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Yamazaki Baking Co Ltd (JP:2212)
:2212

Yamazaki Baking Co (2212) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2212

Yamazaki Baking Co

(2212)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,833.00
▲(11.49% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (higher revenue/earnings and manageable leverage), tempered by thin margins and inconsistent free cash flow conversion. Technicals add support due to a positive moving-average trend, while valuation is neutral-to-slightly positive with a mid-range P/E and modest yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Profit Scale
Yamazaki shows multi-year expansion in top-line and net income, indicating stronger market penetration and scale benefits. Larger revenue and profit base supports investments in distribution, product development, and cost absorption, improving structural resilience versus smaller competitors.
Negative Factors
Thin Profit Margins
Margins remain narrow, leaving earnings sensitive to raw-material inflation, wage pressure, or pricing competition. Limited margin buffer constrains ability to absorb cost shocks, restricts discretionary spend, and weakens leverage of revenue growth into higher returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Profit Scale
Yamazaki shows multi-year expansion in top-line and net income, indicating stronger market penetration and scale benefits. Larger revenue and profit base supports investments in distribution, product development, and cost absorption, improving structural resilience versus smaller competitors.
Read all positive factors

Yamazaki Baking Co (2212) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Yamazaki Baking Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells baked goods in Japan. Its products include loaf bread, sweet buns, donuts, hard rolls, and Danish pastries; Japanese, Western style, and rice-derived and based confectione...
How the Company Makes Money
Yamazaki Baking Co. generates revenue through multiple avenues, primarily by selling its bakery products to retailers, wholesalers, and food service providers. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales of its branded products in conve...

Yamazaki Baking Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year improvement in scale and profitability (revenue 1.01T to 1.31T; net income 7.0B to 40.9B; EBIT 17.4B to 61.1B) with moderate leverage (debt/equity ~0.25). Main risks are thin margins (2024 net margin ~2.9%, EBIT margin ~4.5%) and uneven free cash flow conversion/volatility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.28T1.31T1.24T1.18T1.08T1.05T
Gross Profit414.46B428.40B405.25B379.05B343.61B367.86B
EBITDA101.84B106.44B99.99B88.53B65.05B61.36B
Net Income37.43B40.89B36.02B30.17B12.37B10.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets864.33B931.88B865.11B802.03B758.03B757.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments172.52B163.82B152.44B134.94B125.18B138.14B
Total Debt105.65B103.66B101.05B80.13B86.21B97.86B
Total Liabilities394.52B421.05B404.62B355.90B350.14B375.14B
Stockholders Equity421.54B459.88B412.15B400.14B363.74B342.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0028.08B30.92B35.51B16.03B20.47B
Operating Cash Flow0.0078.87B73.97B73.69B52.77B57.07B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-55.86B-43.49B-45.66B-41.98B-37.79B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-14.13B-15.04B-18.83B-26.70B2.07B

Yamazaki Baking Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3438.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3380.68
Negative
100DMA
3307.36
Positive
200DMA
3256.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-37.46
Negative
RSI
53.71
Neutral
STOCH
73.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2212, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3438 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3317.50, above the 50-day MA of 3380.68, and above the 200-day MA of 3256.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -37.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2212.

Yamazaki Baking Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥683.71B15.929.18%1.13%3.53%4.88%
70
Outperform
¥227.84B7.918.01%2.77%1.83%-39.02%
70
Outperform
¥595.48B11.013.15%-0.88%-25.64%
65
Neutral
¥390.59B68.531.86%1.64%8.40%-23.50%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
¥1.08T13.625.97%2.96%2.79%-6.46%
53
Neutral
¥4.16B13.312.99%-87.21%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2212
Yamazaki Baking Co
3,375.00
515.15
18.01%
JP:2269
Meiji Holdings Co
3,915.00
619.83
18.81%
JP:2001
NIPPN Corporation
2,757.00
583.27
26.83%
JP:2206
Ezaki Glico Co., Ltd.
6,021.00
1,368.80
29.42%
JP:2002
Nisshin Seifun Group Inc.
2,099.00
382.49
22.28%
JP:2215
First Baking Co., Ltd.
601.00
-1.00
-0.17%

Yamazaki Baking Co Corporate Events

Yamazaki Baking Lifts Sales and Profits on Broad-Based Food Segment Growth
Feb 12, 2026
Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥1,311.4 billion for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, up 5.4% from the previous year, driven primarily by its food business, which accounted for 92.7% of total sales. Profit...
Yamazaki Baking Lifts Profits and Dividend on Strong 2025 Results
Feb 12, 2026
Yamazaki Baking Co. reported solid results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 5.4% to ¥1.31 trillion and operating profit climbing 17.9% to ¥61.1 billion, while profit attributable to owners of parent incr...
Yamazaki Baking Lifts Year-End Dividend Forecast to 60 Yen per Share
Jan 30, 2026
Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd. has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, raising the planned year-end dividend from 50 yen to 60 yen per share. The decision, approved by the board on January 30, 2026, reflects consi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026