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Tokai Holdings Corporation (JP:3167)
:3167
Japanese Market
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Tokai Holdings Corporation (3167) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3167

Tokai Holdings Corporation

(3167)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,197.00
▲(10.73% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by steady-to-improving fundamentals (higher profitability, better leverage/ROE) but held back by weakening free cash flow conversion and negative price momentum (below key moving averages with a negative MACD). A low P/E and ~3.19% dividend yield provide a meaningful valuation backstop.
Positive Factors
Recurring, diversified services
TOKAI's portfolio of essential household and business services (energy, telecom, water) creates stable recurring revenue streams and opportunities to bundle services. This structural diversification supports steady cash inflows and lowers volatility versus single-product peers over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weakened free cash flow conversion
A falling FCF and weaker conversion of earnings into cash constrain discretionary capacity for capex, acquisitions, or higher dividends. If persistent, weaker cash conversion can limit strategic flexibility and make the company more sensitive to operational or market shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring, diversified services
TOKAI's portfolio of essential household and business services (energy, telecom, water) creates stable recurring revenue streams and opportunities to bundle services. This structural diversification supports steady cash inflows and lowers volatility versus single-product peers over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Tokai Holdings Corporation (3167) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokai Holdings Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TOKAI Holdings Corporation engages in energy, information and communications, and related businesses in Japan and internationally. The company supplies liquefied petroleum gas for individuals, automotive, and corporations; solar power; piped natur...
How the Company Makes Money
TOKAI Holdings makes money primarily through recurring service revenues and usage-based charges across its operating segments. (1) Energy services: The group earns revenue from the sale and distribution of LP gas (and associated equipment, install...

Tokai Holdings Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability improved despite slightly negative TTM revenue growth (-1.15%): net income rose (10.75B vs 9.22B) and EBIT margin increased (~7.2% vs ~6.3%). Balance sheet trends are favorable with declining leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.56) and improving ROE (~11.6%). The key drag is cash quality: free cash flow fell (9.45B vs 11.43B) and cash conversion weakened (FCF ~38% of net income).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue244.84B243.48B231.51B230.19B210.69B
Gross Profit96.63B93.74B89.95B86.06B85.21B
EBITDA36.42B33.15B30.84B31.14B31.19B
Net Income10.75B9.22B8.48B6.46B8.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets219.59B214.90B209.12B193.34B184.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.41B5.64B5.76B4.36B4.74B
Total Debt66.83B65.09B65.53B64.91B61.25B
Total Liabilities115.12B119.04B117.82B111.03B105.52B
Stockholders Equity101.92B93.47B89.08B80.22B77.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.45B11.43B13.09B6.97B7.25B
Operating Cash Flow27.22B25.80B30.08B21.23B20.84B
Investing Cash Flow-17.41B-15.83B-19.15B-14.46B-14.90B
Financing Cash Flow-10.07B-10.13B-9.36B-7.19B-6.63B

Tokai Holdings Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1081.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1154.19
Negative
100DMA
1139.33
Positive
200DMA
1083.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.16
Negative
RSI
51.61
Neutral
STOCH
72.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3167, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1081 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1141.50, below the 50-day MA of 1154.19, and below the 200-day MA of 1083.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -7.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3167.

Tokai Holdings Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥177.28B10.762.66%-4.58%51.25%
71
Outperform
¥139.24B13.219.14%2.84%6.97%28.34%
71
Outperform
¥224.76B18.163.90%1.23%11.14%
69
Neutral
¥184.13B7.848.27%2.68%3.42%13.11%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
¥148.40B14.103.17%0.56%17.01%
58
Neutral
¥360.50B4.338.35%2.73%-3.16%-32.06%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3167
Tokai Holdings Corporation
1,149.00
207.77
22.07%
JP:3105
Nisshinbo Holdings
2,292.50
1,422.03
163.36%
JP:7224
Shinmaywa Industries
2,115.00
800.62
60.91%
JP:5331
Noritake Co.,Limited
3,300.00
1,561.38
89.81%
JP:3106
KURABO INDUSTRIES LTD.
11,060.00
5,001.02
82.54%
JP:4206
Aica Kogyo Company, Limited
3,442.00
10.26
0.30%

Tokai Holdings Corporation Corporate Events

Tokai Holdings Posts Record Profit and Lifts Dividend for Third Straight Year
May 8, 2026
Tokai Holdings reported record results for the year to March 31, 2026, with net sales rising 0.6% to ¥244.8 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent jumping 16.6% to ¥10.7 billion, its highest level since inception. Earnin...
Tokai Holdings Lifts Profit, Strengthens Balance Sheet and Raises Dividend
May 8, 2026
Tokai Holdings reported modest top-line growth for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with net sales edging up 0.6% to ¥244.8 billion while operating profit climbed 11.0% and profit attributable to owners of parent rose 16.6% to ¥10.7...
Tokai Holdings Completes ¥2 Billion Share Buyback and Cancels 1.31% of Shares
Mar 25, 2026
Tokai Holdings has completed a share repurchase program authorized in August 2025, buying back a total of 1,834,400 common shares for approximately ¥2.0 billion through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The final tranche, executed...
Tokai Holdings to Make Philippine Hydropower Operator a Consolidated Subsidiary
Mar 24, 2026
Tokai Holdings Corporation has moved to expand its renewable energy footprint in Southeast Asia by resolving that its wholly owned unit Tokai Corporation will acquire a 40% stake in Taft Hydroenergy Corporation of the Philippines, which operates r...
Tokai Holdings Overhauls Executive Lineup and Realigns Management Roles
Mar 12, 2026
Tokai Holdings Corporation has announced a series of executive personnel changes effective around the turn of the fiscal year, including the appointment of Tetsuya Numano as executive officer on April 1, 2026 and the retirement of three senior exe...
Tokai Holdings Nears Completion of ¥2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Mar 2, 2026
Tokai Holdings Corporation has disclosed the latest progress of its ongoing share buyback program, repurchasing 248,100 shares of common stock for approximately ¥295.7 million on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between February 1 and February 28, 20...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026