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Central General Development Co., Ltd. (JP:3238)
:3238
Japanese Market

Central General Development Co., Ltd. (3238) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3238

Central General Development Co., Ltd.

(3238)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
¥332.00
▼(-19.61% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial quality—rising leverage and persistently negative operating/free cash flow—despite solid revenue growth. Technicals add further pressure as the stock is in a strong downtrend and momentum is very weak. Valuation is mixed: a decent dividend yield is offset by a negative P/E that reflects strained profitability.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth
Sustained top-line momentum, including a notable +26% in 2025, indicates the company can expand market share or exploit pricing/volume opportunities. Over 2–6 months this supports capacity utilization and potential operating leverage if margins stabilize, underpinning medium-term recovery prospects.
Negative Factors
Negative operating & free cash flow
Large negative operating and free cash flow in consecutive years shows earnings are not converting to cash, forcing reliance on external funding. Over months this raises refinancing and liquidity risk, constraining investment, dividends, and the ability to withstand market stress.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue growth
Sustained top-line momentum, including a notable +26% in 2025, indicates the company can expand market share or exploit pricing/volume opportunities. Over 2–6 months this supports capacity utilization and potential operating leverage if margins stabilize, underpinning medium-term recovery prospects.
Read all positive factors

Central General Development Co., Ltd. (3238) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Central General Development Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Central General Development Co., Ltd. engages in the real estate business in Japan. The company plans, constructs, and sells condominiums. It is also involved in the building and condominium rental and management services; and insurance agency bus...

Central General Development Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong revenue growth (notably +26% in 2025), profitability has weakened (net margin ~1.6% in 2025) and risk has increased: leverage is high and rising (debt-to-equity ~3.0x) while operating/free cash flow turned deeply negative in 2024–2025, indicating poor cash conversion and greater reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.57B30.88B31.93B30.39B29.31B26.03B
Gross Profit6.06B5.76B6.10B5.18B5.06B4.53B
EBITDA1.46B1.41B1.84B1.64B1.25B1.21B
Net Income497.45M497.35M904.57M845.48M630.07M574.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.04B45.42B36.59B28.96B29.24B28.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.05B978.25M1.42B2.53B2.04B1.30B
Total Debt33.23B30.70B22.39B15.27B16.50B17.43B
Total Liabilities37.26B35.16B26.65B19.88B20.89B20.96B
Stockholders Equity9.78B10.26B9.94B9.09B8.35B7.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-8.60B-8.09B1.87B1.11B-2.95B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-7.61B-6.85B2.66B2.36B-2.35B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-969.22M-1.25B-789.67M-1.25B-606.22M
Financing Cash Flow0.008.14B6.98B-1.38B-370.72M2.59B

Central General Development Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price413.00
Price Trends
50DMA
397.91
Negative
100DMA
404.32
Negative
200DMA
409.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-13.51
Negative
RSI
40.56
Neutral
STOCH
90.48
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3238, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 413 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 365.83, above the 50-day MA of 397.91, and above the 200-day MA of 409.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -13.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3238.

Central General Development Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
¥4.28B5.420.50%12.29%139.06%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
¥74.52B8.532.89%-3.09%-35.66%
60
Neutral
¥4.76B-4.302.51%86.49%83.40%
59
Neutral
¥14.78B6.931.47%20.82%9.86%
43
Neutral
¥3.51B-4.073.41%31.33%174.39%
40
Neutral
¥2.88B-7.964.15%-14.18%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3238
Central General Development Co., Ltd.
363.00
-70.29
-16.22%
JP:2991
LANDNET, Inc.
617.00
67.36
12.26%
JP:3237
Intrance Co., Ltd.
62.00
-35.00
-36.08%
JP:3252
JINUSHI Co.,Ltd.
3,455.00
1,550.46
81.41%
JP:8944
Land Business Co., Ltd.
240.00
70.35
41.47%
JP:8996
HouseFreedom Co., Ltd.
1,061.00
281.86
36.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026