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Tokai Holdings Corporation (JP:3167)
:3167
Japanese Market

Tokai Holdings Corporation (3167) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3167

Tokai Holdings Corporation

(3167)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,288.00
▲(19.15% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (strong TTM revenue growth, better profitability, and de-leveraging), tempered by weaker cash conversion versus earnings. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, but elevated RSI reduces confidence in near-term upside. Valuation is broadly fair with a reasonable P/E and a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong TTM revenue growth
A 33.7% TTM revenue rebound indicates durable demand recovery across core segments. Sustained top-line expansion improves scale, supports fixed-cost absorption and underpins future margin gains if maintained, making revenue the primary driver of durable earnings improvement.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
FCF equaling ~38% of net income and operating cash coverage around ~0.42 indicate earnings are not translating efficiently into cash. This structural conversion gap can limit debt paydown, dividend growth and capital investment, and raises sensitivity to working-capital swings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong TTM revenue growth
A 33.7% TTM revenue rebound indicates durable demand recovery across core segments. Sustained top-line expansion improves scale, supports fixed-cost absorption and underpins future margin gains if maintained, making revenue the primary driver of durable earnings improvement.
Read all positive factors

Tokai Holdings Corporation (3167) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokai Holdings Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TOKAI Holdings Corporation engages in energy, information and communications, and related businesses in Japan and internationally. The company supplies liquefied petroleum gas for individuals, automotive, and corporations; solar power; piped natur...
How the Company Makes Money
Tokai Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its utility services in electricity and gas distribution, which constitute a significant portion of its earnings. The company also earns income from its telecommunications s...

Tokai Holdings Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement momentum is improving with strong TTM revenue growth (+33.7%) and better margins, and the balance sheet shows de-leveraging (debt-to-equity ~0.56) with healthy ROE (~11.6%). The main drag is cash-flow quality: free cash flow is positive but only ~38% of net income, indicating weaker earnings-to-cash conversion.
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue247.69B243.48B231.51B230.19B210.69B196.73B
Gross Profit96.90B93.74B89.95B86.06B85.21B82.87B
EBITDA35.89B33.15B30.84B31.14B31.19B30.66B
Net Income11.09B9.22B8.48B6.46B8.97B8.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets217.16B214.90B209.12B193.34B184.47B178.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.09B5.64B5.76B4.36B4.74B5.58B
Total Debt54.46B65.09B65.53B64.91B61.25B57.41B
Total Liabilities117.27B119.04B117.82B111.03B105.52B102.91B
Stockholders Equity97.37B93.47B89.08B80.22B77.24B74.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.27B11.43B13.09B6.97B7.25B19.09B
Operating Cash Flow26.87B25.80B30.08B21.23B20.84B32.17B
Investing Cash Flow-16.05B-15.83B-19.15B-14.46B-14.90B-17.31B
Financing Cash Flow-10.77B-10.13B-9.36B-7.19B-6.63B-13.77B

Tokai Holdings Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1081.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1160.77
Positive
100DMA
1109.91
Positive
200DMA
1061.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.21
Negative
RSI
63.50
Neutral
STOCH
92.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3167, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1081 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1156.93, below the 50-day MA of 1160.77, and above the 200-day MA of 1061.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3167.

Tokai Holdings Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥184.41B12.048.27%2.68%-2.45%7.31%
75
Outperform
¥151.95B9.782.66%-1.63%67.13%
73
Outperform
¥243.63B9.233.90%2.65%7.16%
68
Neutral
¥156.67B9.033.17%3.99%20.63%
65
Neutral
¥259.94B14.728.35%2.73%3.35%810.44%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
¥166.69B8.929.14%2.84%0.26%14.29%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3167
Tokai Holdings Corporation
1,196.00
284.79
31.25%
JP:3105
Nisshinbo Holdings
1,653.00
913.70
123.59%
JP:7224
Shinmaywa Industries
2,532.00
1,372.65
118.40%
JP:5331
Noritake Co.,Limited
3,305.00
1,743.64
111.67%
JP:3106
KURABO INDUSTRIES LTD.
9,480.00
4,424.42
87.52%
JP:4206
Aica Kogyo Company, Limited
3,731.00
666.33
21.74%

Tokai Holdings Corporation Corporate Events

Tokai Holdings Reshapes Top Management, Elevating Subsidiary Leadership Roles
Feb 5, 2026
Tokai Holdings Corporation has announced a reshuffle of its top management and executive ranks, highlighted by the move of current Representative Director Junichi Yamada to become a non‑executive director of the holding company while assumin...
Tokai Holdings Raises FY2026 Dividend Forecast on Improved Earnings Outlook
Feb 5, 2026
Tokai Holdings has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, raising the planned year-end dividend by ¥2 to ¥19 per share, resulting in an expected total annual dividend of ¥36 per share including the ...
Tokai Holdings Raises Profit Outlook Despite Lower Sales Forecast for FY2025
Feb 5, 2026
Tokai Holdings has revised its consolidated full-year forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, projecting lower net sales of ¥246 billion compared with its previous estimate but expecting higher profitability, with operating profit...
Tokai Holdings Hits Record Profits, Lifts Earnings and Dividend Forecasts on Strong Customer Growth
Feb 5, 2026
Tokai Holdings reported record-high results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 2.4% year-on-year to ¥177.4 billion and operating profit jumping 27.0% to ¥12.3 billion, surpassing ¥10 billion for the f...
Tokai Holdings Lifts Profit Outlook and Dividend on Strong Nine-Month Results
Feb 5, 2026
Tokai Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥177.4 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 2.4% year on year, with operating profit rising 27.0% to ¥12.3 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing ...
TOKAI Holdings Reports Progress on Ongoing Share Repurchase Program
Feb 2, 2026
TOKAI Holdings Corporation has disclosed the latest progress of its ongoing share repurchase program authorized by its board in August 2025, reporting that it bought back 277,000 shares of common stock for approximately ¥311 million via marke...
Tokai Holdings Reports Progress on Share Buyback Program
Jan 5, 2026
Tokai Holdings Corporation has reported the status of its ongoing share repurchase program, announcing that it bought back 262,200 shares of its common stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between December 1 and December 31, 2025, at a total cost of ...
Tokai Holdings Reports Progress on Stock Repurchase Program
Dec 1, 2025
Tokai Holdings Corporation announced the status of its stock repurchase program, revealing that it has repurchased 281,400 shares of its common stock at a cost of ¥294,686,700 between November 1 and November 30, 2025. This move is part of a b...
Tokai Holdings Reports Record Financial Growth in 2025
Nov 10, 2025
Tokai Holdings Corporation reported record-high financial results for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with a 51% increase in profit attributable to owners of the parent. This growth was driven by an increase in group customers and strate...
Tokai Holdings Reports Strong Financial Growth for First Half of 2025
Nov 10, 2025
Tokai Holdings Corporation reported a significant improvement in its financial performance for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with net sales increasing by 3.0% and profit attributable to owners of the parent rising by 51.1% compared to t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026