equity ratio stands at 76.44%, indicating financial stability. Return on Equity (ROE) improved to 14.11%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. Overall, the company has a solid financial foundation with minimal debt levels.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
TSI Holdings displays a strong recovery in cash flows with a positive free cash flow of 3.28 billion JPY in 2025, after negative figures in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.38, highlighting some inefficiencies in cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22. The cash flow trend is positive, but the company should strive for better cash conversion from its net income.
BreakdownTTMFeb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021Feb 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue147.54B156.61B155.38B154.46B140.38B134.08B
Gross Profit79.81B80.36B81.13B81.08B72.45B59.31B
EBITDA6.19B5.33B5.41B6.26B8.88B-7.00B
Net Income17.33B15.23B4.85B3.06B1.02B3.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets122.70B141.16B133.46B135.43B140.44B154.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.90B46.33B27.47B32.20B40.23B49.87B
Total Debt9.08B1.66B9.96B9.77B16.18B25.20B
Total Liabilities29.94B32.92B36.04B36.55B42.70B57.52B
Stockholders Equity92.49B107.91B97.08B98.48B97.21B96.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.28B-2.85B-1.15B257.00M-8.23B
Operating Cash Flow0.005.72B-525.00M1.33B1.38B-5.30B
Investing Cash Flow0.0028.33B3.50B-110.00M-3.98B36.01B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-15.13B-7.25B-9.59B-8.96B-11.17B

TSI Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1099.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1067.82
Positive
100DMA
1018.45
Positive
200DMA
1032.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.24
Positive
RSI
50.54
Neutral
STOCH
28.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3608, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1099 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1092.58, above the 50-day MA of 1067.82, and above the 200-day MA of 1032.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3608.

TSI Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥19.13B5.551.83%7.83%108.92%
68
Neutral
¥50.65B7.2618.28%6.12%-6.22%679.61%
66
Neutral
¥138.87B17.532.80%3.38%>-0.01%-49.83%
66
Neutral
¥39.16B13.455.23%
64
Neutral
¥128.50B9.4311.70%3.59%3.96%-36.24%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
¥211.89B39.725.31%2.29%-6.04%146.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3608
TSI Holdings Co
1,046.00
-66.14
-5.95%
JP:3002
Gunze
4,255.00
1,788.55
72.51%
JP:3591
WACOAL HOLDINGS
4,070.00
-1,074.82
-20.89%
JP:2685
Adastria Co.,Ltd.
2,840.00
-7.08
-0.25%
JP:8011
Sanyo Shokai Ltd.
3,880.00
1,098.34
39.49%
JP:9982
Takihyo Co., Ltd.
2,249.00
817.62
57.12%

TSI Holdings Co Corporate Events

TSI Holdings’ February Sales Surge on Store Recovery and E-Commerce Integration
Mar 6, 2026

TSI Holdings reported strong February 2026 sales, with all retail channels posting 147.2% year-on-year growth and existing retail channels up 106.6%, as both physical stores and e-commerce significantly exceeded the prior-year period. The company said spring merchandise sold well amid warmer late-month temperatures, while last year’s low store sales and a roughly 10-day suspension of brand e-commerce sites during migration to mix.tokyo inflated the year-on-year comparison, though even excluding newly consolidated Daytona International, sales across all channels still rose to 103.3% versus a year earlier, underscoring solid underlying momentum.

The company noted there was no impact from holiday timing on the comparison, and clarified that its e-commerce platform mix.tokyo is treated as an existing retail channel despite last year’s temporary suspension. February’s performance highlights the benefits of TSI’s expanded consolidation scope and digital integration strategy, reinforcing its position in Japan’s fashion retail market as it seeks to balance brick-and-mortar recovery with accelerating online growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3608) stock is a Buy with a Yen1212.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSI Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3608 Stock Forecast page.

TSI Holdings Corrects Terms on ¥36 Billion Syndicated Loan, Confirms Subsidiary Share Collateral
Feb 27, 2026

TSI Holdings has issued a correction to its recent announcement on a syndicated loan with financial covenants and a borrowing arrangement under Mizuho Eco Finance, clarifying that the facility is secured by a pledge of subsidiary shares rather than being unsecured as previously stated. The syndicated loan totals JPY 36 billion, involves three major commercial banks, matures on February 28, 2033, and the disclosure error stemmed from insufficient verification of contractual terms during preparation, highlighting a need for greater accuracy in the company’s financial communications and underscoring that core financing conditions include collateralization of group equity.

The correction indicates that, contrary to the earlier disclosure, the syndicated loan is backed by subsidiary share collateral, which may influence perceptions of TSI’s risk management and capital structure among lenders and investors. While the principal amount, tenor, and lender composition remain unchanged, the acknowledgment of pledged shares as collateral provides stakeholders with a clearer view of the security package behind TSI’s long-term financing and may affect assessments of the group’s financial flexibility at the subsidiary level.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3608) stock is a Buy with a Yen1277.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSI Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3608 Stock Forecast page.

TSI Holdings Corrects Organizational and Personnel Changes at Core Subsidiary
Feb 19, 2026

TSI Holdings has corrected previously announced organizational and personnel changes at key subsidiary TSI Inc., effective March 1, 2026, clarifying the internal structure and reporting lines. The amendments adjust the allocation of certain brands and departments within the newly established Business Headquarters and refine the positioning of the Digital Business and Corporate Sustainability functions.

Under the corrected plan, the WN Department is renamed Department 3 and the Ueno-Shokai Department becomes Department 4, which will now oversee the Seven by Seven and Dice & Dice brands. The revisions also swap the new departmental assignments of executives Keitaro Yamada and Shingo Aiba, moves that fine-tune leadership responsibilities as TSI Inc. reorganizes to streamline strategy, brand management, and digital operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3608) stock is a Buy with a Yen1244.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSI Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3608 Stock Forecast page.

TSI Holdings Announces Major Group Reorganization and Board Changes
Feb 18, 2026

TSI Holdings will overhaul its organizational structure from March 1, 2026, creating new Business and Corporate Strategy headquarters at the parent and TSI Inc. level while abolishing former group strategy units and renaming e-commerce and sustainability divisions to emphasize digital business and corporate sustainability. The reorganization realigns multiple brand departments into newly created units, aiming to streamline decision-making, strengthen digital channels, and improve strategic coordination across group companies.

The company also plans board-level changes effective May 22, 2026, adding Makoto Mizoguchi as an outside director and Yoko Yamaguchi as an outside audit and supervisory board member, while Naoko Ichikawa and Fujiro Okada will step down, subject to shareholder approval. Concurrently, key executives such as CFO Mitsuru Naito and senior managers Katsuhiro Kamiya and Ryuji Tsukamoto will assume redefined roles under the new structure, reinforcing leadership over business, sales and finance functions across TSI Holdings and TSI Inc.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3608) stock is a Buy with a Yen1244.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSI Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3608 Stock Forecast page.

TSI Holdings Weighs New Fashion Foundation Funded by Treasury Shares
Feb 18, 2026

TSI Holdings plans to establish a new general incorporated foundation, tentatively named the TSI Foundation for Future Fashion, as early as June 2026 to promote a society where more people can enjoy happiness and joy through fashion. The foundation will focus on scholarships for future fashion creators, environmental conservation and restoration related to textiles, and community and humanitarian initiatives that support the enjoyment of fashion.

To fund the foundation, the company is considering allocating a small portion of its treasury shares, keeping the resulting voting rights and share dilution under 1 percent of issued shares and voting rights. By using dividends from these shares as a stable funding source, TSI aims to conduct continuous, medium- to long-term social contribution activities without materially impacting profits, while limiting secondary market effects and reinforcing its long-term growth and corporate value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3608) stock is a Buy with a Yen1244.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSI Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3608 Stock Forecast page.

TSI Holdings Refinances Daytona Acquisition with ¥36 Billion Syndicated Loan and Secures Eco Finance Facility
Feb 18, 2026

TSI Holdings has arranged a ¥36 billion syndicated loan with three major commercial banks, led by Mizuho Bank, to refinance short-term borrowings used to acquire Daytona International and extend funding out to February 2033 under new financial covenants. The covenants require the company to maintain a minimum level of consolidated net assets and avoid consecutive years of ordinary losses, tightening discipline over its balance sheet and profitability.

In parallel, TSI entered into a separate loan agreement under Mizuho Eco Finance, an environmental evaluation-based financing framework, after being assessed as achieving high scores on climate-related performance indicators. The company has formulated an environmental policy, set medium-term GHG reduction targets through fiscal 2031, committed to carbon neutrality in domestic operations by 2050, and obtained SBTi certification for its emissions targets, reinforcing its ESG credentials and access to sustainability-linked funding.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3608) stock is a Buy with a Yen1244.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSI Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3608 Stock Forecast page.

TSI Holdings’ January Sales Jump on M&A Boost but Comparable Growth Softens
Feb 6, 2026

TSI Holdings reported that in January 2026 total sales across all retail channels rose 34.9% year on year, boosted mainly by the consolidation of Daytona International and solid demand for spring merchandise and buzzworthy items led by men’s brands, while on a like-for-like basis existing retail channels edged down to 97.4% of the prior-year level. Although markdowns supported some core brands, sluggish performance in the company’s own e-commerce channel dragged on overall comparable sales, and management estimates that an extra holiday versus the previous year added about 2.1 percentage points to sales, with all retail channels excluding Daytona International posting just 93.5% of last year’s level, underscoring ongoing challenges in organic growth and digital execution.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3608) stock is a Buy with a Yen1181.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSI Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3608 Stock Forecast page.

TSI Holdings Delivers Strong Profit Rebound in Q3 and Reshapes Group Structure
Jan 14, 2026

TSI Holdings reported third-quarter consolidated net sales of ¥116.6 billion, up 0.5% year on year, while operating income jumped 70.0% to ¥3.7 billion and ordinary income doubled to ¥5.0 billion; profit attributable to owners of parent surged to ¥3.3 billion from ¥159 million a year earlier, driving earnings per share up to ¥51.17. Despite a decline in net assets and shareholders’ equity ratio due in part to changes in the scope of consolidation and increased treasury stock, the company maintained its full-year forecast, projecting ¥169.0 billion in net sales and a sharp recovery in profitability, while also restructuring its group portfolio by adding Daytona International Co., Ltd. as a consolidated subsidiary and removing six other subsidiaries, signaling continued efforts to streamline operations and improve capital efficiency, including through share buybacks reflected in reduced shares outstanding and higher treasury stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3608) stock is a Buy with a Yen1070.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSI Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3608 Stock Forecast page.

TSI Holdings Posts Strong December Sales Boosted by New Subsidiary, Underlying Store Performance Still Soft
Jan 9, 2026

TSI Holdings reported that December 2025 retail sales across all channels rose 34.3% year-on-year, driven largely by strong growth in e-commerce and the consolidation of Daytona International, while existing retail channels posted a more modest 3.8% increase to 96.2% of the prior year. The company noted that steady demand for winter and basic items, particularly in menswear, was offset by weak promotional sales at key brands and by the impact of having one fewer holiday, which shaved an estimated 2.3 percentage points off year-on-year results, and that excluding the newly consolidated Daytona International business, overall retail sales were only 91.4% of the previous year, highlighting continued softness in the underlying store network.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3608) stock is a Hold with a Yen1056.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSI Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3608 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025