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Ajinomoto Co (JP:2802)
:2802
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Ajinomoto Co (2802) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2802

Ajinomoto Co

(OTC:2802)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,451.00
▲(10.06% Upside)
Ajinomoto Co's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and solid technical indicators, despite the overvaluation concerns. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Corporate Actions
The company announced a series of shareholder-friendly corporate actions, including an increase in the FY24F dividend, a share buyback, and a 2 for 1 stock split, likely providing support to the share price.
Earnings
Ajinomoto expects continued revenue momentum from Seasonings and Foods segment with a return to volume growth supported by higher pricing.
Shareholder Returns
Ajinomoto continues to maintain a shareholder-friendly capital management stance, targeting a total shareholder return of 50% or more through a progressive dividend policy and share buybacks.
Negative Factors
AI Capex Risk
A key downside risk will be industry-wide cutback on AI capex spend, which will hamper growth of its functional materials segment, a major growth driver.
Frozen Foods Margins
Frozen Foods margins have been softening again in FY3/25, with an estimated dip to 3.8%.
Restructuring Impact
Ajinomoto has announced another round of layoffs in their North America Frozen Food business, signaling that the restructuring agenda continues unabated, despite the abrupt change of Global CEO last month.

Ajinomoto Co (2802) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ajinomoto Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAjinomoto Co., Inc. is a global leader in the food, amino acids, and specialty chemicals industries. Established in Japan, the company has expanded its operations worldwide, offering a diverse portfolio that includes seasonings, processed foods, beverages, pharmaceuticals, and nutraceuticals. Ajinomoto is particularly renowned for its pioneering work in the development and commercialization of monosodium glutamate (MSG), which has become a staple in enhancing food flavors. The company operates through several segments, focusing on food products, amino acids for pharmaceuticals and health care, and specialty chemicals, thereby catering to a wide range of consumer and industrial needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyAjinomoto Co., Inc. generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model that leverages its expertise in biotechnology and food science. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of seasonings and processed foods, where it holds a strong market presence due to its popular products such as 'AJI-NO-MOTO' seasoning. Additionally, Ajinomoto capitalizes on its amino acids business, supplying essential amino acids to the pharmaceutical, nutraceutical, and animal nutrition industries. The specialty chemicals segment also contributes to its earnings, offering products used in electronic materials and cosmetics. Strategic partnerships and investments in research and development further enhance its ability to innovate and maintain a competitive edge across its sectors.

Ajinomoto Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Ajinomoto's earnings call showcased strong revenue and profit growth, particularly in the Seasonings & Foods segment, and projected a positive outlook for FY 2025. However, the company faced challenges in the Frozen Foods segment and experienced a decline in profit attributable to the parent company due to structural reforms. Delays in Bio-Pharma Services shipments and potential impacts from tariffs and economic uncertainties were noted. Overall, the highlights slightly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a cautiously optimistic sentiment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Sales in FY 2024 reached JPY1.530 trillion, an increase of 6% year-on-year, and business profit was JPY159.3 billion, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year. Revenue and profit are projected to increase further in FY 2025.
Strong Performance in Seasonings & Foods
Seasonings & Foods overseas continued to perform strongly, driving increased revenue overall. Both unit prices and volume increased by 3% overseas, resulting in a 6% sales growth on a local currency basis.
Significant Projected Increase in Profit for FY 2025
Ajinomoto forecasts a business profit of JPY180 billion for FY 2025, representing a 13% increase year-on-year. The Bio-Pharma Services & Ingredients segment is expected to significantly drive profit growth.
Positive Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Ajinomoto generated over JPY200 billion in operating cash flow in FY 2024 and plans to repurchase JPY100 billion in shares, enhancing shareholder returns.
New Business Initiatives and Expansions
Ajinomoto is focusing on new business initiatives such as amino acid feed to reduce greenhouse gases and fertilizer projects in Brazil, which are expected to contribute positively in the future.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the Frozen Foods Segment
The Frozen Foods segment struggled in Japan due to high raw material costs and the impact of currency translation, resulting in decreased profit.
Decline in Profit Attributable to Parent Company
Profit attributable to owners of the parent company decreased significantly due to structural reform expenses and the recording of an impairment loss from the sale of the Hayward Plant in North America.
Delays in Bio-Pharma Services Shipments
The Bio-Pharma Services segment faced delays in shipments, impacting the business profit forecast for FY 2024.
Impact of Tariffs and Economic Uncertainty
There is concern about potential impacts from tariffs and economic policy changes, especially affecting the CDMO and semiconductor businesses.
Company Guidance
During the Ajinomoto fiscal year 2024 results briefing, the company's leadership provided guidance for fiscal year 2025, highlighting several key metrics and strategic initiatives. Ajinomoto reported record sales of JPY1.530 trillion for FY 2024, marking a 6% year-on-year increase, and a 4% rise excluding currency translation impacts. Business profit reached JPY159.3 billion, representing a 7.9% increase year-on-year, or 4.5% without currency translation effects. Looking forward, Ajinomoto forecasts continued revenue and profit growth for FY 2025, with projected sales of JPY1.618 trillion, a 5.7% increase year-on-year, or 6.7% when excluding currency translation impacts. Business profit is expected to rise by 13% to JPY180 billion. The company is also committed to shareholder returns, planning to increase dividends and repurchase shares. Ajinomoto aims to enhance corporate value through strategic initiatives like evolving ASV (Ajinomoto Shared Value) indicators, with ROE and ROIC targets set at 19% and 12%, respectively, excluding the impact of the Forge acquisition. The company is focused on boosting its operating cash flow to over JPY220 billion and plans significant investments in intangible assets to support sustainable growth.

Ajinomoto Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ajinomoto Co exhibits strong revenue growth and robust profitability metrics. The company maintains a stable balance sheet with effective debt management and strong cash flow generation, despite minor fluctuations in net income.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ajinomoto Co has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from JPY 1,471 billion in 2021 to JPY 1,531 billion in 2025. The company maintains solid gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting strong operational performance. However, a slight decline in net income from JPY 87 billion in 2024 to JPY 70 billion in 2025 suggests potential pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Ajinomoto Co reveals a stable equity position with stockholders' equity increasing from JPY 538 billion in 2020 to JPY 747 billion in 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating effective debt management, although total debt remains significant. Return on equity has shown some fluctuations but remains healthy. The equity ratio signifies a good proportion of equity financing, providing stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Ajinomoto Co exhibits strong operating cash flow, with a consistent upward trajectory, reaching JPY 210 billion in 2025. The free cash flow has also increased significantly, demonstrating effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio suggests strong cash availability for reinvestment and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.53T1.53T1.44T1.36T1.15T1.07T
Gross Profit550.76B550.76B511.45B470.39B425.90B406.22B
EBITDA198.12B202.91B232.75B226.85B197.67B168.07B
Net Income70.27B70.27B87.12B94.06B75.72B59.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.72T1.72T1.77T1.51T1.46T1.43T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments182.77B182.77B194.19B145.09B169.26B193.69B
Total Debt455.35B455.35B442.49B288.56B313.91B350.42B
Total Liabilities907.86B907.86B883.92B688.77B717.32B763.44B
Stockholders Equity746.80B746.80B815.07B768.68B686.91B620.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow121.79B121.79B96.05B44.59B64.86B79.61B
Operating Cash Flow209.90B209.90B168.07B117.64B145.58B165.65B
Investing Cash Flow-77.38B-77.38B-132.43B-30.09B-61.57B-66.25B
Financing Cash Flow-137.68B-137.68B-6.75B-111.06B-123.06B-60.39B

Ajinomoto Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4044.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3898.30
Positive
100DMA
3531.61
Positive
200DMA
3310.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
40.73
Positive
RSI
53.47
Neutral
STOCH
46.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2802, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4044 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3988.95, above the 50-day MA of 3898.30, and above the 200-day MA of 3310.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 40.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2802.

Ajinomoto Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (69)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.01T16.2912.82%1.92%0.43%-0.47%
77
Outperform
$692.22B18.109.20%1.07%3.91%2.46%
74
Outperform
¥4.01T51.0910.61%1.98%4.36%-3.39%
73
Outperform
$1.29T21.3611.79%1.57%3.80%-7.21%
69
Neutral
¥222.72B21.818.23%2.13%4.96%1.22%
68
Neutral
¥847.58B17.836.40%3.20%2.45%-9.06%
66
Neutral
$824.65B16.4310.68%2.48%2.27%-7.76%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2802
Ajinomoto Co
4,044.00
1,334.67
49.26%
JP:2875
Toyo Suisan Kaisha
10,290.00
846.48
8.96%
JP:2897
Nissin Foods Holdings Co
2,789.00
-917.24
-24.75%
JP:2269
Meiji Holdings Co
3,088.00
-446.78
-12.64%
JP:2212
Yamazaki Baking Co
3,432.00
653.51
23.52%
JP:2801
Kikkoman
1,305.50
-340.99
-20.71%

Ajinomoto Co Corporate Events

Ajinomoto Co. Reports Progress on Share Repurchase Program
Aug 4, 2025

Ajinomoto Co., Inc. announced the progress of its share repurchase program, which was initially resolved by the Board of Directors on May 8, 2025. As of July 31, 2025, the company has repurchased 17,601,800 shares for a total of JPY 58,210,814,139, with plans to cancel all shares repurchased under this program. This move is part of Ajinomoto’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2802) stock is a Buy with a Yen3500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ajinomoto Co stock, see the JP:2802 Stock Forecast page.

Ajinomoto Co. Reports Improved Profits Amid Sales Dip
Aug 4, 2025

Ajinomoto Co., Inc. reported a slight decrease in sales for the three months ended June 30, 2025, but saw significant increases in business profit and profit before income taxes, indicating improved operational efficiency. The company also completed a 2-for-1 stock split and introduced ‘business profit’ as a new metric to better reflect core business results, which may enhance investor and management evaluation of its business portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2802) stock is a Buy with a Yen3500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ajinomoto Co stock, see the JP:2802 Stock Forecast page.

Ajinomoto Co. Advances Share Repurchase Program
Jul 2, 2025

Ajinomoto Co., Inc. has announced the progress of its share repurchase program, which was initially resolved by the Board of Directors on May 8, 2025. As of June 30, 2025, the company has repurchased 14,658,600 shares for a total of JPY 46,613,688,345. This strategic move is part of a larger plan to repurchase up to 50 million shares, with a maximum budget of JPY 100 billion, to be completed by November 30, 2025. The repurchase is being conducted through the Tokyo Stock Exchange and is expected to enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2802) stock is a Buy with a Yen3450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ajinomoto Co stock, see the JP:2802 Stock Forecast page.

Ajinomoto Co. Advances Share Repurchase Program
Jun 3, 2025

Ajinomoto Co., Inc. has announced the progress of its share repurchase program, which was resolved by the Board of Directors on May 8, 2025. The company repurchased 12,374,900 common shares for JPY 38.27 billion between May 9 and May 31, 2025, as part of a larger plan to buy back up to 50 million shares by November 30, 2025. This strategic move is aimed at optimizing capital structure and enhancing shareholder value, with all repurchased shares set to be canceled.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2802) stock is a Buy with a Yen3450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ajinomoto Co stock, see the JP:2802 Stock Forecast page.

Ajinomoto Co. Initiates Significant Share Repurchase Program
May 9, 2025

Ajinomoto Co., Inc. announced the repurchase of 9,824,800 of its own shares, aiming to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency. This move is part of a broader plan to repurchase up to 50 million shares by November 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to optimizing its capital structure and potentially increasing shareholder value.

Ajinomoto Co. Announces Strategic Share Repurchase Plan
May 8, 2025

Ajinomoto Co., Inc. has announced a plan to repurchase up to 10 million of its own shares, representing 1.01% of its total issued shares, through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction trading system. This strategic move, with a maximum cost of JPY 30.15 billion, is part of a broader initiative to repurchase up to 50 million shares by November 2025, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Ajinomoto Co. Initiates Transfer of Head Office Assets
May 8, 2025

Ajinomoto Co., Inc. has announced its decision to transfer its non-current assets, specifically the land and building of its current head office in anticipation of relocating to a new head office in fiscal year 2026. The transfer process will be conducted through a competitive bidding process, with the agreement and transfer scheduled for fiscal year 2025. This strategic move is part of Ajinomoto’s broader operational adjustments and is expected to impact its asset management and future operational efficiencies.

Ajinomoto Co. Announces Major Share Repurchase Plan
May 8, 2025

Ajinomoto Co., Inc. has announced a decision to repurchase up to 50 million of its own shares, representing 5.03% of its total issued shares, with a maximum repurchase cost of JPY 100 billion. This move aims to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency, with plans to cancel all repurchased shares to optimize the company’s capital structure.

Ajinomoto Reports Increased Sales but Decline in Profits for FY2024
May 8, 2025

Ajinomoto Co., Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, showing a 6.3% increase in sales to 1,530,556 million yen. Despite the rise in sales, the company experienced a decline in profit before income taxes and profit attributable to owners of the parent company, primarily due to changes in accounting treatments and a stock split. The company also announced a forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with expected sales of 1,618,000 million yen and a significant increase in profit attributable to owners of the parent company by 70.7%.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2025