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Hob Co., Ltd. (JP:1382)
:1382
Japanese Market

Hob Co., Ltd. (1382) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1382

Hob Co., Ltd.

(1382)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,000.00
▲(11.54% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/29/25
Hob Co., Ltd. faces significant challenges with high valuation and weak technical indicators. While revenue growth is strong, declining profitability and cash flow issues are concerning. The stock's overvaluation and lack of positive momentum further weigh on its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth
Sustained revenue expansion of 52.8% indicates durable demand for the company's products and strengthens its topline base. Over 2-6 months this supports reinvestment capacity, improves negotiating power with suppliers, and underpins longer-term scaling opportunities across markets.
Low leverage / strong equity position
A healthy equity ratio and low debt-to-equity provide financial flexibility and lower insolvency risk. This durable balance sheet allows the company to fund capex or weather cyclicality without immediate refinancing, supporting long-term strategic investments and stability.
Positive operating cash conversion
Positive operating cash flow relative to net income signals underlying cash-generative operations and earnings quality. Over months this supports working capital needs and ongoing operations, reducing reliance on external short-term financing despite free cash flow pressures.
Negative Factors
Declining profitability margins
Falling gross and operating margins point to rising input costs, pricing pressure, or operational inefficiencies. If persistent, margin erosion compresses long-term earnings power, limits reinvestment and dividend capacity, and requires structural cost or pricing fixes to restore profitability.
Negative free cash flow
Negative free cash flow reduces internal funding for growth and increases dependence on external capital despite low leverage. Over a multi-month horizon, sustained negative FCF can constrain capex, working capital, and strategic initiatives unless cash conversion or investment pacing improves.
Severe EPS decline / earnings volatility
A very large negative EPS growth rate reflects volatile or collapsing earnings performance. Persistent earnings swings undermine internal capital generation, weaken investor confidence in recurring profitability, and raise uncertainty about the company's ability to fund growth or distributions long term.

Hob Co., Ltd. (1382) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hob Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHOB Co.,Ltd. produces and sells seedlings and strawberries in Japan. The company also engages in the retail and wholesale of fruits and vegetables; and fruits, such as blueberries, mango, and kiwifruit. In addition, the company produces and sells seed potatoes; and purchases and sells potatoes. Additionally, it offers transport services for fruits and vegetables. HOB Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Kamikawa, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyHob Co., Ltd. generates revenue through multiple streams, including direct sales of its consumer goods through retail partnerships, e-commerce platforms, and its own branded stores. The company also benefits from licensing agreements that allow third-party manufacturers to produce Hob-branded products, providing an additional revenue source through royalties. Significant partnerships with major retail chains enhance market reach and visibility, driving higher sales volumes. Moreover, Hob Co., Ltd. invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product lines, ensuring a competitive edge in the market and contributing to sustained revenue growth.

Hob Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hob Co., Ltd. shows strong revenue growth but faces challenges with declining profitability margins and cash flow issues. The balance sheet is a strong point with low leverage, but improvements in operational efficiency and cash flow are needed.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Hob Co., Ltd. has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a significant revenue growth of 52.8% in the most recent year, indicating strong sales momentum. However, the gross profit margin has decreased over the years, suggesting rising costs or pricing pressures. The net profit margin remains low, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Hob Co., Ltd. shows a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability and low leverage risk. The return on equity has decreased from previous years but remains positive, suggesting the company is still generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals some concerns, particularly with negative free cash flow in the latest year, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash from its operations, but the negative free cash flow growth rate highlights challenges in maintaining cash reserves.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.41B2.52B2.49B2.60B3.04B
Gross Profit550.08M551.99M664.43M684.53M647.12M
EBITDA57.77M50.81M147.57M155.59M111.90M
Net Income24.71M20.01M110.35M142.24M108.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.22B1.12B1.11B1.08B974.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments306.11M351.52M577.91M505.03M407.79M
Total Debt4.02M8.01M12.01M16.00M29.72M
Total Liabilities460.07M354.20M320.43M361.99M397.79M
Stockholders Equity756.21M769.64M787.72M719.37M577.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.97M-187.43M116.60M103.16M329.83M
Operating Cash Flow16.11M-159.78M122.76M128.62M352.44M
Investing Cash Flow-19.53M-24.71M-4.08M-17.67M-16.05M
Financing Cash Flow-41.99M-41.90M-45.80M-13.71M-193.05M

Hob Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1793.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1826.32
Negative
100DMA
1851.10
Negative
200DMA
1907.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.29
Positive
RSI
45.18
Neutral
STOCH
12.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1382, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1793 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1833.75, below the 50-day MA of 1826.32, and below the 200-day MA of 1907.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:1382.

Hob Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥25.50B6.452.45%21.60%116.17%
69
Neutral
¥184.21B13.741.65%4.90%-19.32%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
¥5.13B9.990.32%2.94%19.68%
58
Neutral
¥3.82B14.661.61%-4.26%-25.43%
57
Neutral
¥4.43B18.101.00%9.52%
53
Neutral
¥1.37B7.642.77%-2.80%-62.18%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:1382
Hob Co., Ltd.
1,804.00
66.98
3.86%
JP:1377
Sakata Seed Corporation
4,440.00
1,039.26
30.56%
JP:1380
Akikawa Foods & Farms Co., Ltd.
1,064.00
36.14
3.52%
JP:1383
Berg Earth Co., Ltd.
3,210.00
-73.92
-2.25%
JP:1384
Hokuryo Co., Ltd.
3,150.00
1,722.80
120.71%
JP:7555
Ota Floriculture Auction Co., Ltd.
751.00
13.02
1.76%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025