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Ituran Location And Control Ltd (ITRN)
NASDAQ:ITRN
US Market

Ituran Location And Control (ITRN) AI Stock Analysis

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ITRN

Ituran Location And Control

(NASDAQ:ITRN)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(15.31% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (high and stable margins, very low leverage, strong returns) supported by a constructive technical uptrend and reasonable valuation with a solid dividend yield. The main offsets are cash-flow conversion trailing earnings, limited formal forward guidance, and execution/regulatory risks for new initiatives with minimal expected 2026 financial impact.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription model & strong subscriber growth
Ituran’s revenue mix is dominated by recurring subscription services that produce predictable, high‑margin cash flows. Sustained net adds (221k in 2025, guidance implying 160k–188k in 2026) underpin durable top‑line visibility, recurring ARPU stability and scalable unit economics over the medium term.
High, stable margins and durable profitability
Consistently strong gross and operating margins reflect efficient service delivery and a lucrative subscription mix. Stable EBITDA and EBIT margins provide structural profitability that supports reinvestment and shareholder returns, and indicate resilience against modest top‑line volatility over the next 2–6 months.
Conservative balance sheet and strong cash resources
Very low leverage and a sizable cash position give Ituran flexibility to fund growth initiatives, pursue OEM partnerships, and sustain generous dividends/buybacks without stressing liquidity. The strong balance sheet reduces refinancing risk and supports strategic optionality over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Operating cash conversion below net income
OCF running below reported net income signals recurring timing or non‑cash items that temper earnings quality. Although FCF recovered in 2025, historical volatility and sub‑1.0 cash conversion could constrain the company’s ability to reliably fund capex, early commercial rollouts, or sustained dividend levels if trends reverse.
Geographic concentration risk (Israel exposure)
With over half of revenues tied to Israel, the company remains exposed to local economic, regulatory and geopolitical shocks. While multi‑region operations exist, concentration elevates event risk and could disrupt operations or demand, making growth and margin stability more sensitive to regional factors over the coming months.
New initiatives are early‑stage with commercialization/regulatory risk
Strategic projects (IturanMob U.S., Credit Carbon, big‑data pilots) offer multi‑year upside but are nascent, with regulatory validation and commercialization hurdles flagged by management. Limited near‑term contributions mean expected benefits are back‑loaded, increasing execution risk and reliance on core business continuity until initiatives scale.

Ituran Location And Control (ITRN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ituran Location And Control Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIturan Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and machine-to-machine telematics products. The company's Telematics services segment provides stolen vehicle recovery and tracking services, which locate, track, and recover stolen vehicles for its subscribers; fleet management services that enable corporate and individual customers to track and manage their vehicles in real time; and locator services that allow customers to protect valuable merchandise and equipment. It also offers on-demand navigation guidance, information, and assistance, including the provision of traffic reports and directions, as well as information on the location of gas stations, car repair shops, post offices, hospitals, and other facilities; and Connected Car, a service platform that includes a back-office application, a telematics device installed in the vehicle, mobile apps for IOS and Android users, and interface using the car infotainment screen, as well as usage based insurance and auto financing. This segment serves insurance companies and agents, car manufacturers, dealers and importers, cooperative sales channels, and private subscribers. Its Telematics Products segment provides Base Site, a radio receiver that includes a processor and a data computation unit to collect and send data to and from transponders, and to control centers; Control Center, a center consisting of software used to collect data from various base sites, conduct location calculations, and transmit location data to various customers and law enforcement agencies; navigation and tracking devices installed in vehicles; and SMART, a portable transmitter installed in vehicles that sends a signal to the base site enabling the location of vehicles, equipment, or an individual. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Azor, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyIturan generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by charging subscription fees for its telematics and tracking services. The company offers various service packages that include features such as real-time location tracking, driver behavior analysis, and fleet management tools. In addition to subscription revenues, Ituran also earns money from the sale of hardware devices used in tracking and monitoring vehicles. Significant partnerships with automotive manufacturers and insurance companies further enhance its revenue potential, as these collaborations often lead to bundled service offerings and increased customer acquisition. Furthermore, the company benefits from a growing demand for vehicle security solutions and advancements in IoT technology, contributing to its overall earnings.

Ituran Location And Control Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strongly positive operational and financial performance with record revenue, EBITDA, subscriber growth, and cash generation in 2025, alongside a very strong balance sheet and generous capital returns. Management highlighted multiple new strategic initiatives (IturanMob U.S. rollout, Credit Carbon, big-data monetization) that could materially expand revenue and ARPU over the medium term, but emphasized these are early-stage with limited contribution in 2026. Key near-term concerns include slow product revenue growth, modest full-year EBITDA expansion, geographic concentration (55% of revenue from Israel) and commercialization/regulatory risks for the new initiatives. On balance, the positive results, cash strength, and visible growth drivers outweigh the near-term limitations and risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Annual Revenues
Q4 revenue $93.5M, up 13% year-over-year (record quarter); FY 2025 revenue $359M, up 7% vs $336.3M in 2024.
Strong Subscription Growth and Mix
Subscriber base reached 2,630,000 (end of 2025), net adds of 42,000 in Q4 and 221,000 in 2025 (record year). Subscription revenue $71.1M in Q4, up 15% YoY and representing 76% of Q4 revenues; FY subscription revenue $264.6M, up 9% YoY and 74% of FY revenues.
Improved Profitability and Margins
Q4 EBITDA $25.3M (27.1% of revenues), up 12% YoY; FY EBITDA $96.2M (26.8% of revenues), up 5% YoY. Q4 net income $15.3M (EPS $0.77), up 10% YoY; FY net income $58M (EPS $2.92), up 8% YoY.
Record Cash Generation and Strong Balance Sheet
Q4 cash from operations $29.4M (highest ever); FY cash from operations $88.6M. Net cash & marketable securities $107.6M as of 12/31/2025 vs $77.2M year-earlier.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Board declared $30M dividend for Q4 (regular $10M + special $20M). Total dividends for 2025 $60M (~100% of net income), noted dividend yield ~7% at year-end price. Buybacks: ~$3.1M purchased in 2025 (85,000 shares) and board approved an incremental $10M authorization (bringing available buyback capacity to $13.5M).
OEM Partnerships and Geographic Expansion
Added OEM partners in 2025 including Stellantis, Renault, Yamaha, BMW and announced Fiat; management is actively discussing further OEM deals and expanded IturanMob into the U.S. market.
New Product Initiatives with Mid/Long-Term Upside
Launched/enhanced strategic initiatives: IturanMob (shared mobility and rental fleet solutions being scaled into the U.S.), Credit Carbon (EV carbon-credit marketplace in testing, expected initial commercial deployment toward year-end 2026), and Big Data monetization (pilots and government/commercial opportunities; early pilots billed in the 'hundreds of thousands'). Management expects these to be meaningful contributors after 2026.
Q4 Geographic Revenue Diversification
Q4 revenue mix: Israel 55%, Brazil 23%, Rest of World 22% — demonstrating multi-region revenue streams with strong presence in Israel and Brazil.
Forward Subscriber Add Guidance
While not issuing formal financial guidance, management expects to maintain an overall net subscriber add run rate and projects 2026 net adds between ~160,000–188,000 subscribers.
Negative Updates
Slower Product Revenue Growth
FY product revenues $94.5M, up only 1% YoY; Q4 product revenues $22.4M, up 5% YoY, indicating product sales growth lagging subscription growth.
Modest EBITDA Growth on Full-Year Basis
FY EBITDA increased 5% YoY to $96.2M; while margins improved, annual EBITDA growth was relatively modest compared with some top-line metrics.
New Initiatives Are Early-Stage with Near-Term Limited Contribution
Management expects Credit Carbon, IturanMob U.S. rollout and big-data monetization to have very low financial contribution in 2026, with meaningful revenue more likely in 2027+; commercialization and regulatory hurdles (especially for carbon credits) remain material risks.
Geographic Concentration and Country Risk
55% of Q4 revenue derived from Israel, exposing performance to local market disruptions; management acknowledged recent regional conflict but anticipates only short-term operational volatility.
Regulatory and Market Risks for Carbon-Credit Model
Credit Carbon is pioneering in giving individuals monetizable carbon savings; management noted stringent regulation and validation are required, making adoption timing and scale uncertain.
Limited Share Repurchase due to Market Liquidity Concerns
Management cited low trading volume as a constraint on aggressively increasing buybacks despite valuation arguments; investors questioned share-repurchase pacing given attractive multiples.
FX and Other Macro Uncertainties
FX had a modest impact on 2025 EBIT (estimated ~$1M–$1.5M); management said FX and geopolitical factors create unpredictable near-term variables.
Competitive Pressure in Some Markets
Management acknowledged competition in Israel and Brazil (local and international players); while Ituran claims leadership in key geographies, competition remains an ongoing challenge especially where larger global players operate.
Company Guidance
Management gave limited formal forward guidance but provided clear operational and timing expectations: they expect to maintain current ARPU and continue a net‑add run rate in line with recent quarters (40k+ net adds per quarter), implying 160k–188k net new subscribers for 2026 (year‑end 2025 subscribers were 2.63M after +42k in Q4 and +221k in 2025). New initiatives (IturanMob U.S. expansion, big‑data monetization pilots and Credit Carbon) are commercially targeted mid‑to‑end‑2026 with Credit Carbon initial deployment toward year‑end 2026, though management warned 2026 financial contribution from these initiatives will be very low and material contribution is expected in 2027+. They expect continued operating‑leverage to support EBITDA margins but gave no numeric margin guidance; for context Q4‑25 revenue was $93.5M (+13% YoY) with subscription revenue $71.1M (76% of sales, +15%), Q4 EBITDA $25.3M (27.1% margin, +12% YoY), Q4 operating cash flow $29.4M, FY‑25 revenue $359M (+7%), EBITDA $96.2M (26.8%), net income $58M (16.1%), fully diluted EPS $2.92, OCF $88.6M and cash & marketable securities $107.6M. On capital allocation the board signaled continued shareholder returns: a $30M Q4 payout ( $10M regular + $20M special), $60M total dividends for 2025 (~100% of net income, ~7% yield), and an increased buyback authorization leaving $13.5M available after $3.1M repurchased (85k shares) in 2025.

Ituran Location And Control Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals: steady revenue growth through 2025, consistently high gross margins (~47–50%), and durable profitability (EBIT margin ~19–22%, EBITDA ~26–28%). Balance sheet is exceptionally conservative with debt reduced to ~$4.7M by 2025 and strong ROE (~25–29%). Main watch item is cash-flow quality/consistency—operating cash flow has trailed net income in 2023–2025 (~0.84–0.85 coverage) and FCF has been somewhat volatile despite a strong 2025 rebound.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from 2021–2025 (about $271M to $359M), with 2025 showing low-single-digit growth but still positive. Profitability is a clear strength: gross margin is consistently high (~47–50%) and net margin improved meaningfully versus 2020 (mid-teens in 2023–2025 vs ~7% in 2020). Operating profitability is also strong and stable (EBIT margin ~19–22% and EBITDA margin ~26–28% recently), though EBITDA margin dipped slightly in 2025 versus 2024.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet is very conservative, with debt reduced sharply over time (from ~$60M in 2020 to ~$4.7M in 2025) and a very low debt-to-equity level in 2025. Equity has expanded materially (about $127M to $218M from 2020–2025), supporting asset growth and balance sheet resilience. Returns on equity are strong (~25–29% over 2021–2025), though they eased modestly in 2025 versus 2024.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is generally solid, with operating cash flow rising to ~$88.6M in 2025 and free cash flow at ~$66.8M, up versus 2024. Free cash flow has been somewhat volatile (a sharp drop in 2022 followed by recovery), and cash conversion is not consistently perfect: operating cash flow runs below net income in recent years (coverage ~0.84–0.85 in 2023–2025). Even so, free cash flow remains healthy relative to earnings (roughly three-quarters of net income in 2025).
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue359.02M336.26M319.98M293.07M270.88M
Gross Profit178.58M160.62M153.16M137.56M127.84M
EBITDA96.11M93.35M87.37M75.54M69.31M
Net Income57.97M53.65M48.14M37.10M34.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets386.21M326.88M318.69M290.93M293.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.55M77.37M53.55M28.17M54.71M
Total Debt4.75M9.06M8.66M22.09M36.12M
Total Liabilities161.73M135.62M138.44M137.72M155.22M
Stockholders Equity217.56M185.23M174.45M145.80M132.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.80M60.63M62.98M18.61M39.16M
Operating Cash Flow88.58M74.27M77.22M45.12M55.79M
Investing Cash Flow-24.18M-15.94M-17.23M-27.35M-18.52M
Financing Cash Flow-42.71M-31.77M-32.93M-36.36M-58.67M

Ituran Location And Control Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.43
Price Trends
50DMA
46.08
Positive
100DMA
42.71
Positive
200DMA
39.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.04
Negative
RSI
58.74
Neutral
STOCH
76.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ITRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.20, above the 50-day MA of 46.08, and above the 200-day MA of 39.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ITRN.

Ituran Location And Control Risk Analysis

Ituran Location And Control disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ituran Location And Control reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ituran Location And Control Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$983.34M14.7528.06%4.38%5.20%9.14%
67
Neutral
$1.23B37.115.50%29.67%41.90%
65
Neutral
$456.23M81.8716.90%16.06%166.69%
64
Neutral
$807.40M-15.18-30.65%14.33%83.32%
63
Neutral
$323.59M12.045.54%10.89%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
52
Neutral
$413.17M-52.83-6.94%92.56%85.10%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ITRN
Ituran Location And Control
49.43
14.51
41.55%
ADTN
Adtran
10.01
1.34
15.46%
AVNW
Aviat Networks
25.08
6.66
36.16%
FEIM
Frequency Electronics
46.66
32.60
231.86%
GILT
Gilat
16.86
9.93
143.11%
AIOT
Powerfleet
3.08
-2.58
-45.58%

Ituran Location And Control Corporate Events

Ituran Location and Control Declares $30 Million Q4 2025 Dividend
Mar 5, 2026

Ituran Location and Control Ltd., a global provider of connected-car and location-based mobility services, has built a subscriber base of more than 2.6 million users since its founding in 1995. The company operates from Israel with roughly 2,800 employees and maintains a strong footprint in Israel and Latin America, supported by offices across the Americas and Asia.

On March 5, 2026, Ituran announced that its board approved a fourth-quarter 2025 cash dividend of $1.50 per share, totaling about $30 million, for shareholders of record on March 30, 2026, with payment scheduled for April 16, 2026. The board stated that the distribution, which follows a prior $10 million dividend paid in January 2026, will be funded from substantial retained earnings and a solid cash position with no bank debt, and will not impair the company’s ability to execute its ongoing operations or future plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (ITRN) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ituran Location And Control stock, see the ITRN Stock Forecast page.

Ituran Location and Control Posts Record 2025 Results, Boosts Payouts and Buyback
Mar 5, 2026

On March 5, 2026, Ituran Location and Control reported record results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, with annual revenue up 7% to $359 million and net income up 8% to $58 million, supported by a subscriber base that grew by 221,000 to 2.63 million. The company generated strong cash flow, ended 2025 with $107.6 million in net cash and marketable securities, and underscored its shareholder-return focus by declaring $60 million in dividends for 2025, including a $30 million fourth-quarter payout, and expanding its share buy-back authorization by $10 million while highlighting growth initiatives in OEM deals, U.S. mobility services and data monetization.

The most recent analyst rating on (ITRN) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ituran Location And Control stock, see the ITRN Stock Forecast page.

Ituran Location and Control Calls March 31, 2026 General Meeting to Vote on Executive Pay Policy Change
Feb 27, 2026

Ituran Location and Control Ltd. has called a General Meeting of Shareholders to be held on March 31, 2026, at its U.S. offices in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, with a record date of March 10, 2026 for determining shareholders entitled to vote. The meeting’s key agenda item is approval of an amendment to the company’s compensation policy regarding the maximum annual cost of base pay and benefits for business unit managers, reflecting a potential change in executive and senior management pay structure.

Shareholders may participate in person or vote via proxy or remote voting, subject to detailed procedures for street-name holders and Israeli law requirements, and a quorum will be reached if at least one-third of the voting power is represented. The board unanimously recommends voting in favor of the proposal, and the company has also disclosed an updated Nasdaq-compliant board diversity matrix as of February 27, 2026, which may be of interest to investors evaluating governance and oversight practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (ITRN) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ituran Location And Control stock, see the ITRN Stock Forecast page.

Ituran Wins Stellantis Deal to Power Fiat Strada Connectivity in South America
Feb 25, 2026

On February 25, 2026, Ituran Location and Control Ltd. announced it was selected to provide the full connectivity solution for the Connect Fiat program in South America, in partnership with Stellantis. The three-year agreement, with an option for a two-year extension, deepens their collaboration first disclosed in 2025 and positions Ituran at the core of Fiat’s connected-vehicle offering for the Fiat Strada model in the region.

Under the deal, Ituran will supply embedded hardware, deliver connected-vehicle services, operate the technology backend, and provide the end-user mobile application, creating a vertically integrated, end-to-end platform. Executives from both companies highlighted that the project is a strategic milestone in Stellantis’s software and connected-vehicle strategy in South America, strengthening Ituran’s OEM relationships and reinforcing its standing as a key enabler of scalable, secure connectivity across future Fiat models in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (ITRN) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ituran Location And Control stock, see the ITRN Stock Forecast page.

Ituran Location and Control Sets March 5, 2026 Date for Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
Feb 9, 2026

Ituran Location and Control, a leader in connected-car and location-based mobility services with a major presence in Israel and Latin America, continues to grow its more than 2.5 million-subscriber base across over 20 countries. The company provides telematics, stolen vehicle recovery, fleet management and security solutions to retail, insurance, finance clients and automakers, and backs smart mobility innovation through its DRIVE incubator.

On February 9, 2026, Ituran announced it will release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on March 5, 2026, followed by a management video conference call via Zoom that morning U.S. time. The event will give investors a detailed review of the company’s performance and outlook, and a replay will be made available online, underscoring ongoing engagement with global stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ITRN) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ituran Location And Control stock, see the ITRN Stock Forecast page.

Ituran Announces Results of Annual General Meeting
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Ituran Location and Control Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting, where key resolutions were approved. The company renewed the appointment of Fahn Kanne & Co. as independent auditors and elected directors for Class A, including Mr. Eyal Sheratzky, Mr. Efraim Sheratzky, Mrs. Tal Sheratzky Jaffa, and Mr. Yoav Kahane. Additionally, Mrs. Segev Riki was elected as an External Director, and the renewal of the company’s compensation policy was approved. These decisions are expected to impact Ituran’s governance and operational strategies moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (ITRN) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ituran Location And Control stock, see the ITRN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026