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No.1 Co.,Ltd (JP:3562)
:3562
Japanese Market

No.1 Co.,Ltd (3562) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3562

No.1 Co.,Ltd

(3562)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,773.00
▼(-15.53% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:10/08/25
The company's strong financial performance, particularly in cash flow management, is a significant strength. However, technical indicators show a bearish trend, and the valuation suggests limited upside potential. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow strength
A large jump in free cash flow and an OCF-to-net-income ratio of 2.52 show the company converts earnings into cash efficiently. Durable cash generation supports sustained R&D, product rollout, capex and working capital needs, enhancing resilience and strategic flexibility over 2–6 months.
Healthy gross margins
Solid revenue growth with a 45.6% gross margin indicates product-level pricing power or cost advantage. Stable margins imply effective cost structure and durable profitability levers, supporting reinvestment and margin recovery even if near-term volumes fluctuate over the medium term.
Conservative leverage & equity base
Moderate leverage and a >50% equity ratio provide balance sheet flexibility and lower solvency risk. This structural strength supports funding for growth initiatives, cushions against cyclical shocks, and reduces refinancing pressure across the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Falling ROE
A material drop in ROE signals the company is generating substantially lower returns on shareholder equity. If persistent, this reflects weaker capital efficiency or one-off impairments and can constrain long-term value creation, investor returns, and the ability to fund growth from internal equity.
Compression in EBIT margin
A decline in EBIT margin points to rising operating expenses or less favorable mix, which reduces operating leverage. If structural, it limits the company's ability to translate revenue growth into operating profit, pressuring reinvestment and free cash flow sustainability over several quarters.
Negative EPS growth
A steep negative EPS growth rate suggests earnings per share deterioration, which may stem from margin pressure, non-recurring items, or capital structure changes. Persistent EPS decline can limit retained earnings, reduce reinvestment capacity and weigh on long-term shareholder value.

No.1 Co.,Ltd (3562) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

No.1 Co.,Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNo.1 Co.,Ltd sells and maintains OA and information security equipment. The company's products include copiers and multifunction machines, business phones, network security products, and file servers. It also engages in the sale and maintenance of communication equipment; line and mobile sales, and related agency business; mail-order agency business related to office equipment and services; internet-related business; and advertising agency business. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company generates revenue primarily through its retail operations, selling a wide variety of consumer goods directly to customers. Key revenue streams include sales from its physical retail stores, as well as online sales through its e-commerce platform. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers help No.1 Co.,Ltd to source products at competitive prices, enabling them to maintain a profitable margin. Additionally, the company may engage in marketing and promotional activities to drive sales and enhance its market presence.

No.1 Co.,Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company demonstrates robust financial health with strong revenue growth and impressive cash flow management. The income statement reflects steady profitability, though a slight dip in operational efficiency is noted. The balance sheet is solid, with moderate leverage and a strong equity position, though the decline in ROE warrants attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company showcases a strong revenue growth trajectory with an 8.9% increase from 2024 to 2025. Gross and net profit margins stand at healthy levels, with a gross profit margin of 45.6% and a net profit margin of 4.0% in 2025. Margins have remained relatively stable over the years, reflecting the company's effective cost management. However, the decrease in EBIT margin from 9.1% to 7.3% may indicate rising operational expenses.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio of 51.3% suggests a strong equity base relative to assets. However, the decline in ROE from 23.6% in 2024 to 12.8% in 2025 highlights a decrease in profitability relative to shareholder equity, which could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The company shows impressive cash flow management with a significant increase in free cash flow, growing by 225.3% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.52 indicates efficient conversion of income into cash. Such strong cash flow metrics provide financial flexibility and resilience against potential economic downturns.
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.79B14.21B13.45B13.31B13.92B11.84B
Gross Profit6.80B6.48B6.32B6.21B5.72B4.68B
EBITDA1.49B1.40B1.77B1.76B1.18B920.79M
Net Income536.84M574.39M886.27M911.88M531.87M403.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.24B8.71B8.10B7.94B7.23B7.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.46B3.02B2.42B2.45B1.67B1.91B
Total Debt1.47B1.61B1.87B1.60B1.79B1.80B
Total Liabilities3.83B4.23B4.34B4.38B4.49B4.60B
Stockholders Equity4.41B4.47B3.76B3.56B2.73B2.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.22B375.50M901.40M282.31M623.76M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.45B565.21M1.14B498.50M796.09M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-542.39M-185.75M-1.75M-361.49M-1.80B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-469.95M-414.34M-368.46M-382.56M1.45B

No.1 Co.,Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2099.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1973.98
Negative
100DMA
2060.30
Negative
200DMA
2051.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-61.83
Negative
RSI
14.35
Positive
STOCH
2.06
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3562, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2099 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1774.85, above the 50-day MA of 1973.98, and above the 200-day MA of 2051.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -61.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 14.35 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.06 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3562.

No.1 Co.,Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥177.87B15.372.56%-0.26%3.35%
71
Outperform
¥117.43B19.052.09%6.39%-34.84%
70
Neutral
¥4.09B-199.562.03%3.24%
67
Neutral
¥373.79B18.138.83%2.33%6.29%8.74%
66
Neutral
¥11.23B-40.421.50%9.64%-38.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
¥23.09B17.721.69%-2.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3562
No.1 Co.,Ltd
1,576.00
-33.80
-2.10%
JP:7984
Kokuyo Co
871.10
183.37
26.66%
JP:7846
Pilot Corporation
4,476.00
381.03
9.30%
JP:7962
King Jim Co., Ltd.
808.00
-25.31
-3.04%
JP:7975
LIHIT LAB., INC.
1,181.00
82.77
7.54%
JP:7976
Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited
2,267.00
-230.87
-9.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2025