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SUMCO Corporation (JP:3436)
:3436
Japanese Market
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SUMCO Corporation (3436) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3436

SUMCO Corporation

(3436)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,329.00
▲(10.66% Upside)
SUMCO Corporation's overall stock score is primarily influenced by strong technical indicators and robust revenue growth. However, challenges such as high leverage, cash flow constraints, and a high P/E ratio weigh on the score. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call, with both positive growth prospects and significant risks, further tempers the overall outlook.

SUMCO Corporation (3436) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SUMCO Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSumco Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry primarily in Japan, the United States, China, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. It provides monocrystalline ingots, as well as polished, annealed, epitaxial, junction isolated, silicon-on-insulator, and reclaimed polished wafers. The company was formerly known as Sumitomo Mitsubishi Silicon Corp. and changed its name to Sumco Corporation in August 2005. Sumco Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySUMCO Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of high-quality silicon wafers to semiconductor manufacturers. The company's revenue model is based on the production and distribution of a variety of wafers, including polished, epitaxial, and annealed wafers, each tailored to specific customer requirements. SUMCO's income is driven by long-term contracts with major semiconductor firms, enabling it to maintain stable revenue streams. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to innovate and enhance its product offerings, ensuring competitiveness in the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry. Strategic partnerships with key players in the technology sector also contribute to SUMCO's growth and market presence.

SUMCO Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there are notable achievements, such as exceeding revenue forecasts and strong AI-driven growth, the company faces significant challenges with forecasted losses, structural market changes, and geopolitical risks. Inventory issues are also delaying recovery. The company's efforts to manage CapEx and improve cash flow are positive signs, but the overall sentiment remains cautious.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Exceeds Forecast
Q2 sales were JPY102.9 billion, slightly ahead of the plan, with an operating profit of JPY1.5 billion compared to a breakeven forecast.
Strong AI-Driven Growth
AI-related segments are showing strong growth, particularly in logic-use wafers for 7-nanometer and lower with an annual growth rate of around 16%.
CapEx and Depreciation Management
CapEx for Q2 was JPY19.2 billion, down significantly from JPY124.7 billion last year, and the company expects depreciation to peak next year.
Improved Cash Flow Outlook
Free cash flow is expected to turn positive by the end of the year, with CapEx expected to decline significantly.
Negative Updates
Forecasted Losses for Q3
The company projects an operating loss of JPY3.5 billion and ordinary losses of JPY6 billion for Q3, primarily due to increased depreciation expenses.
Challenges in 200-Millimeter Wafer Market
The market for 200-millimeter wafers is struggling due to a structural shift to 300-millimeter wafers and increased local production in China.
High Inventory Levels
Customer wafer inventory remains high, delaying recovery in purchase volumes despite improving input levels.
Geopolitical Risks and Tariff Concerns
The potential imposition of 100% tariffs on semiconductors exported to the US poses a risk, although it currently affects only 5% of sales.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided during the Q2 FY2025 results briefing highlighted key financial metrics and future projections, emphasizing the challenges and expectations moving forward. The company reported sales of JPY102.9 billion and an operating profit (OP) of JPY1.5 billion, surpassing the breakeven forecast. However, for Q3, the company anticipates an operating loss of JPY3.5 billion and an ordinary loss of JPY6 billion, primarily due to increased depreciation by JPY3.4 billion and a negative ForEx impact of JPY0.7 billion. Despite structural changes impacting 200-millimeter wafer demand, the company sees potential growth in 300-millimeter wafers, particularly in AI-related segments. The interim dividend was set at JPY10 per share, with future dividend levels yet to be determined. CapEx on an acceptance basis for Q2 was JPY19.2 billion, while depreciation hit JPY26.7 billion, with an exchange rate of JPY145 to the US dollar. The balance sheet showed total assets of JPY1,161.7 billion, with interest-bearing debt increasing to JPY364.5 billion. Free cash flow for H1 was negative JPY16.9 billion, with expectations of positive cash flow by year-end. The company highlighted ongoing geopolitical risks and tariff uncertainties, particularly concerning the US-China trade tensions, which may impact semiconductor markets.

SUMCO Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SUMCO Corporation shows strong revenue growth and effective asset management, but faces challenges with increasing leverage and cash flow constraints. Improving profitability and cash flow efficiency will be crucial for maintaining financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SUMCO Corporation demonstrates robust revenue growth with a notable increase from 2019 to 2023. The gross profit margin has been relatively strong, showcasing effective cost management. However, there is a recent decline in net income and EBIT margins from 2023 to 2024, indicating potential challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with a significant increase in stockholders' equity over the years. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has been increasing, signaling rising leverage, which could pose risks if cash flows do not improve. The equity ratio remains healthy, reflecting effective asset management.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
SUMCO faces challenges in cash flow management, with a significant negative free cash flow in 2023 and 2024 due to high capital expenditures. Operating cash flow remains positive but shows a decline, suggesting potential issues in converting sales into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio has deteriorated, indicating inefficiency in cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue396.62B425.94B441.08B335.67B291.33B
Gross Profit72.73B108.25B143.35B80.12B65.17B
EBITDA114.09B144.66B169.53B104.33B84.67B
Net Income19.88B63.88B70.20B41.12B25.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.17T1.07T892.55B764.82B593.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments95.67B156.35B259.31B224.67B82.97B
Total Debt353.95B224.45B141.38B141.07B149.90B
Total Liabilities515.45B437.56B301.07B241.98B238.44B
Stockholders Equity592.11B572.16B533.55B476.15B315.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-177.62B-160.57B54.01B36.92B30.45B
Operating Cash Flow69.63B96.34B179.46B104.71B84.19B
Investing Cash Flow-247.88B-247.68B-126.35B-67.34B-55.19B
Financing Cash Flow112.29B43.46B-23.15B99.10B-16.24B

SUMCO Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1201.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1129.59
Positive
100DMA
1044.35
Positive
200DMA
1126.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.91
Positive
RSI
53.47
Neutral
STOCH
61.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3436, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1201 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1207.78, above the 50-day MA of 1129.59, and above the 200-day MA of 1126.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 17.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3436.

SUMCO Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥419.85B40.54
1.33%0.04%-61.48%
57
Neutral
HK$14.47B9.47-0.60%4.33%7.09%-37.88%
$5.50B62.37-5.40%2.75%
€2.01B12.6516.10%
78
Outperform
¥34.09B9.52
2.41%32.53%182.70%
67
Neutral
¥207.46B3.82
0.38%-58.24%
60
Neutral
$797.03B44.60
0.84%2.41%-3.95%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3436
SUMCO Corporation
1,201.00
-548.57
-31.35%
ROHCF
Rohm Co
13.76
2.71
24.52%
DE:TYS
Tokyo Seimitsu Co., Ltd
48.66
-2.49
-4.87%
JP:6707
Sanken Electric Co., Ltd.
8,330.00
1,002.00
13.67%
JP:6855
Japan Electronic Materials Corporation
2,695.00
-199.10
-6.88%
JP:6967
Shinko Electric Industries Co., Ltd.
5,900.00
179.00
3.13%

SUMCO Corporation Corporate Events

SUMCO Corporation Declares Reduced Interim Dividend for 2025
Aug 7, 2025

SUMCO Corporation announced an interim dividend of 10 yen per share for fiscal year 2025, reflecting a decrease from the previous year’s 15 yen. This decision considers the company’s profit levels, future outlook, and capital investment needs, impacting its financial strategy and stakeholder expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3436) stock is a Hold with a Yen1380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SUMCO Corporation stock, see the JP:3436 Stock Forecast page.

SUMCO Corporation Reports Higher-Than-Expected Profits for H1 2025
Aug 7, 2025

SUMCO Corporation announced a significant difference between its forecasted and actual financial results for the first half of 2025. The company reported higher-than-expected profits due to lower income taxes, with a notable increase in profit attributable to owners of the parent, which surged by 208.1% compared to the forecast.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3436) stock is a Hold with a Yen1380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SUMCO Corporation stock, see the JP:3436 Stock Forecast page.

SUMCO Corporation Reports Decline in Profits Despite Sales Growth
Aug 7, 2025

SUMCO Corporation’s financial results for the first half of 2025 show a slight increase in net sales by 3.6% compared to the previous year, reaching ¥205,372 million. However, the company experienced significant declines in operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of the parent, with decreases of 64.2%, 76.9%, and 75.6% respectively. The company has also revised its financial forecasts for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, anticipating further challenges with a projected operating profit decrease of 87.0%. These results indicate a challenging period for SUMCO, affecting its market positioning and potentially impacting stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3436) stock is a Hold with a Yen1380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SUMCO Corporation stock, see the JP:3436 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025