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SUMCO Corporation (JP:3436)
:3436

SUMCO Corporation (3436) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3436

SUMCO Corporation

(3436)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,664.00
▲(3.42% Upside)
The score is primarily driven by mixed fundamentals: strong revenue growth and a solid equity base are offset by deteriorating profitability, rising leverage, and weak free cash flow from heavy capex. Technicals add support due to a strong uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation is a significant headwind given the very high P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
SUMCO's multi-year revenue expansion, evidenced by roughly 65% revenue growth metric, reflects durable demand for silicon wafers across logic and memory markets. Sustained top-line growth supports scale economics, long qualification cycles, and stronger bargaining leverage with customers over 2–6 months.
Gross Margin Strength
Relatively strong gross margins indicate effective production cost control and product mix with higher-value wafers. Margin resilience supports reinvestment capacity and pricing power with OEMs, helping the company maintain profitability through semiconductor cycles and multi-year customer qualifications.
Equity Base
A robust and growing equity base provides financial cushioning for capital-intensive wafer manufacturing, enabling funding of capacity expansion and qualification projects without immediate dependence on external debt, preserving strategic flexibility over several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Repeated negative free cash flow from heavy capex erodes liquidity and limits internal funding for R&D or dividend resilience. Over 2–6 months, persistent cash deficits raise the need for external financing and can constrain capacity utilization optimization and strategic investments.
Rising Leverage
An increasing debt-to-equity trend raises interest and refinancing risk, reducing financial flexibility. If operating cash conversion remains weak, higher leverage magnifies earnings volatility and limits ability to pursue opportunistic investments or absorb semiconductor demand downturns over the medium term.
Profitability Decline
Recent declines in net income and EBIT margins suggest margin pressure despite revenue growth, signaling cost, pricing, or mix challenges. If margins don't recover, long-term returns on capital may fall, undermining capacity to fund capex and weakening competitive positioning in wafer qualification battles.

SUMCO Corporation (3436) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SUMCO Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSumco Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry primarily in Japan, the United States, China, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. It provides monocrystalline ingots, as well as polished, annealed, epitaxial, junction isolated, silicon-on-insulator, and reclaimed polished wafers. The company was formerly known as Sumitomo Mitsubishi Silicon Corp. and changed its name to Sumco Corporation in August 2005. Sumco Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySUMCO Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of silicon wafers to semiconductor manufacturers. The company operates on a business-to-business model, where its key revenue streams include the supply of various sizes and types of silicon wafers tailored to specific client requirements. Additionally, SUMCO benefits from long-term contracts with major semiconductor firms, which provide a stable revenue base. The company also invests in research and development to innovate its product offerings, enhance wafer quality, and reduce manufacturing costs, thereby improving profit margins. Strategic partnerships with technology leaders in the semiconductor space further bolster SUMCO's market position and contribute to its earnings.

SUMCO Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflects a challenging financial outlook with projected losses in Q3 due to increased depreciation and high customer inventory levels. While there are positive signs in AI-driven segments, structural changes in the market, particularly in China, and potential tariffs pose significant challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Slight Sales Increase
Q2 sales were JPY102.9 billion, slightly ahead of plan, and H1 sales were JPY205.3 billion, up JPY7.1 billion YoY.
Positive Operating Profit in Q2
Operating profit for Q2 was JPY1.5 billion, exceeding the forecast of breakeven.
AI-Driven Growth
Strong growth projected for AI-related segments, with logic-use wafers for 7-nanometer and lower growing at an annual rate of around 16%.
Negative Updates
Forecasted Losses in Q3
Projected operating loss of JPY3.5 billion for Q3, with ordinary losses of JPY6 billion and losses attributable to owners of the parent of JPY5.5 billion.
Depreciation Impact
Significant increase in depreciation expected, contributing to projected losses and impacting profitability.
Challenges in the Chinese Market
Structural changes in the market, with a shift to local production in China, are leading to a decline in demand for 200-millimeter wafers.
High Customer Inventory Levels
Persistently high customer inventory levels are delaying a recovery in wafer demand.
Impact of Potential Tariffs
Uncertainty regarding potential 100% US tariffs on semiconductors could impact sales into the US market.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, guidance was provided for Q3 2025, highlighting expectations of an operating loss of JPY3.5 billion, ordinary losses of JPY6 billion, and net losses attributable to owners of the parent of JPY5.5 billion. The anticipated losses are largely attributed to a JPY3.4 billion increase in depreciation and a negative impact of JPY0.7 billion due to a stronger yen. Sales for Q3 are projected to remain largely unchanged quarter-over-quarter at JPY101 billion. In terms of dividends, an interim dividend has been set at JPY10 per share, while the fiscal year-end dividend level remains undetermined. The guidance also addressed ongoing challenges in the semiconductor market, with a decline in demand for 200-millimeter wafers due to structural market changes and geopolitical factors, while 300-millimeter wafers saw a rebound driven by inventory adjustments rather than real demand. The company expressed commitment to maintaining financial discipline amidst these challenges, with an emphasis on navigating depreciation impacts and market dynamics effectively.

SUMCO Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SUMCO Corporation shows strong revenue growth and effective asset management, but faces challenges with increasing leverage and cash flow constraints. Improving profitability and cash flow efficiency will be crucial for maintaining financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SUMCO Corporation demonstrates robust revenue growth with a notable increase from 2019 to 2023. The gross profit margin has been relatively strong, showcasing effective cost management. However, there is a recent decline in net income and EBIT margins from 2023 to 2024, indicating potential challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with a significant increase in stockholders' equity over the years. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has been increasing, signaling rising leverage, which could pose risks if cash flows do not improve. The equity ratio remains healthy, reflecting effective asset management.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
SUMCO faces challenges in cash flow management, with a significant negative free cash flow in 2023 and 2024 due to high capital expenditures. Operating cash flow remains positive but shows a decline, suggesting potential issues in converting sales into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio has deteriorated, indicating inefficiency in cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue403.72B396.62B425.94B441.08B335.67B291.33B
Gross Profit71.86B72.73B108.25B143.35B80.12B65.17B
EBITDA108.27B114.09B165.43B172.00B104.33B83.39B
Net Income10.34B19.88B63.88B70.20B41.12B25.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.16T1.17T1.07T892.55B764.82B593.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.91B95.67B156.35B259.31B224.67B82.97B
Total Debt364.52B353.95B224.45B141.38B141.07B149.90B
Total Liabilities505.89B515.45B437.56B301.07B241.98B238.44B
Stockholders Equity589.54B592.11B572.16B533.55B476.15B315.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-177.62B-160.57B54.01B36.92B30.45B
Operating Cash Flow0.0069.63B96.34B179.46B104.71B84.19B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-247.88B-247.68B-126.35B-67.34B-55.19B
Financing Cash Flow0.00112.29B43.46B-23.15B99.10B-16.24B

SUMCO Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1609.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1365.98
Positive
100DMA
1424.34
Positive
200DMA
1232.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
67.00
Negative
RSI
66.06
Neutral
STOCH
87.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3436, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1609 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1471.44, above the 50-day MA of 1365.98, and above the 200-day MA of 1232.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 67.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3436.

SUMCO Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥525.23B23.8812.66%2.28%9.53%-11.17%
72
Outperform
¥54.65B14.341.72%36.31%101.77%
64
Neutral
¥563.42B214.511.14%0.66%-87.63%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
46
Neutral
¥998.64B-23.11-4.26%2.30%0.04%-323.26%
46
Neutral
¥132.31B115.26-51.82%-96.08%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3436
SUMCO Corporation
1,609.00
462.44
40.33%
JP:6963
Rohm Co
2,503.50
1,059.36
73.36%
JP:7729
Tokyo Seimitsu Co., Ltd
12,795.00
5,361.63
72.13%
JP:6707
Sanken Electric Co., Ltd.
6,623.00
700.00
11.82%
JP:6855
Japan Electronic Materials Corporation
4,320.00
2,127.82
97.06%

SUMCO Corporation Corporate Events

SUMCO Reshapes Top Management, Appoints Jiro Ryuta as New President
Jan 5, 2026

SUMCO Corporation announced board-approved senior management changes aimed at reinforcing its management structure, effective March 27, 2026. Current Representative Director, Chairman & CEO Mayuki Hashimoto will become Director and Executive Advisor, while Representative Director and President Toshihiro Awa will retire from his role. Jiro Ryuta, presently Representative Director, Executive Vice President and General Manager of the Production and Technology Division and Kyushu Factory, will be promoted to Representative Director and President, bringing extensive international sales, factory management and group company leadership experience to the company’s top executive post.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3436) stock is a Hold with a Yen1205.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SUMCO Corporation stock, see the JP:3436 Stock Forecast page.

SUMCO Corporation Corrects Third-Quarter Financial Results
Nov 14, 2025

SUMCO Corporation announced a correction to its third-quarter financial results for FY2025, initially disclosed on November 11, 2025. The correction pertains to an error in the vertical axis scale of a bar chart related to ‘Depreciation and Capital Expenditure’ in the presentation materials. This correction ensures accurate financial reporting and maintains transparency with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3436) stock is a Hold with a Yen1205.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SUMCO Corporation stock, see the JP:3436 Stock Forecast page.

SUMCO Corporation Revises Dividend Forecast for FY 2025
Nov 11, 2025

SUMCO Corporation announced a revision to its dividend forecast for the fiscal year 2025, setting the year-end dividend at 10 yen per share, resulting in an annual dividend of 20 yen per share. This decision reflects the company’s assessment of its profit forecast, future outlook, and financial needs, indicating a strategic approach to balancing shareholder returns with investment in growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3436) stock is a Hold with a Yen1544.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SUMCO Corporation stock, see the JP:3436 Stock Forecast page.

SUMCO Corporation Reports Higher-Than-Expected Profits for Nine-Month Period
Nov 11, 2025

SUMCO Corporation announced a discrepancy between its forecasted and actual financial results for the nine months ending September 30, 2025. The company reported higher-than-expected operating and ordinary profits due to lower depreciation costs and favorable foreign exchange conditions, although net sales were slightly below forecast. This adjustment reflects a stronger operational performance than anticipated, which may positively influence investor confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3436) stock is a Hold with a Yen1544.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SUMCO Corporation stock, see the JP:3436 Stock Forecast page.

SUMCO Corporation Reports Decline in Profits Despite Increased Sales
Nov 11, 2025

SUMCO Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, showing a slight increase in net sales by 2.6% year-on-year. However, the company experienced significant declines in operating and ordinary profits, with operating profit dropping by 80.4% and ordinary profit by 91.6%. The profit attributable to owners of the parent also turned negative. The company revised its cash dividend forecast, reducing the annual dividend per share. These results indicate challenges in maintaining profitability amidst fluctuating market conditions, impacting stakeholders’ expectations and the company’s financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3436) stock is a Hold with a Yen1544.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SUMCO Corporation stock, see the JP:3436 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026