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Ichigo (JP:2337)
:2337
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Ichigo (2337) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2337

Ichigo

(OTC:2337)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥442.00
▲(4.00% Upside)
Ichigo's overall stock score reflects its financial strengths in revenue and profit growth, balanced by high leverage and liquidity challenges. The earnings call provides optimism for future growth, particularly in the hotel and environmental sectors, while valuation metrics indicate the stock is reasonably priced. The technical analysis shows some bearish trends, but not extreme enough to significantly impact the score.

Ichigo (2337) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ichigo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIchigo Inc. (2337) is a Japanese real estate company that focuses on sustainable infrastructure and the revitalization of existing properties. The company operates in several sectors, including real estate investment, asset management, property development, and clean energy. Ichigo is committed to creating value by optimizing the use of existing real estate assets, reducing environmental impact, and enhancing local communities.
How the Company Makes MoneyIchigo makes money primarily through its real estate and asset management operations. The company generates revenue from property leasing, sales, and development, as well as from management fees for overseeing real estate investment trusts (REITs) and other assets. Additionally, Ichigo invests in and manages clean energy projects, which contribute to its revenue through the production and sale of renewable energy. Key revenue streams include rental income from owned and managed properties, capital gains from property sales, and fees from asset management services. Strategic partnerships and investments in environmentally sustainable projects also play a significant role in Ichigo's earnings.

Ichigo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with both significant achievements, particularly in the hotel and environmental sectors, and challenges in operating profit and security token sales. The company's effective hedging against interest rate increases and its commitment to sustainable operations were notable positives. However, declines in operating profit and challenges in the security token segment were concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
REIT Expansion and Strong Hotel Performance
The company is expanding its REIT pipeline, particularly in hotels, which are performing very well. Sustainable real estate is up 16% year-on-year, driven by a powerful hotel market. Asset Management is up 12% year-on-year, and Clean Energy is up 5%.
Successful Hedging Against Interest Rate Increases
The company effectively hedged against interest rate increases, with half of its JPY 200 billion portfolio hedged. The increase in funding costs is not materially impacting the company due to these hedges.
Strong Hotel Economics and Growth
Hotel business has grown 90% year-on-year, driven by significant inbound activity from Asia, the U.S., and Europe. The hotel operator, OneFive Hotels, has seen a substantial increase in operating income.
Environmental Commitment and Achievements
The company achieved 100% renewable energy in its operations and reduced CO2 emissions significantly. It is climate positive with a CO2 reduction result of 4.4 times its CO2 emissions.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Profit and Cash EPS
All-in operating profit is down 7% year-on-year, and cash EPS is down 9% due to stock buybacks.
Flow Earnings and Clean Energy Challenges
Flow earnings are down, impacting overall earnings despite forecasted increases. Clean Energy is down on an operating profit basis but up on a cash earnings basis.
Challenges in Security Token Sales
The company had to push out some residence token activity, resulting in expected lower-than-forecasted owner performance for the year.
Office REIT Valuation Challenges
The office REIT's share price remains weak despite being an active acquirer and seller of assets. The public markets have not recognized the increase in office rental values due to rising replacement costs.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2025 earnings call for Ichigo (2337.T), Scott Callon reported a 7% year-on-year decline in all-in operating profit, with cash and net income down 12% and cash EPS down 9%, attributed partially to stock buybacks. Despite these declines, stock earnings increased by 13% year-on-year, and it is anticipated that there will be a strong Q4 recovery. The company highlighted a robust performance in its hotel and office REIT pipeline, with hotels accounting for 25% of assets and showing significant growth driven by a 32% year-on-year increase. Asset Management and Clean Energy segments were up 12% and 5% respectively. Ichigo is actively engaged in a share buyback, having executed about half of a 3.9% share buyback program by the end of December. The company anticipates record cash earnings on stock earnings growth, forecasting a range of JPY 450 billion to JPY 500 billion in assets under management for next year, driven by real estate token sales and private REIT activities. The call also touched on the impact of rising replacement costs, which are expected to increase asset values and allow for rental growth, a factor not currently reflected in the public REIT market.

Ichigo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The financial performance of Ichigo shows strong revenue and net income growth, with improving profit margins. However, the company's balance sheet is burdened by high leverage, and the cash flow statement indicates liquidity challenges, which pose financial stability risks.
Income Statement
80
Positive
The income statement reflects strong growth with a revenue increase of 1.71% from the previous year and a significant rise in net income by 25.40%. The gross profit margin improved from 25.22% to 31.02%, indicating better cost management. Net profit margin increased from 14.63% to 18.05%, suggesting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins show room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet presents a stable equity base with an equity ratio of 27.47%. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is high at 2.35, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. Return on equity has improved to 13.60%, reflecting better utilization of equity. Nonetheless, the high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement highlights challenges with negative free cash flow and negative operating cash flow, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, and operating cash flow has not been sufficient to cover net income, suggesting operational inefficiencies.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.16B82.75B68.09B56.93B61.37B
Gross Profit26.11B20.87B19.42B16.18B15.59B
EBITDA22.58B17.92B18.01B15.81B14.59B
Net Income15.19B12.11B9.41B6.47B5.03B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets406.71B367.01B338.62B337.89B347.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.69B46.92B40.58B49.01B51.42B
Total Debt262.11B232.79B209.96B209.40B220.00B
Total Liabilities284.00B250.74B224.23B225.70B236.82B
Stockholders Equity111.71B105.51B103.84B101.78B100.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.50B-16.89B-10.29B1.95B-2.45B
Operating Cash Flow-28.45B-8.58B254.00M7.94B15.46B
Investing Cash Flow5.36B-2.52B2.63B6.50B-15.63B
Financing Cash Flow19.57B17.79B-6.58B-15.36B10.17B

Ichigo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price425.00
Price Trends
50DMA
399.06
Positive
100DMA
389.57
Positive
200DMA
376.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.29
Negative
RSI
66.73
Neutral
STOCH
89.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2337, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 425 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 400.55, above the 50-day MA of 399.06, and above the 200-day MA of 376.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2337.

Ichigo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥77.77B10.72
3.59%-18.65%-30.68%
81
Outperform
¥195.89B12.41
2.26%7.57%76.43%
75
Outperform
¥202.91B19.8524.25%2.18%5.63%22.43%
73
Outperform
¥342.44B19.5215.36%1.38%2.21%-70.44%
72
Outperform
¥186.00B13.2013.04%2.46%-26.42%1.17%
71
Outperform
¥231.28B14.9210.65%3.51%19.75%24.05%
70
Outperform
¥74.37B17.62
2.52%3.73%23.40%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2337
Ichigo
425.00
69.03
19.39%
JP:1766
Token Corporation
14,570.00
3,575.69
32.52%
JP:8818
Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd.
1,590.00
88.58
5.90%
JP:8877
ESLEAD CORPORATION
5,020.00
968.50
23.90%
JP:8848
Leopalace21
753.00
283.84
60.50%
JP:8919
KATITAS CO
2,630.00
975.77
58.99%

Ichigo Corporate Events

Ichigo Inc. Reports 18% Surge in July Renewable Energy Output
Aug 5, 2025

Ichigo Inc. reported a significant increase in its solar and wind power generation for July 2025, with a total output of 24,986,966 kWh, which is 18% above the forecast. This increase is attributed to an above-average number of productive daylight hours, enhancing the company’s CO2 reduction efforts and reinforcing its commitment to sustainability.

Ichigo Inc. Advances Share Buyback Program
Aug 1, 2025

Ichigo Inc. has reported progress on its share buyback program, having purchased 2,835,300 common shares in July 2025, amounting to JPY 1,134,708,100. This brings the cumulative total to 11,326,800 shares, which is 70.79% of the authorized buyback, with a total expenditure of JPY 4,380,725,200, or 87.62% of the authorized amount. The buyback is part of a strategy to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Ichigo Inc. Exceeds Power Generation Forecasts in June 2025
Jul 3, 2025

In June 2025, Ichigo Inc. reported a total solar and wind power generation of 22,154,932 kWh, which was 9% above forecast due to favorable daylight conditions. This increase in power generation resulted in a significant reduction of CO2 emissions, aligning with Ichigo’s sustainability goals and enhancing its position in the renewable energy industry.

Ichigo Inc. Advances Share Buyback Program
Jul 1, 2025

Ichigo Inc., a company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, has been actively engaging in a share buyback program as part of its financial strategy. As of June 2025, Ichigo has repurchased 8,491,500 common shares, representing 53.07% of its buyback authorization, with a total expenditure of JPY 3,246,017,100. This move is part of a broader initiative to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Ichigo Inc. Faces Renewable Energy Production Challenges in May 2025
Jun 4, 2025

Ichigo Inc. reported a 9% shortfall in its May 2025 solar and wind power generation compared to forecasts, primarily due to adverse weather conditions and increased suspension of renewable energy purchases in certain regions. This operational challenge highlights the volatility in renewable energy production and its potential impact on Ichigo’s market performance and stakeholder interests.

Ichigo Inc. Maintains Independence and Protects Minority Shareholders
May 28, 2025

Ichigo Inc. announced that its controlling shareholder, Ichigo Trust Pte. Ltd., holds 52.84% of its voting rights, yet maintains an independent decision-making process. The company ensures the protection of minority shareholders by implementing rigorous compliance and audit procedures in any transactions involving Ichigo Trust Pte. Ltd.

Ichigo Inc. Strengthens Board Governance with Annual Evaluation
May 20, 2025

Ichigo Inc. has conducted its annual evaluation of the Board of Directors to ensure effective governance and alignment with Japan’s Corporate Governance Code. The evaluation confirmed the Board’s effective decision-making and oversight capabilities, and Ichigo plans to continue these evaluations to improve corporate governance and shareholder communication.

Ichigo Inc. Reports Growth in Renewable Energy Generation for April 2025
May 7, 2025

Ichigo Inc. reported a significant increase in its solar and wind power generation for April 2025, reaching 23,565,014 kWh, which aligns with their forecast. This growth in power generation also led to a substantial CO2 reduction, reflecting the company’s commitment to sustainability and enhancing its position in the renewable energy market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 26, 2025