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Nichirei Corporation (JP:2871)
:2871

Nichirei Corporation (2871) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2871

Nichirei Corporation

(2871)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,358.00
▲(10.99% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:10/31/25
Nichirei Corporation's stock is supported by strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's stable revenue growth and solid balance sheet are significant strengths. While the valuation is fair, the decline in Free Cash Flow is a concern that should be monitored.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Nichirei’s steady revenue growth (3.23% YoY to 2025) reflects durable demand for its frozen foods and logistics services. Sustainable top-line expansion supports scale economies, stable cash generation and the company’s ability to invest in product development and cold‑chain capacity over the medium term.
Conservative leverage & equity base
A D/E of 0.41 and ~52% equity ratio indicate conservative leverage that enhances financial resilience. This structural strength provides capacity to fund capex or absorb shocks without aggressive refinancing, preserving strategic optionality for investments in logistics or product expansion over coming quarters.
Strong operating cash conversion
An OCF-to-net-income ratio above 2.0 shows reliable cash generation from core operations. Durable operating cash conversion supports recurring funding for working capital, maintenance capex and dividends, reducing reliance on external financing and enabling steady operational investment across 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Decline in free cash flow
A 25.8% drop in free cash flow materially reduces internally available funds for growth, acquisitions or higher dividends. If persistent, this weakens funding flexibility, may raise reliance on debt or equity issuance, and constrains the company’s ability to expand cold‑chain capacity or marketing over the medium term.
High absolute debt level
Although leverage ratios look moderate, the stated high absolute debt exposes Nichirei to interest‑rate and refinancing risks. Rising rates or tightened credit conditions would increase interest costs and restrict capital allocation, potentially pressuring margins and investment plans over the coming quarters.
Relatively thin net profit margin
A net margin near 3.5% leaves limited buffer against commodity, energy or labor cost shocks common in food processing and logistics. Persistently low margins reduce reinvestment capacity and elevate sensitivity to competitive pricing, challenging durable profitability and strategic flexibility over time.

Nichirei Corporation (2871) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nichirei Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNichirei Corporation engages in the processed foods, marine products, meat and poultry products, logistics, real estate, and biosciences businesses in Japan. It offers frozen foods, acerola products, packed ice, agricultural processed foods, wellness foods, and retort-pouch foods. The company also provides refrigerated warehouse, transport, delivery, and logistics consulting services, as well as produces and sells ice. In addition, it rents and manages office building space and parking lots; sells housing land; provides construction work and planning services; and engages in cell biotechnology and functional materials business. The company was formerly known as Nippon Reizo Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Nichirei Corporation in February 1985. The company was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyNichirei Corporation generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of its food products, which include frozen and processed foods. The food processing segment is a significant source of income, driven by both domestic and international sales. Additionally, the logistics segment contributes to the company's earnings by providing temperature-controlled distribution services, essential for the efficient delivery of perishable goods. Nichirei also benefits from strategic partnerships with food retailers, restaurants, and other businesses, which enhance its market reach and distribution capabilities. The company's focus on innovation and quality assurance further strengthens its competitive position and drives customer loyalty, contributing to stable revenue growth.

Nichirei Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nichirei Corporation shows consistent revenue growth and stable profitability margins. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage with a conservative Debt-to-Equity Ratio, supporting financial stability. However, the decline in Free Cash Flow is a concern that needs monitoring.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Nichirei Corporation demonstrates consistent revenue growth with a notable increase of 3.23% from 2024 to 2025, following a steady upward trajectory over the years. Gross Profit Margin has remained stable around 18%, and the Net Profit Margin slightly improved to 3.52% in 2025. The EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect solid operational efficiency, highlighting strong profitability despite competitive pressures in the packaged foods industry.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.41, indicating conservative use of leverage compared to equity, which is positive for financial stability. Stockholders' Equity has been increasing, contributing to a stable Equity Ratio of 52.08% in 2025, which underpins the company's strong financial footing. However, the total debt level remains high, which could pose risks if interest rates rise.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Nichirei Corporation's cash flow statement reveals a robust Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 2.15, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. However, Free Cash Flow decreased by 25.8% in 2025, a potential area of concern for funding future growth without increasing debt. The company's ability to maintain positive cash flows is a strength, but the decline in Free Cash Flow warrants monitoring.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue701.69B702.08B680.09B662.20B602.70B572.76B
Gross Profit126.73B126.23B120.15B108.87B102.25B98.80B
EBITDA47.67B63.26B62.27B56.47B57.09B52.23B
Net Income23.93B24.73B24.50B21.57B23.38B21.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets502.60B499.22B485.16B457.33B427.61B405.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.17B39.37B31.28B27.84B23.41B28.93B
Total Debt111.75B109.82B97.95B114.58B104.71B96.42B
Total Liabilities230.02B223.25B219.22B223.82B209.70B195.29B
Stockholders Equity256.85B260.04B253.41B224.44B211.17B203.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0024.87B33.50B12.77B11.95B14.80B
Operating Cash Flow0.0053.19B62.44B37.87B34.66B45.45B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-32.40B-31.59B-26.84B-26.02B-32.21B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-16.80B-31.25B-8.59B-14.18B-10.71B

Nichirei Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2124.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1930.87
Positive
100DMA
1883.97
Positive
200DMA
1828.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
48.38
Negative
RSI
80.10
Negative
STOCH
85.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2871, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2124.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2024.90, above the 50-day MA of 1930.87, and above the 200-day MA of 1828.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 48.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.10 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2871.

Nichirei Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€538.55B20.479.86%2.58%1.08%2.71%
71
Outperform
¥622.46B20.309.28%1.30%5.50%27.32%
66
Neutral
¥398.86B23.848.27%1.95%5.82%-13.40%
65
Neutral
¥440.06B31.872.42%2.33%-8.76%
64
Neutral
¥341.93B21.772.61%6.54%15.08%
63
Neutral
¥703.40B22.546.04%2.04%5.55%27.03%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2871
Nichirei Corporation
2,124.50
418.98
24.57%
JP:2229
CALBEE
3,089.00
331.26
12.01%
JP:2282
NH Foods
7,149.00
2,656.87
59.15%
JP:2809
Kewpie Corporation
4,478.00
1,670.04
59.48%
JP:2264
Morinaga Milk Industry Co., Ltd.
4,961.00
2,061.73
71.11%
JP:2296
Itoham Yonekyu Holdings, Inc.
6,450.00
2,929.47
83.21%

Nichirei Corporation Corporate Events

Nichirei Overhauls Top Management to Drive Post-Integration Growth
Feb 17, 2026

Nichirei Corporation has announced a leadership transition effective April 1, 2026, with current President and CEO Kenya Okushi becoming Representative Director and Chairman, and Senior Executive Officer Kazunori Shimamoto stepping up as Representative Director, President and CEO. The company says the move is aimed at strengthening its management structure to support post-integration growth in its foods business and maximize group synergies.

Additional senior management reshuffles are planned around the June 2026 shareholders’ meeting, including the retirement of Director and Senior Executive Officer Wataru Tanabe and Audit & Supervisory Board Member Tetsuro Katabuchi. New roles will be assigned to several executives, notably Hiroyuki Moriai becoming Director, Senior Executive Officer and COO after taking the helm of Nichirei Logistics Group Inc., alongside adjustments in CFO, CSO, CISO, HR, and legal responsibilities to reinforce governance, strategy, and operational oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2871) stock is a Buy with a Yen2285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nichirei Corporation stock, see the JP:2871 Stock Forecast page.

Nichirei Maintains FY26 Outlook as Logistics and Processed Foods Offset Business Reforms
Feb 3, 2026

Nichirei Corporation reported that for the third quarter of FY26/3, performance is broadly in line with its revised full-year plan, with solid net sales growth in its processed foods and temperature-controlled logistics segments offset by flat overall group sales due to structural reforms in its marine, meat and poultry products business. Operating profit returned to growth in the third quarter alone, though cumulative operating profit for the first three quarters declined by ¥1.2 billion year on year; nonetheless, the company left its full-year guidance unchanged, projecting net sales of ¥700 billion, a ¥1.2 billion increase in operating profit to ¥39.5 billion, and record net income of ¥28 billion supported by gains from the sale of an investment security, underscoring confidence in earnings resilience despite ongoing portfolio restructuring.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2871) stock is a Hold with a Yen1700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nichirei Corporation stock, see the JP:2871 Stock Forecast page.

Nichirei to Shift Fiscal Year-End to December to Align Global Group Reporting
Feb 3, 2026

Nichirei Corporation has resolved to change its fiscal year-end from March 31 to December 31, subject to shareholder approval of amendments to its Articles of Incorporation at the June 2026 annual general meeting. The shift, which will create a nine-month transitional 109th fiscal period from April 1 to December 31, 2026 and align non-December year-end subsidiaries, is aimed at strengthening the group’s global management base and improving transparency through more timely, unified disclosure of management information; detailed earnings forecasts for the shortened fiscal period and the final form of the article amendments will be announced later in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2871) stock is a Hold with a Yen1700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nichirei Corporation stock, see the JP:2871 Stock Forecast page.

Nichirei Boosts U.S. Frozen Food Platform With Major Capital Injection Into New Subsidiary
Feb 3, 2026

Nichirei Corporation has approved a substantial capital increase for Nichirei Global Foods, LLC, a new Delaware-based frozen food development and production subsidiary that will be wholly owned via its North American unit InnovAsian Cuisine Enterprises Inc. The capital will be raised in stages from March to September 2026, ultimately lifting the subsidiary’s capital to about USD 105.7 million and making it a specified subsidiary, with a production facility planned in Jonesboro, Arkansas. The move is part of Nichirei’s broader strategy to build a robust U.S. supply chain base, enhance product development capabilities, and accelerate brand penetration in the rapidly expanding U.S. Asian food market, while the company expects the financial impact on consolidated results to be immaterial in the near term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2871) stock is a Hold with a Yen1700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nichirei Corporation stock, see the JP:2871 Stock Forecast page.

Nichirei Posts Higher Nine-Month Profit and Alters Depreciation Policy Under New Growth Plan
Feb 3, 2026

Nichirei reported consolidated net sales of ¥537.7 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, slightly up year on year, while operating and ordinary profits dipped modestly to ¥30.5 billion and ¥31.4 billion, respectively, but profit attributable to owners of parent rose to ¥21.9 billion, lifting earnings per share to ¥87.23 after a 2-for-1 share split. Total assets and shareholders’ equity increased, the equity ratio remained near 50%, and the company maintained its full-year forecast of ¥700 billion in net sales and ¥28 billion in profit attributable to owners, alongside a planned annual dividend of ¥47 per share for FY2026. In conjunction with its new medium-term plan “Compass×Growth 2027” under the long-term strategy “N-FIT 2035,” Nichirei shifted from declining balance to straight-line depreciation and reviewed useful lives for property, plant and equipment across the group, particularly in its food and temperature-controlled logistics businesses, a change that boosted nine-month operating profit by ¥2.8 billion and is intended to better reflect long-term, stable asset use and improve capital efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2871) stock is a Hold with a Yen1700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nichirei Corporation stock, see the JP:2871 Stock Forecast page.

Nichirei Sets Terms for Multi-Billion Yen Secondary Share Offering
Jan 19, 2026

Nichirei Corporation has set the terms for a secondary offering of its common stock, approving a selling price of 1,791 yen per share, with the aggregate selling amount totaling approximately 29.96 billion yen and an underwriters’ purchase amount of about 28.72 billion yen, with share delivery scheduled for January 26, 2026. In addition, the company will conduct an over-allotment secondary offering of 2,508,900 shares at the same selling price, raising a further 4.49 billion yen equivalent, a move that is expected to enhance liquidity in its shares and support capital market access without constituting a new primary issuance of stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2871) stock is a Buy with a Yen1988.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nichirei Corporation stock, see the JP:2871 Stock Forecast page.

Nichirei Launches Shareholder Benefits Program to Reward Long-Term Investors
Jan 8, 2026

Nichirei Corporation has approved the introduction of a new shareholder benefits program aimed at enhancing shareholder returns and promoting medium- to long-term shareholding. The scheme, effective for shareholders of record as of March 31, 2026, will grant eligible investors—those holding 500 shares or more—annual assortments of Nichirei Group products, with benefit levels tied both to the number of shares held and the length of continuous ownership, offering higher product value to shareholders who hold their shares for three years or longer. By rewarding loyalty and encouraging a deeper understanding of its business through direct exposure to its products, Nichirei aims to increase the attractiveness of its stock and support the growth of its enterprise value, which may strengthen its investor base and reinforce its market positioning in the Japanese food sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2871) stock is a Buy with a Yen1997.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nichirei Corporation stock, see the JP:2871 Stock Forecast page.

Nichirei Shareholders Launch Large Secondary Offering to Boost Free Float and Liquidity
Jan 8, 2026

Nichirei Corporation has approved a secondary offering of 16,726,400 existing shares of its common stock, to be sold by a group of major financial institutions and corporate shareholders including Mizuho Bank, MUFG Bank, The Norinchukin Bank, and several insurers and logistics-related firms. The shares will be purchased and underwritten by securities underwriters, with the final selling price to be set between 90% and 100% of the prevailing market price on a pricing date scheduled between January 19 and 21, 2026, and settlement occurring five business days later.
In addition to the main block of shares, up to 2,508,900 additional shares may be offered through an over-allotment option, allowing the designated underwriter to borrow shares from an existing shareholder to meet excess demand, with the option size and execution dependent on market appetite. As this is a secondary sale by existing shareholders rather than a new issuance, the transaction does not dilute Nichirei’s share capital but may increase the stock’s free float and liquidity, potentially broadening the investor base while enabling key financial stakeholders to reduce or rebalance their holdings.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2871) stock is a Buy with a Yen1997.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nichirei Corporation stock, see the JP:2871 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025