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Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. (JP:1301)
:1301

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. (1301) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1301

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd.

(1301)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥6,011.00
▲(23.30% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:10/17/25
Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and improved margins, though liquidity is impacted by negative free cash flow. The stock appears undervalued with a low P/E ratio and offers a decent dividend yield. Technical indicators suggest potential short-term weakness, but the overall outlook remains positive.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Trend
Consistent revenue growth (15.69% y/y) reflects expanding market penetration across retail and food‑service and stronger product demand. Sustained top‑line expansion supports scale economies, higher capacity utilization, and reinvestment for product development and distribution over the medium term.
Margin Improvement
Material margin expansion—gross margin at 12.83% and improved EBIT/EBITDA—indicates better cost management and/or pricing power. If driven by operational efficiencies and a higher‑value product mix, these improvements are durable drivers of cash earnings and buffer profitability against input cost swings.
Vertical Integration & Channels
Kyokuyo's integrated model (procurement, processing, manufacturing, cold‑chain distribution) provides control over quality, cost and speed to market. Diversified retail and food‑service channels reduce customer concentration and support long‑term margin capture and product innovation advantages.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative free cash flow, even as operating cash flow turned positive, means capital expenditures or working capital needs still outstrip cash generation. Over months this constrains capacity to reduce debt, pay dividends, or fund strategic projects without external financing.
Elevated Leverage
A debt‑to‑equity ratio of 1.20 signals a leveraged balance sheet that raises interest‑cost sensitivity and reduces financial flexibility. In a sector exposed to commodity and supply volatility, elevated leverage increases refinancing and liquidity risk over the medium term.
Negative EPS Growth
Reported EPS declined (~-11.8%) despite revenue growth, implying per‑share profitability compression from higher costs, financing, or one‑off items. Sustained EPS weakness can impair internal capital formation, constrain shareholder returns, and signal volatility in core earnings.

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. (1301) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKyokuyo Co., Ltd. purchases, sells, imports, and exports marine products in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Marine Products Purchasing, Foods, Logistics, and Tuna segments. It provides fish fillets, crabs, and peeled shrimps. The company also offers sushi toppings to restaurant chains; Dandori Jozu product series that includes sushi toppings, simmered and grilled fish, fried marine products, imitation crab meat, and fish fillets to restaurants, deli departments of retailers, and medical and nursing care facilities; and frozen foods for home use. In addition, it produces canned meat, agricultural, and seafood products, such as mackerel and skipjack; and products under the Sea Marché brand, as well as sells squid jerky and health food products comprising glucosamine and DHA supplements. Further, the company is involved in the operation of cold storage business; and fishing, farming, purchasing, processing, and marketing skipjack, bluefin tuna, and other tuna activities. Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1937 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyKyokuyo Co., Ltd. generates revenue through multiple streams primarily from the sale of seafood products, including fresh and frozen fish, processed seafood, and ready-to-eat meals. The company’s revenue model is based on direct sales to retailers, wholesalers, and food service providers, allowing it to reach a wide customer base. Significant partnerships with fishing companies, distributors, and retailers enhance its supply chain and market presence. Additionally, Kyokuyo capitalizes on international markets by exporting its products, which further diversifies its revenue streams. The company also invests in product innovation and quality assurance, which helps maintain customer loyalty and competitive pricing, contributing to its overall earnings.

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong revenue and profit growth, with improved margins. However, the balance sheet shows a leveraged position, and free cash flow remains negative, impacting liquidity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. has shown robust revenue growth with a 15.69% increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin improved to 12.83%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 2.23%, showcasing enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins improved to 3.66% and 4.76% respectively, reflecting stronger operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20, suggesting a leveraged position which could pose risks. However, the increase in stockholders' equity to ¥66.51 billion and a steady equity ratio of 36.53% indicate a solid equity base that supports financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
While the operating cash flow improved significantly, turning from negative to positive, the free cash flow remains negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.87 indicates some alignment between cash generation and reported earnings, though the negative free cash flow suggests that capital expenditures continue to outweigh operating cash inflows.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue310.51B302.68B261.60B272.17B253.57B249.20B
Gross Profit39.17B38.82B33.39B31.03B28.02B25.58B
EBITDA12.00B14.39B11.57B11.17B8.95B7.95B
Net Income5.99B6.74B5.94B5.78B4.63B3.84B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets190.36B182.13B160.72B146.29B130.45B116.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.53B7.51B8.45B7.05B6.54B7.10B
Total Debt85.25B79.92B74.62B68.97B58.12B51.17B
Total Liabilities120.31B113.77B101.85B99.33B88.28B76.35B
Stockholders Equity68.30B66.52B58.98B47.54B42.70B40.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-314.00M-7.06B-8.54B-5.99B3.60B
Operating Cash Flow0.005.84B-1.72B-6.24B-1.13B6.00B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-9.00B-5.71B-2.34B-5.22B-527.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.002.15B8.52B9.01B5.74B-4.63B

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4875.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5054.70
Positive
100DMA
4897.30
Positive
200DMA
4769.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
86.43
Negative
RSI
70.48
Negative
STOCH
80.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1301, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4875 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5220.50, below the 50-day MA of 5054.70, and above the 200-day MA of 4769.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 86.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.48 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:1301.

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥482.11B16.8710.81%2.56%3.87%29.64%
71
Outperform
¥64.78B10.2610.55%2.68%15.22%4.80%
64
Neutral
¥341.93B21.772.61%6.54%15.08%
63
Neutral
¥249.65B17.962.11%3.69%-50.13%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
59
Neutral
¥440.06B31.872.42%2.33%-8.76%
57
Neutral
¥342.82B15.701.45%20.02%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:1301
Kyokuyo Co., Ltd.
5,440.00
1,381.23
34.03%
JP:1332
Nippon Suisan Kaisha
1,549.00
706.35
83.83%
JP:2264
Morinaga Milk Industry Co., Ltd.
4,961.00
2,061.73
71.11%
JP:2296
Itoham Yonekyu Holdings, Inc.
6,450.00
2,929.47
83.21%
JP:2607
Fuji Oil Holdings, Inc.
3,988.00
1,239.14
45.08%
JP:2811
Kagome Co., Ltd.
2,899.00
11.20
0.39%

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Kyokuyo Promotes Tuna Division Head to Executive Officer Role
Feb 20, 2026

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. has announced a change in its executive leadership following a resolution by its Board of Directors. Effective June 24, 2026, Shigeru Moriya, currently General Manager of the Tuna Business Department within the Freshfoods Business Division, will be promoted to Executive Officer and Vice-Chief of the Freshfoods Business Division, strengthening management oversight in its core tuna operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1301) stock is a Hold with a Yen5243.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1301 Stock Forecast page.

Kyokuyo Revamps Board With Key Director Promotions and Retirement
Feb 20, 2026

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. has announced a series of senior management changes, effective June 24, 2026, subject to approval at its 103rd Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders and a subsequent board meeting. Several directors, including Hitoshi Higaki, Keizo Yamaguchi, Masaki Miyama, and Masahiko Oda, will be promoted to managing or senior managing director roles while retaining responsibility for core divisions such as corporate administration, fresh foods, processed foods, marine products, and supply chain management.

The company will also appoint Makoto Ishihara as a new director overseeing the Office of the President, while senior managing director Shuichi Kiyama will retire on the same date. These leadership changes signal a generational and structural transition aimed at strengthening divisional oversight and continuity in key operational areas, which may help Kyokuyo reinforce its organizational governance and support its strategic execution across its main food-related businesses.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1301) stock is a Hold with a Yen5243.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1301 Stock Forecast page.

Kyokuyo Cuts Full-Year Earnings Forecast on Raw Material Shortages and Higher Seafood Prices
Feb 6, 2026

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. has revised downward its full-year consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, cutting projected net sales from ¥350 billion to ¥330 billion and reducing expected profit attributable to owners of parent from ¥8.2 billion to ¥6.7 billion, which lowers forecast earnings per share from ¥690.38 to ¥564.10. The company cited raw material shortages that led to low plant utilization at its Dutch factory, as well as upfront costs tied to ramping up new plants in the U.S. and Vietnam, alongside weaker consumption driven by higher seafood prices amid global inflation, as reasons its sales and profits are now expected to fall short of initial plans, though it confirmed there will be no change to its dividend forecast.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1301) stock is a Hold with a Yen5243.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1301 Stock Forecast page.

Kyokuyo Lifts Sales but Sees Profit Decline, Confirms Higher Dividend and Revised Outlook
Feb 6, 2026

Kyokuyo reported consolidated net sales of ¥256.9 billion for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, up 9.4% year on year, but operating profit, ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of parent declined 8.1%, 12.3% and 7.2% respectively, reflecting margin pressure despite higher revenue. Total assets expanded to ¥222.4 billion and shareholders’ equity rose, although the equity ratio slipped to 33.3%, while the company maintained its plan to raise the annual dividend from ¥130 to ¥150 per share and updated its full-year forecast to ¥330 billion in net sales with essentially flat operating profit and slightly lower ordinary profit and net income, signaling a focus on growth and shareholder returns amid a challenging profit environment that includes the consolidation of two new subsidiaries in Denmark and elsewhere.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1301) stock is a Hold with a Yen5243.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1301 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2025