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SHIMAMURA Co Ltd (JP:8227)
:8227

SHIMAMURA Co (8227) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8227

SHIMAMURA Co

(8227)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥11,140.00
▲(230.07% Upside)
Action:N/ADate:01/04/26
The score is supported primarily by strong financial resilience (notably a debt-free balance sheet and stable margins). This is offset by weak recent fundamental momentum (TTM revenue and free cash flow declines) and bearish technical signals, while valuation appears reasonable but not decisively cheap.

SHIMAMURA Co (8227) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SHIMAMURA Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. operates stores in Japan and Taiwan. The company's stores provide clothing, fashion, food, and housing-related products. SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Saitama, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySHIMAMURA makes money mainly by purchasing apparel and related goods from manufacturers/wholesalers and selling them to consumers through its store network, earning gross profit on the spread between procurement cost and retail selling price. Its core revenue stream is net sales from in-store retail transactions across its various store formats (e.g., general apparel/value-fashion and other specialty formats). Earnings are supported by high store productivity and inventory turnover typical of discount/value retailing, where profitability is driven by (1) volume sales, (2) disciplined markdown management, and (3) cost-efficient store operations and logistics. Information on material non-retail revenue streams (e.g., significant e-commerce, licensing/royalties, financial services, or major partnership-driven income) is null.

SHIMAMURA Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall financial quality driven by a debt-free balance sheet and consistently healthy retail margins, but tempered by the latest TTM revenue decline (-17.9%) and a notable drop in free cash flow (-33.7%) with weaker cash conversion versus net income.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability is solid and consistent for a retailer, with gross margin holding around ~34% and operating margin around ~8.6%–8.9% in recent annual periods, supporting steady net margin near ~6.2%–6.3%. The key weakness is growth: after several years of modest annual revenue expansion, the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a sharp revenue decline (-17.9%), which meaningfully pressures the forward earnings outlook even though margins remain relatively stable.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Balance sheet quality is a major strength: the company reports zero total debt across periods, implying very low financial risk and strong flexibility. Equity has steadily grown over time, and returns on equity are healthy and stable (roughly ~8%–9% recently), though not exceptional. The main trade-off is that the very conservative capital structure may limit upside from leverage in stronger growth periods, but overall balance sheet risk looks minimal.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation is positive, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow both solidly positive. However, cash conversion is a bit weaker in the latest TTM: operating cash flow is well below net income (about ~0.66x) and free cash flow covers only ~0.67x of net income, suggesting working-capital headwinds and/or higher cash outlays. Free cash flow also declined sharply in the TTM period (-33.7%), which is the primary weakness despite generally decent cash flow in prior years.
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue694.74B666.74B636.50B617.52B584.77B543.56B
Gross Profit238.03B226.16B219.97B211.39B200.08B185.04B
EBITDA68.17B65.34B61.23B59.19B55.33B43.50B
Net Income43.38B41.88B40.08B38.02B35.43B26.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets616.90B570.94B537.57B505.87B478.02B455.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments281.08B297.00B270.83B263.16B234.43B211.49B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities94.53B69.96B66.16B65.81B67.02B70.84B
Stockholders Equity522.37B500.98B471.41B440.05B411.00B384.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.57B41.13B33.41B37.17B28.96B37.95B
Operating Cash Flow54.89B52.80B41.16B41.55B37.21B46.23B
Investing Cash Flow-46.41B4.65B-87.20B2.33B143.14B-111.32B
Financing Cash Flow-15.08B-12.51B-9.94B-9.20B-8.46B-7.36B

SHIMAMURA Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥19.43T29.1119.84%0.90%9.56%16.37%
74
Outperform
¥505.98B19.711.04%10.84%16.83%
72
Outperform
¥40.46B10.953.62%-0.98%-29.86%
71
Outperform
¥609.88B17.7912.11%2.68%2.99%5.66%
70
Outperform
¥260.59B19.601.46%12.02%-15.70%
68
Neutral
¥755.80B16.458.48%2.02%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8227
SHIMAMURA Co
3,415.00
671.59
24.48%
JP:2670
ABC-MART
2,463.00
-300.78
-10.88%
JP:9983
FAST RETAILING CO
61,830.00
16,978.36
37.85%
JP:2726
PAL GROUP Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,426.00
-105.87
-6.91%
JP:2792
HONEYS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
1,452.00
-154.39
-9.61%
JP:7564
Workman Co., Ltd.
6,200.00
2,152.30
53.17%

SHIMAMURA Co Corporate Events

Shimamura to Grant Restricted Treasury Shares to Align Executives With Long-Term Performance
Mar 16, 2026

Shimamura has approved the disposal of 20,700 treasury shares as restricted share-based remuneration for 15 executive officers, at a price of ¥3,520 per share and a total value of ¥72.86 million, with payment scheduled for April 1, 2026. The program, part of a previously introduced share-based compensation plan, ties stock awards to continued service and performance, reinforcing executives’ alignment with shareholder interests and the company’s medium- to long-term value creation.

Under the restricted share allotment agreement, executives are barred from transferring or otherwise disposing of the granted shares during a defined restriction period, and any shares for which restrictions are not lifted may be acquired by the company without compensation. The transfer restrictions are lifted only if executives remain in continuous service through the first subsequent fiscal year-end or resign under conditions deemed justifiable by the board, strengthening retention incentives and supporting stable, shareholder-focused management.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8227) stock is a Buy with a Yen11790.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SHIMAMURA Co stock, see the JP:8227 Stock Forecast page.

Shimamura Completes ¥45.7 Billion Share Buyback in Single-Day ToSTNeT-3 Transaction
Jan 27, 2026

SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. has completed a large-scale share buyback, repurchasing 4.3 million shares of its common stock for a total of ¥45.666 billion, at ¥10,620 per share, via the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction own share repurchase trading system (ToSTNeT-3) on January 27, 2026. The transaction fully exhausts the authorization granted by the board of directors a day earlier, signaling a strong capital return initiative that may enhance shareholder value through reduced share count and potentially improved earnings per share, while underlining management’s confidence in the company’s valuation and financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8227) stock is a Buy with a Yen11790.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SHIMAMURA Co stock, see the JP:8227 Stock Forecast page.

Shimamura Launches ¥45.7 Billion Share Buyback to Boost ROE and Capital Efficiency
Jan 26, 2026

SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. has resolved to repurchase up to 4.3 million of its own shares, equivalent to 5.85% of its issued shares excluding treasury stock, through an off-auction share repurchase transaction (ToSTNeT-3) on the Tokyo Stock Exchange at a price of ¥10,620 per share, with a total acquisition value capped at approximately ¥45.7 billion. The buyback, scheduled for January 27, 2026, is positioned as a key element of the company’s shareholder return and capital efficiency strategy under its 2027 Medium-Term Management Plan, aimed at achieving a return on equity of at least 9%, improving per-share management indicators, and supporting sustainable growth and long-term corporate value, in line with the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s calls for management conscious of capital costs and stock prices.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8227) stock is a Buy with a Yen11790.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SHIMAMURA Co stock, see the JP:8227 Stock Forecast page.

Shimamura Overhauls Executive Lineup and Organization to Bolster E-Commerce and Overseas Expansion
Jan 26, 2026

SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. has announced a broad reshuffle of its executive officer lineup effective February 21, 2026, reassigning key leaders to sharpen focus on e-commerce, overseas operations, and core retail formats such as Avail and Divalo. The company has appointed new executive officers to lead Avail, Divalo, and systems operations, shifted responsibility for e-commerce to Director and Executive Officer Hajime Ueda, and reassigned overseas business oversight to Executive Officer Tsuyoki Saito, while Executive Officer Kiyoshi Fujioka will step down. In parallel, SHIMAMURA is restructuring its organizational framework by renaming the Store Management Department to the Store Support Department, reorganizing human resources and education functions into new Human Resources Development and Labor Support Departments, and creating dedicated Overseas Business Merchandise and Overseas Business Operation Departments, moves that signal an effort to strengthen governance, support store operations, and better manage its growing international and digital businesses.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8227) stock is a Buy with a Yen11790.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SHIMAMURA Co stock, see the JP:8227 Stock Forecast page.

SHIMAMURA Announces Three-for-One Stock Split and Expanded Shareholder Benefits
Dec 22, 2025

SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. has approved a three-for-one stock split of its common shares, effective February 21, 2026, aimed at lowering the minimum investment amount, improving share liquidity and broadening its investor base. The total number of issued shares will rise from 73,826,598 to 221,479,794, and the company will simultaneously amend its Articles of Incorporation to increase authorized shares from 240 million to 720 million, positioning itself for greater capital market flexibility while keeping share capital unchanged. In tandem with the split, SHIMAMURA is expanding the tiers of its shareholder benefit program so that post-split the same economic value of shopping vouchers is preserved for holders at and above the new, higher share-count thresholds, thereby maintaining the incentive for medium- to long-term individual shareholders while adapting the scheme to the larger number of shares outstanding. Dividends and benefits tied to the February 20, 2026 record date will continue to be calculated on a pre-split share basis, clarifying treatment for existing investors during the transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8227) stock is a Sell with a Yen8800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SHIMAMURA Co stock, see the JP:8227 Stock Forecast page.

Shimamura Posts Solid Nine-Month Gain and Confirms Higher Dividend Payout
Dec 22, 2025

SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd. reported solid results for the nine months ended November 20, 2025, with net sales rising 5.6% year on year to ¥525.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent increasing 4.5% to ¥35.1 billion, reflecting steady growth in earnings per share and comprehensive income. The retailer’s financial position remains robust, with total assets of ¥616.9 billion and an equity-to-asset ratio of 84.7%, and the company confirmed its dividend plan for the current fiscal year—raising the annual payout forecast to ¥205 per share—while leaving its full-year earnings forecast unchanged, projecting 4.1% growth in net sales and a 2.3% increase in profit attributable to owners of parent, signaling confidence in sustained but moderate expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8227) stock is a Sell with a Yen8800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SHIMAMURA Co stock, see the JP:8227 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026