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TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. (JP:3415)
:3415
Japanese Market

TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. (3415) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3415

TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd.

(3415)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥456.00
▼(-1.72% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/19/26
The score is primarily driven by improving profitability and growth, but it is materially tempered by weak free-cash-flow conversion and rising leverage. Technicals are a secondary drag due to the stock trading below key moving averages, while valuation is moderately supportive with a reasonable P/E and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & profitability rebound
Re-accelerated revenue growth with a return to net profitability shows stronger product-market fit and operational execution. Sustained mid-teens top-line gains plus positive net margins can deliver improving operating leverage, enabling reinvestment in stores and e-commerce to drive durable expansion if sustained.
Negative Factors
Weak free-cash-flow conversion
Very weak and inconsistent free cash flow undermines financial resilience and capacity to fund organic growth. FCF plunged to ¥0.20B in 2026 and covered only ~16% of net income, with prior negative FCF years; this elevates dependence on external financing and constrains capital allocation flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth & profitability rebound
Re-accelerated revenue growth with a return to net profitability shows stronger product-market fit and operational execution. Sustained mid-teens top-line gains plus positive net margins can deliver improving operating leverage, enabling reinvestment in stores and e-commerce to drive durable expansion if sustained.
Read all positive factors

TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. (3415) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provides fashion products for men and women in Japan. The company offers jackets, blousons, rider jackets, coats, downs, shirts, T-shirts, hoodies and sweats, knits, cardigans, tops, denim, slacks, pants, bags, leather shoes, s...
How the Company Makes Money
TOKYO BASE primarily makes money through retail sales of apparel and related fashion items via its directly operated stores and online channels. Revenue is generated when the company sells merchandise to end customers at retail prices; this includ...

TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are improving (re-accelerating revenue growth and a return to profitability), but the overall financial quality is held back by weak and inconsistent free-cash-flow conversion and a balance sheet that is becoming more levered (rising debt and higher debt-to-equity).
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.27B23.73B20.21B19.99B19.18B19.22B
Gross Profit10.65B12.30B10.44B9.06B9.61B9.27B
EBITDA2.18B2.51B1.76B1.87B1.01B2.05B
Net Income983.00M1.21B776.87M335.43M-539.52M832.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.80B14.86B11.46B11.89B11.20B11.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.44B4.40B3.67B4.16B2.50B3.15B
Total Debt4.62B5.74B3.95B4.44B3.65B3.22B
Total Liabilities7.30B8.60B6.35B6.36B5.83B5.64B
Stockholders Equity5.50B6.27B5.11B5.53B5.37B5.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.02B203.93M1.33B723.09M-713.52M-123.67M
Operating Cash Flow1.33B1.31B1.74B828.53M64.41M883.90M
Investing Cash Flow-406.70M-1.68B-758.21M-115.24M-730.89M-1.59B
Financing Cash Flow-1.09B1.09B-1.50B934.53M-3.83M1.22B

TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price464.00
Price Trends
50DMA
407.40
Negative
100DMA
422.46
Negative
200DMA
445.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.48
Negative
RSI
46.64
Neutral
STOCH
61.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3415, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 464 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 417.60, above the 50-day MA of 407.40, and above the 200-day MA of 445.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 3.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3415.

TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥41.05B-29.013.62%-0.98%-29.86%
70
Outperform
¥263.15B19.601.46%12.02%-15.70%
68
Neutral
¥729.46B16.458.48%2.02%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
¥16.53B15.181.08%17.48%83.54%
48
Neutral
¥27.41B13.914.99%-7.21%-5127.88%
43
Neutral
¥7.89B-1.54-34.49%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3415
TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd.
400.00
182.12
83.59%
JP:8227
SHIMAMURA Co
3,296.00
337.95
11.42%
JP:2726
PAL GROUP Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,440.00
-152.85
-9.60%
JP:2792
HONEYS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
1,473.00
10.45
0.71%
JP:3189
ANAP Inc.
196.00
-204.00
-51.00%
JP:3548
BAROQUE JAPAN LIMITED
761.00
157.55
26.11%

TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Tokyo Base Outlines Non‑Membership in Accounting Standards Foundation and Future Stance
Apr 2, 2026
TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. has disclosed that it is not currently a member of the Financial Accounting Standards Foundation, having withdrawn from the organization on March 31, 2017 and remaining non‑member as of January 31, 2026. The notice respo...
TOKYO BASE Restores Full Compliance With TSE Prime Listing Standards
Apr 2, 2026
TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. announced that it now meets all Prime Market listing maintenance standards set by the Tokyo Stock Exchange as of January 31, 2026. The company exceeded required thresholds for number of shareholders, tradable shares, market ca...
Tokyo Base lifts March sales on new KEY TIMEZ brand and inbound recovery
Apr 2, 2026
Tokyo Base Co., Ltd. reported strong sales momentum for March 2026, with total company revenue rising to 123.0% year-on-year, driven by the launch of the new KEY TIMEZ casual select business and multiple new store openings in major locations such ...
TOKYO BASE Delivers Strong FY2026 Earnings and Projects Double-Digit Growth
Mar 17, 2026
TOKYO BASE Co., Ltd. reported strong consolidated results for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, with net sales rising 17.5% to ¥23.7 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 55.6% to ¥1.2 billion. Profitability i...
TOKYO BASE Outlines FY2026 Results, Strategy and Overseas Expansion
Mar 17, 2026
TOKYO BASE has released briefing materials for its FY2026/1 full-year financial results, outlining business performance, progress on key initiatives, and updates to its mid-term management plan. The materials also highlight the September 2025 open...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 19, 2026