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MFS,Inc. (JP:196A)
:196A
Japanese Market

MFS,Inc. (196A) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:196A

MFS,Inc.

(196A)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥295.00
▼(-4.22% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance—strong revenue growth, a return to profitability, and a much cleaner balance sheet—tempered by the company’s history of earnings/cash-flow volatility. Technicals are moderately positive short-term but weaker versus longer-term averages, and valuation is only average given a ~24.4 P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Return to Profitability
Recent inflection to positive net margin (~5.5%) and EBIT margin (~6.6%) indicates the company has restored operating profitability. Sustained profits enable reinvestment, debt reduction, and strategic investment, improving resilience if management can hold gains through cycles.
Strong Revenue Growth
Reported ~20% top-line growth signals meaningful demand expansion and commercial traction. Durable revenue growth supports scale benefits, helps dilute fixed costs, and, if maintained, should drive improved margins and long-term cash generation in the mortgage business.
De-risked Balance Sheet
Total debt fell to effectively zero by 2025, leaving the company lightly levered with sizable equity. Low leverage materially enhances financial flexibility to invest, withstand downturns, and reduces refinancing risk, strengthening long-term strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Earnings and Cash-Flow Volatility
The firm experienced multi-year earnings and cash-flow swings, with losses before the 2025 recovery. This cyclicality raises forecasting and operating risk, undermines consistent capital allocation, and increases the probability of pro-cyclical cuts in weaker market periods.
Modest Operating Margins
EBIT margins around ~6.6% are modest for durable margin generation and leave limited buffer against cost inflation or credit/funding stress. Without structural margin expansion, the business may struggle to convert revenue gains into strong, resilient free cash flow over the medium term.
Inconsistent Cash Flow / Working-Capital Sensitivity
While cash generation improved in 2025, prior large cash burns and a negative 2024 show working-capital or timing sensitivity. Recurring cash variability can constrain reinvestment, require external financing in stress, and complicate sustainable free-cash-flow conversion.

MFS,Inc. (196A) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

MFS,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMFS, Inc. provides online mortgage loan services. It also offers real estate investment loan services. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMFS, Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from service contracts and project-based consulting fees. The company works with various industries, providing customized software solutions and consulting services that address specific client needs. Key revenue streams include long-term service agreements with corporate clients, one-time project fees for software development, and ongoing maintenance and support contracts. Additionally, MFS has established strategic partnerships with major technology providers, allowing them to leverage these relationships for co-development opportunities and access to new markets, which further enhances their earnings potential.

MFS,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid turnaround with strong revenue growth (~20%) and a return to profitability (net margin ~5.5%, EBIT margin ~6.6%), plus a significantly de-risked balance sheet with debt effectively at zero. The main offset is multi-year volatility in earnings and cash flow, with inconsistent cash generation prior to 2025.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Revenue growth is strong in the latest annual period (up ~20%), and profitability has inflected sharply from losses to solid positive earnings (net margin ~5.5% vs. negative in the prior two years). Gross profit margin remains high, but operating profitability is still relatively modest (EBIT margin ~6.6%), suggesting the business is profitable again but not yet firmly in “high-margin” territory. The key weakness is volatility: 2022–2024 showed recurring operating losses before the 2025 turnaround, indicating execution/cycle sensitivity.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet has materially de-risked: total debt fell from elevated levels in 2022–2023 to low in 2024 and effectively zero in 2025, leaving the company lightly levered. Equity is sizable relative to assets, and returns on equity turned positive (~7.2%) after being negative for several years. The main watch item is that profitability has only recently recovered, so sustained returns and balance-sheet efficiency still need to be proven through a full cycle.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation improved meaningfully in 2025 with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, and free cash flow is close to reported earnings (free cash flow to net income ~0.95), which is a constructive quality signal. However, cash flow has been inconsistent across years (large cash burn in 2022, negative again in 2024), and the latest operating cash flow is still modest versus revenue scale, implying working-capital or timing sensitivity typical of the sector.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.92B2.92B1.89B1.61B843.69M
Gross Profit2.17B2.17B1.55B1.19B558.91M
EBITDA225.46M225.47M-110.61M-132.48M-521.71M
Net Income160.15M160.15M-121.57M-149.69M-555.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.54B2.54B2.42B1.94B925.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.82B1.82B1.98B1.58B495.63M
Total Debt0.000.00108.33M532.00M350.00M
Total Liabilities306.70M306.70M360.17M755.49M457.02M
Stockholders Equity2.23B2.23B2.06B1.19B468.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00111.19M-157.05M29.33M-826.76M
Operating Cash Flow0.00116.80M-70.84M62.19M-824.88M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-256.56M-91.32M-130.72M102.50M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-115.56M556.36M1.05B200.00M

MFS,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price308.00
Price Trends
50DMA
293.16
Negative
100DMA
295.33
Negative
200DMA
382.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.07
Positive
RSI
41.47
Neutral
STOCH
28.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:196A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 308 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 290.30, above the 50-day MA of 293.16, and below the 200-day MA of 382.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:196A.

MFS,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥7.69B7.293.94%7.06%34.95%
70
Outperform
¥30.80B8.022.41%15.07%27.86%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
¥2.55B22.04
66
Neutral
¥7.39B7.424.49%5.76%
59
Neutral
¥39.02B21.764.51%4.86%-10.59%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:196A
MFS,Inc.
278.00
-67.00
-19.42%
JP:7192
Mortgage Service Japan Limited
523.00
104.82
25.07%
JP:7196
Casa Inc.
713.00
-69.96
-8.93%
JP:7198
SBI ARUHI Corporation
888.00
63.74
7.73%
JP:8772
Asax Co., Ltd.
934.00
273.91
41.50%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026