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NAFCO Co., Ltd. (JP:2790)
:2790
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NAFCO Co., Ltd. (2790) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2790

NAFCO Co., Ltd.

(2790)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,195.00
▼(-1.26% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/10/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorated operating performance and weak/negative free cash flow, despite a conservatively financed balance sheet. Technical indicators are broadly neutral, and valuation is only moderately supportive given thin profitability.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a sizable equity base give the company durable solvency and financial flexibility. This conservative capital structure reduces refinancing risk, supports operating continuity during downturns, and preserves capacity for targeted reinvestment or opportunistic M&A over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
Sustained top-line deterioration erodes operating scale and purchasing leverage, making fixed costs harder to absorb. Continued revenue decline weakens growth optionality, increases per-unit cost exposure, and raises the bar for returning to durable profitability absent clear reversal in customer trends.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a sizable equity base give the company durable solvency and financial flexibility. This conservative capital structure reduces refinancing risk, supports operating continuity during downturns, and preserves capacity for targeted reinvestment or opportunistic M&A over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

NAFCO Co., Ltd. (2790) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NAFCO Co., Ltd. operates a chain of home and furniture retail outlets in Japan. The company's furniture/home fashion stores offer kitchen and dining, living room, bed and bedroom, study room, and wedding gift furniture; and bedding products, small...
How the Company Makes Money
NAFCO makes money primarily by retailing merchandise through its home improvement and home goods stores. Its core revenue stream is product sales to consumers and small contractors, with income driven by transaction volume (store traffic and baske...

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured: the income statement is weak (multi-year revenue decline and margins compressed to near break-even), and cash flow quality is poor (volatile operating cash flow and negative free cash flow in 2026). This is partly offset by a strong balance sheet with low leverage and sizable equity, which supports solvency despite weak profitability.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue180.22B175.27B181.85B192.45B202.64B206.88B
Gross Profit59.11B60.17B55.74B59.47B64.06B66.15B
EBITDA7.66B7.83B7.63B11.11B15.15B17.99B
Net Income-14.00M223.00M183.00M3.11B5.64B7.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets225.39B215.96B226.50B233.54B239.70B234.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.88B11.52B18.50B33.00B36.12B34.11B
Total Debt23.17B23.05B27.65B26.53B26.40B26.00B
Total Liabilities71.38B63.11B72.54B74.18B77.89B76.58B
Stockholders Equity154.01B152.84B153.96B159.36B161.81B157.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-2.49B-6.34B4.00B6.26B-2.43B
Operating Cash Flow0.003.06B-709.00M9.17B9.66B1.18B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-5.84B-5.95B-4.93B-3.43B-3.50B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-3.93B-7.84B-7.36B-4.22B-4.56B

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2223.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2185.31
Positive
100DMA
2180.22
Positive
200DMA
2053.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.76
Negative
RSI
53.10
Neutral
STOCH
58.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2790, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2223 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2177.65, above the 50-day MA of 2185.31, and above the 200-day MA of 2053.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2790.

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥126.28B18.303.43%0.61%8.76%
63
Neutral
¥128.36B22.202.85%3.66%-12.16%
62
Neutral
¥170.27B55.151.58%1.63%7.24%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
¥6.44B16.892.33%-2.94%-40.67%
54
Neutral
¥209.51B31.242.83%-0.42%-0.70%
52
Neutral
¥62.64B233.260.36%2.78%-3.62%146.18%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2790
NAFCO Co., Ltd.
2,200.00
543.57
32.82%
JP:3050
DCM Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,545.00
271.19
21.29%
JP:3191
Joyful Honda Co. Ltd.
2,140.00
197.97
10.19%
JP:7516
Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd.
4,180.00
565.55
15.65%
JP:8218
KOMERI CO., LTD.
3,525.00
678.79
23.85%
JP:9903
Kanseki Co., Ltd.
1,048.00
183.02
21.16%

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

NAFCO Boosts Profitability Despite Revenue Decline and Tightens Cash Position
May 8, 2026
NAFCO Co., Ltd. reported a 3.6% decline in operating revenues to ¥175.3 billion for the fiscal year ended March 2026, but improved profitability with operating profit rising 29.2% to ¥1.64 billion and ordinary profit up 11.9% to ¥1....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 10, 2026