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TOCALO Co., Ltd. (JP:3433)
:3433
Japanese Market

TOCALO Co., Ltd. (3433) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3433

TOCALO Co., Ltd.

(3433)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,517.00
▲(58.14% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
The score is primarily driven by strong financial performance: consistent revenue growth, improving margins, and a low-leverage balance sheet supported by solid operating cash flow. Technicals add support via a clear uptrend above major moving averages, but elevated RSI/Stoch indicate the stock may be stretched. Valuation is reasonable with a mid-range P/E and a ~2.9% dividend yield, contributing moderately to the overall score.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth and improving margins
Multi-year top-line growth paired with rising net margins indicates durable demand for TOCALO's surface engineering services and improved operational efficiency. Sustained revenue expansion and margin improvement support reinvestment, stable profitability and stronger returns on capital over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Moderate free cash flow conversion
Free cash flow materially below net income suggests significant capex or working capital absorption relative to earnings. That limits internally available funds for growth initiatives, larger dividends or acquisitions, constraining strategic flexibility over the medium term unless conversion improves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent revenue growth and improving margins
Multi-year top-line growth paired with rising net margins indicates durable demand for TOCALO's surface engineering services and improved operational efficiency. Sustained revenue expansion and margin improvement support reinvestment, stable profitability and stronger returns on capital over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

TOCALO Co., Ltd. (3433) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TOCALO Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TOCALO Co.,Ltd. develops surface modifying technologies in Japan and internationally. It produces functional coatings through thermal spraying technology, including vacuum and atmospheric plasma, electric arc, high velocity oxy-fuel spraying, susp...
How the Company Makes Money
TOCALO Co., Ltd. generates revenue through the sale of its precision cutting tools and machinery to various industries. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to manufacturers, distribution partnerships, and export ...

TOCALO Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth (2021: 39,073M yen to 2025: 54,231M yen) with improving profitability (net margin ~14.9% in 2025) and healthy operating efficiency. Balance sheet is stable with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.06) and high equity ratio (~74.3%), while cash generation is solid (operating cash flow 9,077M yen; OCF/net income 1.13) though free cash flow conversion is moderate (FCF/net income 0.44).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.52B54.23B46.73B48.14B43.81B39.29B
Gross Profit21.62B20.29B16.27B17.38B16.59B14.77B
EBITDA16.82B15.57B12.25B13.55B13.04B11.66B
Net Income8.75B8.05B6.33B7.35B6.91B5.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets80.15B82.78B77.94B74.90B70.07B64.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.68B17.98B20.91B20.91B20.11B19.23B
Total Debt3.40B3.88B5.10B2.94B4.29B6.07B
Total Liabilities14.83B17.05B18.01B17.25B17.61B17.76B
Stockholders Equity60.43B60.65B55.46B53.84B49.10B44.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.55B3.09B5.28B5.31B6.24B
Operating Cash Flow0.009.08B7.88B9.89B9.87B10.59B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-6.19B-4.63B-5.09B-5.04B-4.62B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-5.12B-3.24B-4.56B-4.55B-3.80B

TOCALO Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2224.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2708.77
Negative
100DMA
2449.47
Positive
200DMA
2233.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-33.86
Negative
RSI
50.55
Neutral
STOCH
77.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3433, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2224 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2629.19, below the 50-day MA of 2708.77, and below the 200-day MA of 2233.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -33.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3433.

TOCALO Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥112.83B15.714.64%3.99%-28.28%
78
Outperform
¥164.81B16.403.39%14.21%29.38%
77
Outperform
¥90.67B8.963.82%3.68%-46.19%
76
Outperform
¥190.33B11.032.50%-2.46%-10.72%
72
Outperform
¥178.75B14.1210.28%2.77%2.74%7.86%
67
Neutral
¥91.95B17.073.77%-5.87%24.10%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3433
TOCALO Co., Ltd.
2,802.00
1,404.99
100.57%
JP:6498
Kitz
2,059.00
1,112.20
117.47%
JP:5192
Mitsuboshi Belting Ltd.
4,085.00
971.19
31.19%
JP:5195
Bando Chemical Industries Ltd.
2,156.00
836.37
63.38%
JP:6490
Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd.
8,050.00
5,242.95
186.78%
JP:7995
Valqua Ltd.
5,200.00
2,735.29
110.98%

TOCALO Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

TOCALO Lifts Nine-Month Profit and Keeps Full-Year Outlook, Plans Higher Dividend
Feb 4, 2026
For the nine months ended 31 December 2025, TOCALO reported consolidated net sales of ¥42.6 billion, up 6.8% year on year, with operating profit rising 12.3% to ¥9.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent increasing 11.4% to...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026