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NAFCO Co., Ltd. (JP:2790)
:2790

NAFCO Co., Ltd. (2790) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2790

NAFCO Co., Ltd.

(2790)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,255.00
▲(1.44% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/23/25
NAFCO Co., Ltd. is currently facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and negative cash flows impacting its financial health. The technical indicators suggest a neutral to bearish outlook, while the negative P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. The dividend yield offers some compensation to investors, but overall, the stock is under pressure due to operational and financial inefficiencies.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility. With a debt-to-equity of 0.16, NAFCO can better absorb downturns, finance store-level needs or investments from equity rather than high-cost debt, supporting resilience over months.
Negative Factors
Declining revenues
A multi-year revenue decline erodes scale advantages, supplier leverage and fixed-cost absorption. Continued top-line contraction pressures margins, cash generation and the ability to invest in store experience or operational improvements over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility. With a debt-to-equity of 0.16, NAFCO can better absorb downturns, finance store-level needs or investments from equity rather than high-cost debt, supporting resilience over months.
Read all positive factors

NAFCO Co., Ltd. (2790) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NAFCO Co., Ltd. operates a chain of home and furniture retail outlets in Japan. The company's furniture/home fashion stores offer kitchen and dining, living room, bed and bedroom, study room, and wedding gift furniture; and bedding products, small...
How the Company Makes Money
NAFCO primarily makes money through retail sales of merchandise to consumers at its stores. Revenue is generated by selling a wide range of home-related and daily-life products (e.g., DIY/home improvement items, household consumables and goods, fu...

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NAFCO Co., Ltd. is facing declining revenues and profitability, with significant challenges in operational efficiency and cash flow generation. Despite a strong balance sheet with low leverage, the negative operating and free cash flows in 2025 highlight potential liquidity issues.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue180.22B181.85B192.45B202.64B206.88B234.58B
Gross Profit59.11B55.74B59.47B64.06B66.15B74.87B
EBITDA7.66B7.63B11.11B15.15B17.99B24.08B
Net Income-14.00M183.00M3.11B5.64B7.96B11.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets225.39B226.50B233.54B239.70B234.34B237.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.88B18.50B33.00B36.12B34.11B40.98B
Total Debt23.17B27.65B26.53B26.40B26.00B26.71B
Total Liabilities71.38B72.54B74.18B77.89B76.58B84.61B
Stockholders Equity154.01B153.96B159.36B161.81B157.76B152.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-6.34B4.00B6.26B-2.43B20.75B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-709.00M9.17B9.66B1.18B24.78B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-5.95B-4.93B-3.43B-3.50B-3.50B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-7.84B-7.36B-4.22B-4.56B-4.49B

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2223.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2204.75
Negative
100DMA
2123.76
Positive
200DMA
1996.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-11.60
Negative
RSI
52.06
Neutral
STOCH
69.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2790, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2223 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2179.39, above the 50-day MA of 2204.75, and above the 200-day MA of 1996.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -11.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2790.

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥225.71B16.882.83%1.49%-21.76%
67
Neutral
¥177.88B11.311.58%1.69%3.90%
67
Neutral
¥138.26B12.622.85%3.83%7.24%
66
Neutral
¥131.23B8.263.43%0.73%-9.78%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
¥62.84B19.770.36%2.78%-6.21%-29.75%
55
Neutral
¥6.07B2,084.892.33%-1.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2790
NAFCO Co., Ltd.
2,200.00
558.17
34.00%
JP:3050
DCM Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,644.00
331.33
25.24%
JP:3191
Joyful Honda Co. Ltd.
2,198.00
260.79
13.46%
JP:7516
Kohnan Shoji Co., Ltd.
4,400.00
867.92
24.57%
JP:8218
KOMERI CO., LTD.
3,620.00
748.21
26.05%
JP:9903
Kanseki Co., Ltd.
873.00
-6.64
-0.75%

NAFCO Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

NAFCO Boosts Quarterly Profit Despite Revenue Decline, Keeps Dividend Outlook Unchanged
Feb 6, 2026
NAFCO Co., Ltd. reported consolidated operating revenues of ¥137.2 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, a 4.6% year-on-year decline, but significantly improved profitability, with operating profit up 33.7% to ¥3.0 billion, ordina...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025